VeneziaFiorentina

Venezia v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina

Serie A · · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Venezia · Fiorentina

The model’s pre-match pick

Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina — Fiorentina won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.82 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Fiorentina: 3.38 to 1.03 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Fiorentina won 4–2 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Serie A on Friday 11 September. Venezia have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Fiorentina led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Venezia: Akor Adams (22’, assisted by Gianluca Busio) and Antoine Hainaut (86’, assisted by Ridgeciano Haps); Fiorentina: Franco Mastantuono (29’, assisted by Álex Jiménez; 30’, assisted by Beto; 84’) and Mateo Pellegrino (66’, assisted by Nicolò Fagioli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Franco Mastantuono’s goal on 30 minutes.

Discipline

Francesco Fourneau, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Venezia: Joël Schingtienne (38’) and Simon Sohm (73’); Fiorentina: Alieu Njie (72’).

What it changes

Venezia move down from 18th to 20th (four league matches played).

Fiorentina move up from 20th to 15th (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina) 17.1, Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina) 8.5 and Antoine Hainaut (Venezia) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Venezia next travel to Juventus on 22 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Venezia: Juventus v Venezia, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo · Venice
  • Referee: Francesco Fourneau, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Venezia 2 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 1 · 1.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Venezia 1W 0D 4L · Fiorentina 1W 1D 3L

Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVenezia for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
16.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Francesco Fourneau, Italy.

Venezia

Venezia Goalkeeper

Venezia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Stanković490360 min133.3 /9092.3 /9000 /90
L. Montipò19090 min66 /9022 /9000 /90
Venezia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stanković n 890
2.67/3

Venezia Defensive

Venezia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bella-Kotchap575376 min71.7 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90317.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90
R. Haps549243 min41.5 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90134.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
J. Schingtienne490360 min92.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90133.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
R. Halhal479316 min30.9 /9072 /9020.6 /90154.3 /9082.3 /9010.3 /90
R. Sagrado360180 min21 /9000 /9000 /9084 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Venezia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bella-Kotchap n 575.2
0.72/1
1.94/3
—
R. Haps n 859.9
0.94/1
2.45/4
R. Drăgușin
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
0.85/1
0.43/0
R. Drăgușin
G. Busio n 889.4
0.65/0
1.88/2
N. Fagioli
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Venezia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bella-Kotchap n 575.2
1.74/2
R. Haps n 859.9
0.94/1
G. Busio n 889.4
2.17/7
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
2.17/5
A. Adams n 485
00/0
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Venezia Attacking

Venezia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams485340 min20.5 /9010.3 /9092.4 /9061.6 /9041.1 /9041.1 /90
J. Yeboah476304 min20.6 /9000 /90113.3 /9051.5 /9072.1 /9051.5 /90
A. Rrahmani345135 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Lauberbach251102 min00 /9000 /9032.6 /9021.8 /9000 /9010.9 /90
G. Busio490360 min00 /9010.3 /9061.5 /9030.8 /9061.5 /9041 /90
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Venezia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bella-Kotchap n 575.2
0.73/0
0.21/0
R. Haps n 859.9
1.15/1
0.62/1
G. Busio n 889.4
1.15/3
0.41/1
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
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Venezia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bella-Kotchap n 575.2
00/0
00/0
R. Haps n 859.9
00/0
00/0
G. Busio n 889.4
00/0
0.32/0
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea490360 min123 /90102.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.68/6

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Drăgușin489357 min41 /9082 /9051.3 /90164 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
Valde390270 min72.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90175.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
João Mário372215 min41.7 /9020.8 /9000 /90114.6 /9031.3 /9000 /90
L. Ranieri290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Dodô268135 min10.7 /9000 /9000 /9032 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
R. Drăgușin n 489.3
1.54/2
13/1
J. Schingtienne
C. Ndour n 873
1.55/3
0.64/0
—
A. Atta n 468.5
0.31/0
0.72/0
—
N. Fagioli n 869.6
14/2
1.55/3
G. Busio
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Drăgușin n 489.3
13/1
C. Ndour n 873
2.27/3
A. Atta n 468.5
0.31/0
N. Fagioli n 869.6
1.84/4
Franco Mastantuono n 457.5
0.41/0
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Franco Mastantuono458230 min00 /9000 /9093.5 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9031.2 /90
Mateo Pellegrino385256 min10.4 /9000 /9041.4 /9010.4 /9041.4 /9031.1 /90
A. Guðmundsson265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9074.9 /9010.7 /90
M. Kean259117 min10.8 /9000 /9043.1 /9043.1 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
A. Njie17979 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9044.6 /9022.3 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 489.3
0.83/0
00/0
C. Ndour n 873
1.14/2
0.63/1
A. Atta n 468.5
2.32/2
12/1
N. Fagioli n 869.6
0.64/0
00/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 489.3
00/0
0.52/0
C. Ndour n 873
0.32/0
00/0
A. Atta n 468.5
00/0
00/0
N. Fagioli n 869.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VeneziaFiorentina
63%Possession37%
0.49Expected goals (xG)3.31
10Shots19
3Shots on target10
6Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box15
2Corners4
3Offsides2
11Fouls6
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves1
560Passes343
89%Pass accuracy80%

