AvellinoBari

Avellino v Bari result

Full-time · Avellino 2–0 Bari

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Avellino 2–0 Bari — Avellino won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Avellino beat Bari 2–0 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in Serie B – Italy on Friday 24 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Avellino: M. Besaggio (67’) and M. Palumbo (79’, assisted by A. Favilli).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Besaggio’s goal on 67 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Avellino 2.81, Bari 0.51, from 18 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Manganiello showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Avellino: C. Patierno (11’) and L. Palmiero (72’); Bari: Moussa Mane (28’) and F. Artioli (81’).

What it changes

Avellino move up from ninth to eighth (36 league matches played).

Bari stay 17th after this result (36 league matches played).

Avellino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Bari have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Bari have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Besaggio (Avellino) 6.8, A. Fontanarosa (Avellino) 6.1 and M. Palumbo (Avellino) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bari are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Avellino, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Avellino or Bari (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Avellino next host Mantova on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Avellino: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Avellino 2–0 Bari · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi · Avellino
  • Referee: G. Manganiello
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Avellino 0 · draws 1 · Bari 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Avellino 2W 1D 2L · Bari 1W 0D 4L

Avellino 2–0 Bari (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4
Corners
against 4.5 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 7.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAvellino for / againstLineBari for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
8.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 18.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 16.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: G. Manganiello.

Avellino

Avellino Defensive

Avellino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Šimić n 890
0.94/3
0.42/1
—
T. Biasci n 860.9
1.86/3
1.15/1
—
L. Palmiero n 874.8
2.97/6
3.57/6
M. Braunöder
M. Palumbo n 876.8
0.63/1
1.24/3
M. Dorval
M. Besaggio n 875.9
1.56/3
2.48/4
M. Braunöder
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Avellino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Šimić n 890
2.57/6
T. Biasci n 860.9
0.62/1
L. Palmiero n 874.8
2.37/5
M. Palumbo n 876.8
1.37/2
M. Besaggio n 875.9
2.26/4
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Avellino Attacking

Avellino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Šimić n 890
0.53/1
00/0
T. Biasci n 860.9
1.74/2
0.42/0
L. Palmiero n 874.8
00/0
00/0
M. Palumbo n 876.8
0.32/0
00/0
M. Besaggio n 875.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Avellino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Šimić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Biasci n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Palmiero n 874.8
00/0
0.21/0
M. Palumbo n 876.8
00/0
0.11/0
M. Besaggio n 875.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Bari

Bari Defensive

Bari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Moncini n 881.8
1.56/3
0.42/1
—
M. Dorval n 866
1.75/3
0.95/0
M. Palumbo
Emanuele Rao n 871.9
0.53/0
2.27/5
—
M. Braunöder n 861.8
2.46/4
1.66/1
M. Besaggio
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Bari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
00/0
M. Dorval n 866
2.46/4
Emanuele Rao n 871.9
0.95/1
M. Braunöder n 861.8
2.76/4
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Bari Attacking

Bari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
1.47/2
0.85/1
M. Dorval n 866
0.21/0
00/0
Emanuele Rao n 871.9
1.66/3
1.34/3
M. Braunöder n 861.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Bari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Dorval n 866
00/0
0.52/1
Emanuele Rao n 871.9
0.63/1
0.21/0
M. Braunöder n 861.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AvellinoBari
60%Possession40%
2.81Expected goals (xG)0.51
18Shots9
6Shots on target0
10Shots off target6
2Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box4
8Corners4
1Offsides1
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves5
489Passes324
85%Pass accuracy79%

Avellino Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Iannarilli9000000006.7
T. Cancellotti9000100107
P. Enrici9000110207.2
A. Izzo9000000007.6
A. Fontanarosa9000200507.6
L. Palmiero90001021Y7.9
M. Palumbo9010221007.7
D. Sounas8900002308.3
M. Besaggio8610322107.7
R. Russo8600413307.7
C. Patierno71001000Y6.2
A. Favilli sub1901101006.3
F. Missori sub900001107.2
G. Tutino sub900000006.2
A. Le Borgne sub10000000–

Bari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cerofolini9000000006.6
V. Mantovani9000201006.9
C. Odenthal9000000106.6
M. Braunöder9000100206.9
K. Piscopo9000001206.6
M. Dorval9000103206.9
D. Nikolaou8000000106.2
G. Maggiore8000000007
G. Moncini6600101006.7
Emanuele Rao6600101006.5
Moussa Mane45000001Y6.3
G. De Pieri sub4500000006.2
C. Gytkjær sub2400000006.3
M. Çuni sub2400000006.5
N. Bellomo sub1000000006.3
F. Artioli sub10000010Y6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Avellino v Bari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AvellinoWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BariLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Avellino 0 · 1 draw · Bari 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-27 Bari 1–1 Avellino
  • 2018-04-02 Avellino 1–2 Bari
  • 2017-10-08 Bari 2–1 Avellino
League standing · 2025/26
Avellino#8 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD
Bari#17 pos40 pts38 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Avellino scored1.13
Bari scored1
Avellino conceded1.45
Bari conceded1.58

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Avellino v Bari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Avellino v Bari was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Bari?
In their last 3 meetings, Avellino won 0, Bari won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Avellino and Bari?
Recent form — Avellino 2W 1D 2L; Bari 1W 0D 4L.

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