Arezzo v Palermo result
The model’s pre-match pick
Arezzo 2–3 Palermo — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Palermo won 3–2 at Citta di Arezzo in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 30 August.
Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).
The goals
Palermo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: D. Johnsen (21’, assisted by Hernani), F. Ranocchia (55’, assisted by D. Johnsen) and T. Augello (90’); Arezzo: P. Cianci (60’, assisted by C. Tavernelli) and C. Tavernelli (74’, assisted by P. Cianci).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Augello’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Arezzo 1.18, Palermo 2.01, from 15 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Livio Marinelli, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arezzo: A. Ioniţă (85’); Palermo: Gabriel Strefezza (44’) and N. Estévez (69’).
What it changes
Arezzo have scored nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Arezzo have conceded 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.
Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 10 matches. Palermo have won their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Tavernelli (Arezzo) 9.3, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 8.3 and Mattia Sala (Arezzo) 7.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Arezzo next travel to Juve Stabia on 7 November 2026.
Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Arezzo: Juve Stabia v Arezzo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Arezzo 2–3 Palermo · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Citta di Arezzo · Arezzo
- Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Arezzo 3W 0D 2L · Palermo 3W 0D 2L
Arezzo 2–3 Palermo (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Arezzo | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.01 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 337 | Passes | 463 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Arezzo Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nunziante | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Renzi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Gilli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Illanes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Righetti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Ioniţă | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| Gennaro Iaccarino | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Tavernelli | 87 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Mattia Sala | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| P. Cianci | 76 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Arena | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| E. Pattarello sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Mawuli sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Cerri sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Viviani sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Muhamed Djamanca sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Palermo Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Perin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Bani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Ceccaroni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Augello | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Ranocchia | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Segre | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Pohjanpalo | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Pierozzi | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Hernani | 66 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Johnsen | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Gabriel Strefezza | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| E. Gyasi sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Vavassori sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Cassandro sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Estévez sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| A. Gabrielloni sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Arezzo v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Arezzo v Palermo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Arezzo v Palermo was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.10 at Betfair).
- What is the recent form of Arezzo and Palermo?
- Recent form — Arezzo 3W 0D 2L; Palermo 3W 0D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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