Venezia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Stanković9000000008.5
J. Schingtienne90000001Y6.3
R. Haps9001001106.2
A. Hainaut9010112107.7
Kike Pérez9000102206.3
A. Adams9010310007.3
S. Sohm80000000Y6.3
J. Yeboah8000202206.9
M. Moreno6900000106.6
R. Sagrado6900100106.3
G. Busio4401001207
Þ. Helgason sub4600111106.3
Juan Jesus sub2100000206.7
Thierry Correia sub2100001006.3
Toni Fernández sub1000000006.7
L. Lauberbach sub1000000006.3

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000001006.3
Álex Jiménez9001101206.5
R. Drăgușin9000000106.9
Viery9000000506.3
N. Fagioli9001111407.7
C. Ndour9000101206.3
L. Ranieri8900101106.2
Franco Mastantuono8930654109.9
A. Njie80003233Y7.3
A. Atta6000002006.9
Beto6001211005.6
Mateo Pellegrino sub3010111007.7
W. Gnonto sub3000000006.2
Pote sub1000000006.2
M. Pongračić sub10000000–
M. Brescianini sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Venezia v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VeneziaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FiorentinaDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Venezia 2 · 1 draw · Fiorentina 1 · 1.25 goals/game
  • 2025-05-12 Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina
  • 2024-08-25 Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia
  • 2022-04-16 Fiorentina 1–0 Venezia
  • 2021-10-18 Venezia 1–0 Fiorentina
League standing · 2026/27
Venezia#19 pos6 pts11 pl-13 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Venezia scored0.73
Fiorentina scored1.5
Venezia conceded1.91
Fiorentina conceded2.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Venezia 1.03 xG from 10 shots, Fiorentina 3.38 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Franco Mastantuono 83' · 0.42 xGJohn Yeboah 7' · 0.42 xGAlejandro Jiménez 18' · 0.32 xGAlieu Njie 41' · 0.29 xGAlieu Njie 26' · 0.22 xGFranco Mastantuono 9' · 0.15 xGBeto 11' · 0.14 xGBeto 17' · 0.13 xGBeto 50' · 0.12 xGCher Ndour 15' · 0.10 xGAlieu Njie 33' · 0.10 xGFranco Mastantuono 50' · 0.09 xGAkor Adams 58' · 0.09 xGFranco Mastantuono 1' · 0.09 xGFranco Mastantuono 69' · 0.08 xGAkor Adams 76' · 0.07 xGLuca Ranieri 70' · 0.06 xGRichie Sagrado 55' · 0.04 xGJohn Yeboah 58' · 0.04 xGNicolo Fagioli 51' · 0.04 xGKike Pérez 63' · 0.02 xGAkor Adams 45' · 0.01 xGThórir Helgason 75' · 0.01 xGFranco Mastantuono 83' · 0.57 xG · goalMateo Pellegrino 65' · 0.40 xG · goalAntoine Hainaut 85' · 0.24 xG · goalAkor Adams 21' · 0.09 xG · goalFranco Mastantuono 29' · 0.04 xG · goalFranco Mastantuono 28' · 0.02 xG · goal
Venezia (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Venezia1021.03
Fiorentina1943.38

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fiorentina led on xG, 1.60 to 0.52. At full time, Fiorentina led on xG, 3.38 to 1.03. The widest gap was 2.59 xG to Fiorentina, in the 83rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.41.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Venezia 21 minGoal - Fiorentina 28 minGoal - Fiorentina 29 minGoal - Fiorentina 65 minGoal - Fiorentina 83 minGoal - Venezia 85 min
Venezia 1.03 xGFiorentina 3.38 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Venezia v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Venezia v Fiorentina was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.82 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Fiorentina?
In their last 4 meetings, Venezia won 2, Fiorentina won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Venezia and Fiorentina?
Recent form — Venezia 1W 0D 4L; Fiorentina 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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