Benevento v Avellino prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT · Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Most shots on — Home the free pick for Benevento v Avellino, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT.

Free pick

Most shots on — Home

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: 6 of 10 calls the model rated 70% or more on Most shots on — Home landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Benevento host Avellino in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 18:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Most shots on — Home, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of Benevento’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Benevento’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Benevento have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.38. Benevento have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Benevento have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Avellino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Avellino’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Avellino have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.71. Avellino have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Avellino have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Benevento (sixth) and Avellino (fifth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Avellino the stronger side, 88 rating points above Benevento (Avellino 1585, Benevento 1497, after at least 91 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Benevento XI (4-3-3): G. Vannucchi, S. Scognamillo, C. Dalle Mura, P. Beruatto, L. Sernicola, M. Maita, A. Siatounis, C. Kouan, F. Salvemini, L. Cherubini, D. Okereke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Okereke (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and A. Siatounis (3.5 per match over nine appearances, three goals) have been Benevento’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benevento (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Okereke averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 579 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Siatounis averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 598 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Avellino XI (3-5-2): T. Martinelli, P. Enrici, M. Venturi, A. Izzo, B. Moruzzi, F. Missori, M. Besaggio, M. Palumbo, L. Di Maggio, R. Russo, W. Cheddira — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Russo (5.9 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) and L. Šimić (4.4 per match over four appearances) have been Avellino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Avellino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Russo averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 902 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. L. Šimić averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 298 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Benevento 2W 2D 1L · Avellino 2W 2D 1L

Benevento v Avellino (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.63 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Benevento for / against	Line	Avellino for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.63 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Benevento

Benevento Goalkeeper

Benevento — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Vannucchi	11	90990 min	201.8 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Benevento — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benevento before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Vannucchi n 8	90	1.8 4/3

Benevento Defensive

Benevento — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Scognamillo	10	90900 min	101 /90	131.3 /90	60.6 /90	333.3 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90
P. Beruatto	9	77697 min	81 /90	60.8 /90	50.6 /90	202.6 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90
P. Saio	8	81644 min	91.3 /90	20.3 /90	50.7 /90	334.6 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
L. Sernicola	8	79634 min	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	334.7 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
E. Pierozzi	8	69551 min	91.5 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90	223.6 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
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Benevento — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benevento before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Vannucchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
M. Maita n 8	89.3	1.8 6/6	1 6/1	—
F. Salvemini n 8	78.6	2.3 7/4	1.6 5/2	—
D. Lamesta n 8	58.9	0.8 3/1	0.2 1/0	—
S. Scognamillo n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.9 4/3	—
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Benevento — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benevento before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Maita n 8	89.3	2.3 7/6
F. Salvemini n 8	78.6	0.3 2/0
D. Lamesta n 8	58.9	0.4 2/0
S. Scognamillo n 8	90	0.9 6/1
P. Beruatto n 8	75.9	1 4/3
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Benevento Attacking

Benevento — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Salvemini	11	81886 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	222.2 /90	80.8 /90	161.6 /90	10.1 /90
D. Okereke	9	63565 min	20.3 /90	30.5 /90	152.4 /90	71.1 /90	81.3 /90	182.9 /90
L. Cherubini	7	59413 min	00 /90	00 /90	92 /90	30.7 /90	122.6 /90	61.3 /90
G. Mignani	3	2988 min	11 /90	00 /90	44.1 /90	11 /90	33.1 /90	33.1 /90
M. Tumminello	2	63125 min	00 /90	00 /90	53.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Benevento — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benevento before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Vannucchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Maita n 8	89.3	0.9 4/2	0.1 1/0
F. Salvemini n 8	78.6	2.4 7/5	0.6 4/0
D. Lamesta n 8	58.9	1.9 7/2	0.4 2/0
S. Scognamillo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Benevento — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benevento before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Vannucchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Maita n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
F. Salvemini n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Lamesta n 8	58.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Scognamillo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Avellino

Avellino Goalkeeper

Avellino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Martinelli	11	90990 min	333 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Avellino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	3.4 6/5

Avellino Defensive

Avellino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Izzo	11	84928 min	201.9 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	484.7 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
P. Enrici	9	89800 min	202.3 /90	161.8 /90	20.2 /90	394.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Michael Venturi	9	77692 min	202.6 /90	121.6 /90	20.3 /90	476.1 /90	81 /90	30.4 /90
T. Cancellotti	5	66331 min	71.9 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	143.8 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
L. Šimić	4	75298 min	61.8 /90	123.6 /90	92.7 /90	288.5 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
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Avellino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.8 5/1	0.8 4/1	—
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	1 6/1	0.4 3/0	—
R. Russo n 8	80.6	0.8 4/2	2.1 6/4	—
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	1.1 7/1	2.4 5/4	—
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Avellino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	2.1 6/4
R. Russo n 8	80.6	1.7 6/4
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	1.6 7/4
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	2.1 7/5
M. Palumbo n 8	74.9	2.7 7/5
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Avellino Attacking

Avellino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Russo	11	82902 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	171.7 /90	101 /90	292.9 /90	121.2 /90
W. Cheddira	8	59470 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	203.8 /90	91.7 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90
A. Favilli	8	46365 min	00 /90	30.7 /90	92.2 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
T. Biasci	4	53212 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
L. Pandolfi	3	38113 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.2 /90	32.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Avellino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	1.9 7/4	0.5 2/1
R. Russo n 8	80.6	1.7 5/3	1.1 5/2
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Avellino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avellino before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Martinelli n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Izzo n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Russo n 8	80.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
B. Moruzzi n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
M. Besaggio n 8	79.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Benevento v Avellino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BeneventoWDWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

AvellinoWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Benevento#6 pos15 pts10 pl+4 GD

Avellino#5 pos15 pts10 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Benevento scored1.4

Avellino scored1.5

Benevento conceded1

Avellino conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Benevento v Avellino?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Benevento v Avellino is Most shots on — Home.
What is the recent form of Benevento and Avellino?: Recent form — Benevento 2W 2D 1L; Avellino 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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