Ascoli v Palermo prediction

Serie B – Italy · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ascoli · Palermo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Ascoli v Palermo, Serie B – Italy on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ascoli host Palermo in Serie B – Italy on Friday 6 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Ascoli or Palermo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Palermo have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Ascoli are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Palermo are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Ascoli have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.75. Ascoli have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Ascoli have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Palermo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Palermo’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Palermo have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86. Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Ascoli (third) and Palermo (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palermo the stronger side, 205 rating points above Ascoli (Palermo 1833, Ascoli 1628, after at least 250 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ascoli. The most recent meeting, on 5 May 2024, finished Palermo 2–2 Ascoli.

Team news

Predicted Ascoli XI (3-5-2): S. Vitale, N. Rizzo, A. Guiébré, M. Curado, G. Corradini, A. Silipo, S. Damiani, S. D'Uffizi, G. Acampora, A. Chakir, G. Gori — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Silipo (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and one assist) and S. D'Uffizi (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Ascoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ascoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Silipo averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 777 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. S. D'Uffizi averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 937 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Palermo XI (4-2-3-1): M. Perin, T. Augello, T. Cassandro, P. Ceccaroni, P. Peda, D. Johnsen, F. Ranocchia, D. Vavassori, J. Segre, Hernani, J. Pohjanpalo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Johnsen (7.2 per match over 12 appearances, eight goals and seven assists) and D. Vavassori (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Palermo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Palermo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Johnsen averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 884 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Vavassori averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 920 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Referee: Rapuano Andrea
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Ascoli 1 · draws 1 · Palermo 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Ascoli 2W 3D 0L · Palermo 4W 1D 0L

Ascoli v Palermo (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.5

Goals

against 0.5 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.5 / 4

Corners

against 4 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 6

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Ascoli for / against	Line	Palermo for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.25 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Rapuano Andrea.

Ascoli

Ascoli Goalkeeper

Ascoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Vitale	11	90990 min	403.6 /90	100.9 /90	00 /90

Ascoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Vitale n 8	90	3.2 7/4

Ascoli Defensive

Ascoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Guiébré	11	90990 min	181.6 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	676.1 /90	151.4 /90	50.5 /90
T. Milanese	11	59649 min	71 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90	202.8 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
N. Rizzo	10	90900 min	171.7 /90	151.5 /90	80.8 /90	484.8 /90	141.4 /90	40.4 /90
F. Gattoni	3	61183 min	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	42 /90	21 /90
L. Venuti	2	4284 min	11.1 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	33.2 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90
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Ascoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1.8 8/4	—
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. D'Uffizi n 8	87.5	0.6 4/1	2.7 7/7	—
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	1.3 6/2	1.3 4/2	—
A. Silipo n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Ascoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.6 7/4
S. D'Uffizi n 8	87.5	0.8 5/1
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	2.2 7/5
A. Silipo n 8	65.9	0.3 2/0
T. Milanese n 8	53.3	0.8 4/0
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Ascoli Attacking

Ascoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Curado	9	64575 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	152.3 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
G. Gori	7	41288 min	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	113.4 /90	51.6 /90	82.5 /90	20.6 /90
D. Bolsius	6	39231 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90	51.9 /90
M. Brunori	5	51257 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90
A. Chakir	4	52207 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
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Ascoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	87.5	0.9 4/2	0.5 4/0
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
A. Silipo n 8	65.9	2.6 6/4	1.5 4/2
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Ascoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Corradini n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Silipo n 8	65.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Perin	6	90540 min	172.8 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
M. Fortin	6	89535 min	213.5 /90	61 /90	00 /90

Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Perin n 6	90	2.8 5/4
M. Fortin n 6	89.2	3.5 5/5

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Augello	11	90990 min	151.4 /90	171.5 /90	30.3 /90	484.4 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
T. Cassandro	11	66729 min	212.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	485.9 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
P. Ceccaroni	9	90810 min	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	333.7 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
M. Bani	8	77618 min	101.5 /90	121.7 /90	50.7 /90	345 /90	81.2 /90	30.4 /90
P. Peda	6	57342 min	61.6 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	236.1 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Vavassori n 8	80.8	0.6 4/0	2.1 6/4	—
D. Johnsen n 8	79	0.7 4/1	0.7 4/1	—
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	78.8	0.7 3/1	0.4 3/0	—
T. Augello n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.6 3/2	—
J. Segre n 8	66.8	1.7 6/3	0.8 4/1	—
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 8	80.8	0.4 2/1
D. Johnsen n 8	79	1 4/3
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0
T. Augello n 8	90	1.4 5/3
J. Segre n 8	66.8	2 6/3
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo	12	73871 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	202.1 /90	90.9 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
Gabriel Strefezza	5	36179 min	21 /90	00 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
A. Gabrielloni	2	4283 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
J. Le Douaron	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90
D. Vavassori	12	77920 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	323.1 /90	161.6 /90	171.7 /90	141.4 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 8	80.8	3.9 8/4	1.7 6/3
D. Johnsen n 8	79	3.8 8/7	2 8/4
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	78.8	1.9 7/2	0.6 3/1
T. Augello n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
J. Segre n 8	66.8	1 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Vavassori n 8	80.8	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
D. Johnsen n 8	79	0.7 5/0	0.6 3/1
J. Pohjanpalo n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
T. Augello n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
J. Segre n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ascoli v Palermo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AscoliDDWWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

PalermoWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Ascoli 1 · 1 draw · Palermo 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2024-05-05 Palermo 2–2 Ascoli
2023-09-16 Ascoli 0–1 Palermo
2023-01-29 Ascoli 1–2 Palermo
2022-08-27 Palermo 2–3 Ascoli
2019-05-04 Ascoli 1–2 Palermo
2018-12-27 Palermo 3–0 Ascoli

League standing · 2026/27

Ascoli#3 pos19 pts10 pl+10 GD

Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Ascoli scored1.6

Palermo scored2.4

Ascoli conceded0.6

Palermo conceded1.2

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ascoli v Palermo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ascoli v Palermo is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Ascoli and Palermo?: In their last 6 meetings, Ascoli won 1, Palermo won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ascoli and Palermo?: Recent form — Ascoli 2W 3D 0L; Palermo 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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