CarrareseEmpoli

Carrarese v Empoli result

Full-time · Carrarese 0–1 Empoli

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio dei Marmi

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Carrarese 0–1 Empoli — Empoli won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.

Free pick
Home team goals — Home under 2 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home team goals — Home under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 78.9% of 5113 landed (95% range 77.8–80%); it had given them 80.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Empoli won 1–0 at Stadio dei Marmi in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 5 September. Carrarese are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Empoli: B. Popov (74’, assisted by L. Magnino).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Popov’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Carrarese 0.77, Empoli 0.70, from 9 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Giuseppe Mucera, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Empoli: L. Magnino (51’) and F. Distefano (87’).

What it changes

Carrarese move down from 12th to 16th (shared) (three league matches played).

Empoli move up from 11th to sixth (three league matches played).

Empoli have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gerard Yepes (Empoli) 6.2, F. Abiuso (Carrarese) 5.9 and J. Seghetti (Empoli) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Carrarese team goals — Home under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4036 of 5113).

Next up

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Empoli next host Pisa on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Empoli: Empoli v Pisa, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Carrarese 0–1 Empoli · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio dei Marmi · Carrara
  • Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Carrarese 1 · draws 1 · Empoli 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carrarese 0W 2D 3L · Empoli 2W 2D 1L

Carrarese 0–1 Empoli (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.57
Corners
against 5.38 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.88 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
18.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCarrarese for / againstLineEmpoli for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.57 for · 5 against n 7
Shots
14.63 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
11.14 for · 14.14 against n 7
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.86 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
17.57 for · 14.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Ruggeri390270 min93 /9062 /9041.3 /90165.3 /9093 /9010.3 /90
L. Romani388264 min31 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90103.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
F. Oliana387261 min51.7 /9000 /9031 /90113.8 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
Tommaso Guercio32884 min22.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9099.6 /9022.1 /9000 /90
G. Parlanti382245 min72.6 /9020.7 /9000 /90207.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Ruggeri n 888.3
2.28/5
0.84/2
L. Magnino
G. Garofani n 390
00/0
00/0
—
L. Romani n 388
0.71/1
0.72/0
M. Curto
F. Oliana n 885.6
0.94/2
0.11/0
L. Magnino
G. Parlanti n 873
26/4
2.87/4
—
See more players · Pro
Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Ruggeri n 888.3
2.36/5
L. Romani n 388
12/1
F. Oliana n 885.6
1.77/4
G. Parlanti n 873
2.67/5
N. Belloni n 870.1
1.86/2
See more players · Pro

Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cissé378235 min00 /9010.4 /9062.3 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
F. Abiuso367202 min10.4 /9000 /9062.7 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /90
G. Marconi32884 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9033.2 /90
G. Parlanti382245 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
N. Belloni381243 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Ruggeri n 888.3
0.54/0
00/0
G. Garofani n 390
00/0
00/0
L. Romani n 388
1.42/1
0.31/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 873
1.15/2
0.64/0
See more players · Pro
Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Garofani n 390
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 888.3
00/0
00/0
L. Romani n 388
00/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
G. Parlanti n 873
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Empoli

Empoli Goalkeeper

Empoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Seghetti290180 min84 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Empoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Seghetti n 390
3.73/2

Empoli Defensive

Empoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Cauz290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /9094.5 /9042 /9000 /90
L. Magnino290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9010.5 /90
M. Curto290180 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Ceesay15959 min23.1 /9000 /9011.5 /9046.1 /9023.1 /9000 /90
M. Egan290180 min10.5 /9021 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Empoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Magnino n 886.9
1.67/5
0.95/2
F. Oliana
M. Curto n 886.5
1.65/4
0.84/1
L. Romani
J. Seghetti n 390
00/0
00/0
—
E. Saporiti n 855.6
1.25/1
1.24/1
—
S. Shpendi n 883.5
27/5
0.96/1
—
See more players · Pro
Empoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Curto n 886.5
2.36/5
L. Magnino n 886.9
0.96/1
E. Saporiti n 855.6
14/1
S. Shpendi n 883.5
0.32/0
Gerard Yepes n 880.9
3.27/6
See more players · Pro

Empoli Attacking

Empoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Saporiti282163 min10.6 /9000 /9031.7 /9021.1 /9031.7 /9031.7 /90
S. Shpendi277153 min10.6 /9000 /9042.4 /9031.8 /9000 /9021.2 /90
F. Distefano265129 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.4 /9000 /90
B. Popov22651 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /90
M. Egan290180 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Empoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Magnino n 886.9
0.54/0
0.43/0
M. Curto n 886.5
0.31/1
00/0
J. Seghetti n 390
00/0
00/0
E. Saporiti n 855.6
2.47/4
1.26/0
S. Shpendi n 883.5
28/6
1.15/3
See more players · Pro
Empoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Empoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Magnino n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
M. Curto n 886.5
00/0
0.11/0
J. Seghetti n 390
00/0
00/0
E. Saporiti n 855.6
0.42/0
0.41/1
S. Shpendi n 883.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CarrareseEmpoli
41%Possession59%
0.77Expected goals (xG)0.70
9Shots16
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box6
1Corners7
10Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
437Passes618
80%Pass accuracy87%

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Pizzignacco9000000006.6
F. Oliana9000110007.2
L. Romani9000000107.2
F. Reale9000000407
J. Rouhi9000002207.2
F. Abiuso9000542207.3
F. Ruggeri7800001106.6
Nicolás Schiavi7200101207.2
G. Parlanti7100000206.7
M. Cissé7100100106.2
L. Topalović6000002006.9
J. Martini sub3000001006.5
N. Belloni sub1900000006.5
M. Finotto sub1900000006.6
M. Braunöder sub1800000106.6
N. Cudrig sub1200000006.7

Empoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Seghetti9000000008.3
M. Curto9000000007.2
C. Cauz9000000307.5
L. Magnino90010012Y7.3
Gerard Yepes9000001407.5
N. Corrado9000100106.3
E. Saporiti8200202006.3
M. Egan7800000306.2
E. Biondini6100000106.7
S. Shpendi6100100206.5
J. Ceesay4500100006.5
F. Distefano sub45000031Y6.3
F. Bandinelli sub2900110207.2
B. Popov sub2910310107.2
K. Zedadka sub1200000106.3
D. Degli Innocenti sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Carrarese v Empoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarrareseDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
EmpoliWDDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Carrarese 1 · 1 draw · Empoli 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-23 Carrarese 3–0 Empoli
  • 2025-09-28 Empoli 2–2 Carrarese
League standing · 2026/27
Carrarese#16 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Empoli#18 pos9 pts11 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Carrarese scored0.9
Empoli scored1.09
Carrarese conceded1.3
Empoli conceded1.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Carrarese v Empoli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Carrarese v Empoli was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Empoli?
In their last 2 meetings, Carrarese won 1, Empoli won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carrarese and Empoli?
Recent form — Carrarese 0W 2D 3L; Empoli 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+