Ponte PretaOperario-PR

Ponte Preta v Operario-PR prediction

Serie B – Brazil · · Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Ponte Preta v Operario-PR, Serie B – Brazil on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 22:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.18 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ponte Preta host Operario-PR in Serie B – Brazil on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Operario-PR, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Ponte Preta have scored 21 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 37 games). Ponte Preta have conceded 79 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Ponte Preta are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Ponte Preta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in three of Ponte Preta’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). At home, Ponte Preta have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 1.50.

Eight of Operario-PR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Operario-PR’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Operario-PR have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Operario-PR have scored 49 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 37 games). Operario-PR have conceded 50 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Ponte Preta (20th) and Operario-PR (10th) are 39 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Operario-PR the stronger side, 306 rating points above Ponte Preta (Operario-PR 1474, Ponte Preta 1169, after at least 265 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Operario-PR are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ponte Preta. The most recent meeting, on 22 July 2026, finished Operario-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Almeida (3.9 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Sergio Palacios (3.8 per match over three appearances) have been Ponte Preta’s most influential players 2026, all competitions.

By TACTIX Impact, Vagner (5.4 per match over three appearances) and Elias Curzel (4.4 per match over three appearances) have been Operario-PR’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Operario-PR (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Vagner averages 3.8 saves per 90 over 281 minutes. Elias Curzel averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B – Brazil · Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ponte Preta 2 · draws 1 · Operario-PR 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ponte Preta 0W 2D 3L · Operario-PR 2W 0D 3L

Ponte Preta v Operario-PR (Serie B – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.67 / 5
Corners
against 10 / 8 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
2.67 / 3.33
Shots on target
against 5.33 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
3.33 / 4
Cards
against 3.67 / 3.33 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePonte Preta for / againstLineOperario-PR for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.67 for · 10 against n 3
9.5standard
5 for · 8 against n 3
Shots
8.33 for · 26 against n 3
19.5standard
13.67 for · 17.67 against n 3
Shots on target
2.67 for · 5.33 against n 3
8.5standard
3.33 for · 4.33 against n 3
Fouls committed
12 for · 16 against n 3
21.5standard
14.67 for · 17 against n 3
Cards shown
3.33 for · 3.67 against n 3
3.5standard
4 for · 3.33 against n 3

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta Goalkeeper

Ponte Preta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Vinicius290180 min115.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Diogo Silva19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Guilherme Viana19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90

Ponte Preta Defensive

Ponte Preta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Caran390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90134.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Gustavo Almeida375225 min72.8 /9041.6 /9000 /90104 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Sergio Palacios371214 min104.2 /9052.1 /9020.8 /90208.4 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90
Danilo Barcelos258115 min32.3 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9053.9 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Lucas Cunha254108 min00 /9032.5 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9000 /9010.8 /90
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Ponte Preta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ponte Preta before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rodrigo de Souza n 478.8
2.33/3
0.92/1
—
Brandão n 471.3
2.83/3
2.83/3
—
Gabriel Caran n 390
13/0
11/1
—
Karl n 381.7
1.13/0
0.71/1
—
Gustavo Almeida n 375
0.41/0
1.23/0
—
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Ponte Preta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ponte Preta before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rodrigo de Souza n 478.8
23/3
Brandão n 471.3
1.33/1
Gabriel Caran n 390
1.33/1
Karl n 381.7
1.82/2
Gustavo Almeida n 375
2.83/3
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Ponte Preta Attacking

Ponte Preta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Brandão471285 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9030.9 /9000 /9041.3 /90
William Pottker19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /9022 /90
Rodrigo de Souza479315 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
Karl382245 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
David da Hora351152 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
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Ponte Preta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ponte Preta before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo de Souza n 478.8
00/0
00/0
Brandão n 471.3
1.63/1
0.91/1
Gabriel Caran n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
Karl n 381.7
0.41/0
00/0
Gustavo Almeida n 375
0.41/0
0.41/0
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Ponte Preta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ponte Preta before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rodrigo de Souza n 478.8
00/0
00/0
Brandão n 471.3
0.31/0
00/0
Gabriel Caran n 390
00/0
00/0
Karl n 381.7
00/0
00/0
Gustavo Almeida n 375
0.41/0
00/0
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Operario-PR

Operario-PR Goalkeeper

Operario-PR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Vagner394281 min123.8 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Elias Curzel390270 min93 /9000 /9000 /90
Operario-PR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Operario-PR before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Vagner n 393.7
3.83/2
Elias Curzel n 490
2.84/1

Operario-PR Defensive

Operario-PR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cuenu692551 min50.8 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90243.9 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90
Miranda482326 min71.9 /9061.7 /9041.1 /90226.1 /9071.9 /9010.3 /90
Mikael Doka476304 min51.5 /9051.5 /9030.9 /90103 /9030.9 /9000 /90
Gabriel Feliciano449195 min52.3 /9010.5 /9000 /90125.5 /9020.9 /9000 /90
Joseph390270 min51.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90186 /9062 /9010.3 /90
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Operario-PR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Operario-PR before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cuenu n 691.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
—
Moraes n 675.7
1.45/2
1.44/2
—
Indio n 671.2
1.14/1
1.96/3
—
Vinicius Diniz n 587.4
2.55/2
2.94/4
—
Miranda n 481.5
1.93/3
1.93/2
—
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Operario-PR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Operario-PR before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cuenu n 691.8
0.84/1
Moraes n 675.7
24/3
Indio n 671.2
1.55/2
Vinicius Diniz n 587.4
1.24/2
Miranda n 481.5
1.93/3
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Operario-PR Attacking

Operario-PR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Caio Dantas480319 min10.3 /9000 /9061.7 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
Pablo371213 min00 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
Felipe Augusto22040 min12.3 /9000 /9012.3 /9012.3 /9000 /9012.3 /90
E. Torres15050 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /90
Moraes676454 min10.2 /9000 /9081.6 /9020.4 /9051 /9051 /90
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Operario-PR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Operario-PR before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cuenu n 691.8
0.72/1
0.21/0
Moraes n 675.7
1.65/2
0.41/1
Indio n 671.2
0.62/1
00/0
Vinicius Diniz n 587.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
Miranda n 481.5
00/0
00/0
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Operario-PR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Operario-PR before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cuenu n 691.8
00/0
00/0
Moraes n 675.7
0.21/0
00/0
Indio n 671.2
00/0
00/0
Vinicius Diniz n 587.4
00/0
00/0
Miranda n 481.5
00/0
00/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ponte Preta v Operario-PR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ponte PretaLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Operario-PRLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ponte Preta 2 · 1 draw · Operario-PR 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-07-22 Operario-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta
  • 2024-08-24 Ponte Preta 0–1 Operario-PR
  • 2024-05-11 Operario-PR 1–1 Ponte Preta
  • 2022-07-30 Ponte Preta 3–0 Operario-PR
  • 2022-04-16 Operario-PR 2–0 Ponte Preta
  • 2021-09-23 Operario-PR 1–2 Ponte Preta
League standing · 2026
Ponte Preta#20 pos15 pts37 pl-58 GD
Operario-PR#10 pos54 pts37 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Ponte Preta scored0.57
Operario-PR scored1.32
Ponte Preta conceded2.14
Operario-PR conceded1.35

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ponte Preta v Operario-PR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ponte Preta v Operario-PR is Draw or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Ponte Preta and Operario-PR?
In their last 6 meetings, Ponte Preta won 2, Operario-PR won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ponte Preta and Operario-PR?
Recent form — Ponte Preta 0W 2D 3L; Operario-PR 2W 0D 3L.

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