Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama result

Full-time · Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Manoel Barradas

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitoria · Vasco DA Gama · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama — Vitoria won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vitoria beat Vasco DA Gama 1–0 at Estádio Manoel Barradas in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 16 July.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Vitoria: Renato Kayzer (69’, assisted by D. Tarzia).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Renato Kayzer’s goal on 69 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Vitoria 0.52, Vasco DA Gama 0.77, from 14 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil showed no yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Tarzia (Vitoria) 6.2, Gabriel Baralhas (Vitoria) 5.5 and Renato Kayzer (Vitoria) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitoria or Vasco DA Gama (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).

Next up

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Vasco DA Gama next travel to Sao Paulo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Vasco DA Gama: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas · Salvador
  • Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vitoria 3 · draws 0 · Vasco DA Gama 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitoria 2W 1D 2L · Vasco DA Gama 1W 0D 4L

Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.88
Cards
against 3.38 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.13 yellows
Referee · Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
1.13 home / 2 away
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVitoria for / againstLineVasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 16 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil — 3.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.13 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ze Breno n 49.8
4.62/0
00/0
—
Ronald n 822.9
33/2
0.51/0
—
Ze Vitor n 876.8
2.97/5
3.17/6
Nuno Moreira
Lucas Silva n 829.1
2.32/2
1.23/0
—
Marinho n 824.3
1.93/1
3.25/2
—
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rene n 881.3
2.47/4
1.87/3
D. Tarzia n 827.8
2.44/1
24/1
Ze Vitor n 876.8
1.55/2
0.43/0
Lucas Silva n 829.1
1.52/1
0.82/0
Ronald n 822.9
1.53/0
00/0
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Tarzia n 827.8
0.82/0
0.41/0
Rene n 881.3
0.75/0
0.11/0
Erick n 876.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
Renato Kayzer n 839.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Lucas Silva n 829.1
0.41/0
00/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Edenilson n 836.4
3.15/3
D. Tarzia n 827.8
2.44/2
Ze Vitor n 876.8
2.37/5
Claudinho n 841
2.25/3
Jamerson n 858.4
2.15/3
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 893.6
3.76/5
Gabriel Vasconcelos n 892.3
2.94/3
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Cauan Barros n 877.6
2.56/5
27/5
—
Claudio Spinelli n 867.1
27/2
2.57/4
—
Hugo Moura n 851.5
25/3
1.32/1
—
Nuno Moreira n 845.8
1.74/3
14/0
Ze Vitor
Paulo Henrique n 850.5
1.65/2
25/3
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Claudio Spinelli n 867.1
48/6
2.27/5
Johan Rojas n 868.6
3.46/6
1.86/5
Brenner n 842
2.46/1
0.83/0
Adson n 857.9
2.37/4
1.96/3
Puma Rodríguez n 875.1
1.97/4
0.74/1
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adson n 857.9
0.62/1
0.62/1
Nuno Moreira n 845.8
00/0
0.73/0
Johan Rojas n 868.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Puma Rodríguez n 875.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Ramon Rique n 541.2
00/0
0.41/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 850.5
4.28/5
V. Joao n 539
3.73/2
Riquelme Avellar n 636.3
3.75/2
Cuiabano n 875.4
3.48/5
Adson n 857.9
2.57/4
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 890.9
3.77/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
50%Possession50%
0.52Expected goals (xG)0.77
14Shots13
6Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box7
3Corners2
1Offsides1
12Fouls15
3Saves5
385Passes394
77%Pass accuracy83%

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Arcanjo9600000007
Caca9600000007.3
Luan Candido9600000107.2
Ramon9600003207.2
Gabriel Baralhas9600110406.9
Emmanuel Martinez9600001407.2
Jamerson7800001407.5
D. Tarzia7801314206.7
Erick7700101006.9
Rene6300210006.2
Ze Vitor3900000006.3
T. Pochettino sub5700000306.6
Renato Kayzer sub3310220107.3
Marinho sub1900000106.3
E. Brítez sub1800000206.9
Fabricio sub1800110006.7

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Léo Jardim9600000007.5
Puma Rodríguez9600202207.3
Carlos Cuesta9600000106.9
Robert Renan9600000106.9
Cuiabano9600210106.5
Cauan Barros9600100106.9
Thiago Mendes7800000106.6
Nuno Moreira7800103006.2
Adson7300000206.2
Johan Rojas5900001206.3
Claudio Spinelli5900110006
Andrés Gómez sub3700102006.9
Brenner sub3700001006.7
Marino Hinestroza sub2300000206.3
Tchê Tchê sub1800000006.6
David sub1800110206.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VitoriaDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Vasco DA GamaLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vitoria 3 · 0 draws · Vasco DA Gama 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-05 Vasco DA Gama 4–3 Vitoria
  • 2025-05-10 Vitoria 2–1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-09-01 Vitoria 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-05-12 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Vitoria
  • 2018-09-09 Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2018-05-13 Vasco DA Gama 2–3 Vitoria
League standing · 2026
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Vasco DA Gama#14 pos35 pts29 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Vitoria scored1.1
Vasco DA Gama scored1.24
Vitoria conceded1.47
Vasco DA Gama conceded1.45

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitoria won 3, Vasco DA Gama won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitoria and Vasco DA Gama?
Recent form — Vitoria 2W 1D 2L; Vasco DA Gama 1W 0D 4L.

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