Avellino v Bari result
The model’s pre-match pick
Avellino 2–0 Bari — Avellino won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Avellino beat Bari 2–0 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in Serie B – Italy on Friday 24 April.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Avellino: M. Besaggio (67’) and M. Palumbo (79’, assisted by A. Favilli).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Besaggio’s goal on 67 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Avellino 2.81, Bari 0.51, from 18 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
G. Manganiello showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Avellino: C. Patierno (11’) and L. Palmiero (72’); Bari: Moussa Mane (28’) and F. Artioli (81’).
What it changes
Avellino move up from ninth to eighth (36 league matches played).
Bari stay 17th after this result (36 league matches played).
Avellino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Bari have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Bari have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Besaggio (Avellino) 6.8, A. Fontanarosa (Avellino) 6.1 and M. Palumbo (Avellino) 5.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
Bari are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Avellino, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Avellino or Bari (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Avellino next host Mantova on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Avellino: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Avellino 2–0 Bari · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi · Avellino
- Referee: G. Manganiello
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Avellino 0 · draws 1 · Bari 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Avellino 2W 1D 2L · Bari 1W 0D 4L
Avellino 2–0 Bari (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Avellino for / against | Line | Bari for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.63 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.75 for · 18.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.13 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: G. Manganiello.
Avellino
Avellino Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Šimić n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.4 | — |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| L. Palmiero n 8 | 74.8 | 2.9 | 3.5 | M. Braunöder |
| M. Palumbo n 8 | 76.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | M. Dorval |
| M. Besaggio n 8 | 75.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | M. Braunöder |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Šimić n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 60.9 | 0.6 |
| L. Palmiero n 8 | 74.8 | 2.3 |
| M. Palumbo n 8 | 76.8 | 1.3 |
| M. Besaggio n 8 | 75.9 | 2.2 |
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Avellino Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Šimić n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 60.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| L. Palmiero n 8 | 74.8 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Palumbo n 8 | 76.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Besaggio n 8 | 75.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Šimić n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Biasci n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| L. Palmiero n 8 | 74.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| M. Palumbo n 8 | 76.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Besaggio n 8 | 75.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Bari
Bari Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 66 | 1.7 | 0.9 | M. Palumbo |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.9 | 0.5 | 2.2 | — |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 61.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | M. Besaggio |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 0 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 66 | 2.4 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.9 | 0.9 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 61.8 | 2.7 |
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Bari Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 66 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 61.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 66 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 61.8 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Avellino | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 2.81 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.51 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 489 | Passes | 324 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Avellino Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iannarilli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Cancellotti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Enrici | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Izzo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| A. Fontanarosa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.6 |
| L. Palmiero | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| M. Palumbo | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| D. Sounas | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8.3 |
| M. Besaggio | 86 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| R. Russo | 86 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| C. Patierno | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Favilli sub | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Missori sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Tutino sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Le Borgne sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Bari Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| V. Mantovani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Odenthal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Braunöder | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Piscopo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Dorval | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Nikolaou | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Maggiore | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| G. Moncini | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Emanuele Rao | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Moussa Mane | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| G. De Pieri sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Gytkjær sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Çuni sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| N. Bellomo sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Artioli sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Avellino v Bari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-27 Bari 1–1 Avellino
- 2018-04-02 Avellino 1–2 Bari
- 2017-10-08 Bari 2–1 Avellino
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Avellino v Bari?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Avellino v Bari was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Bari?
- In their last 3 meetings, Avellino won 0, Bari won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Avellino and Bari?
- Recent form — Avellino 2W 1D 2L; Bari 1W 0D 4L.
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