CatanzaroCarrarese

Catanzaro v Carrarese result

Full-time · Catanzaro 1–0 Carrarese

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Catanzaro 1–0 Carrarese — Catanzaro won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Catanzaro beat Carrarese 1–0 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 12 September. Carrarese are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Catanzaro: P. Iemmello (83’, assisted by S. Pafundi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with P. Iemmello’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Catanzaro 2.44, Carrarese 0.57, from 20 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Davide Di Marco, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Catanzaro: N. Mosti (53’) and Franck Tchaouna (78’); Carrarese: L. Topalović (40’) and G. Parlanti (56’).

What it changes

Catanzaro move up from 19th to 18th (four league matches played).

Carrarese move down from 16th to 20th (four league matches played).

It is Catanzaro’s first win over Carrarese since 1 September 2024, after three meetings without one (the 4 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Pafundi (Catanzaro) 9.2, P. Iemmello (Catanzaro) 7.8 and Nicolás Schiavi (Carrarese) 3.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Catanzaro are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Carrarese, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Catanzaro or Carrarese (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Catanzaro next host Palermo on 21 November 2026.

Carrarese next host Sampdoria on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Catanzaro: Catanzaro v Palermo, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Carrarese: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Catanzaro 1–0 Carrarese · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo · Catanzaro
  • Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Catanzaro 1 · draws 3 · Carrarese 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Catanzaro 1W 1D 3L · Carrarese 0W 1D 4L

Catanzaro 1–0 Carrarese (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.86 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.29 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2
Cards
against 3 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCatanzaro for / againstLineCarrarese for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 13.57 against n 7
19.5standard
13.38 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.71 for · 16.71 against n 7
21.5standard
14.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 3 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy.

Catanzaro

Catanzaro Goalkeeper

Catanzaro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Pigliacelli390270 min144.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Catanzaro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
3.57/5

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Verrengia384252 min31.1 /9051.8 /9000 /9082.9 /9041.4 /9000 /90
M. Ruggero383248 min20.7 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9093.3 /9072.5 /9010.4 /90
Matias Antonini379238 min51.9 /9083 /9010.4 /90186.8 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90
M. Dorval361184 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /9052.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Candela356167 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9042.2 /9000 /90
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Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
0.64/1
—
N. Koffi n 665.3
1.65/2
1.42/2
—
J. Petriccione n 888.5
1.36/3
1.97/4
J. Rouhi
P. Iemmello n 879.6
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
B. Verrengia n 861.5
1.14/1
0.42/0
F. Oliana
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Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Petriccione n 888.5
1.15/3
N. Koffi n 665.3
00/0
P. Iemmello n 879.6
00/0
B. Verrengia n 861.5
1.13/2
N. Mosti n 383.7
2.23/2
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Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Koffi387262 min00 /9000 /9062.1 /9031 /9041.4 /9031 /90
P. Iemmello384253 min10.4 /9000 /9062.1 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
M. D'Alessandro15858 min11.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /90
E. Pecorino11919 min00 /9000 /9029.5 /9029.5 /9014.7 /9000 /90
J. Petriccione387262 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9010.3 /90
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Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
00/0
N. Koffi n 665.3
2.14/3
1.13/2
J. Petriccione n 888.5
0.43/0
00/0
P. Iemmello n 879.6
27/6
0.84/2
B. Verrengia n 861.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
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Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
00/0
N. Koffi n 665.3
0.21/0
00/0
J. Petriccione n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
P. Iemmello n 879.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
B. Verrengia n 861.5
0.42/0
00/0
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Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Garofani390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
S. Pizzignacco19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Garofani n 390
3.33/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Romani489354 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
F. Oliana488351 min51.3 /9010.3 /9041 /90184.6 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90
F. Ruggeri487348 min102.6 /9092.3 /9041 /90184.7 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90
Tommaso Guercio32884 min22.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9099.6 /9022.1 /9000 /90
J. Rouhi480319 min41.1 /9051.4 /9000 /90143.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Romani n 488.5
0.51/1
0.52/0
—
F. Oliana n 885.6
1.15/2
0.32/0
B. Verrengia
F. Ruggeri n 886.8
1.87/4
0.84/2
—
J. Rouhi n 865.5
0.21/0
0.74/0
J. Petriccione
G. Parlanti n 870.6
2.16/4
2.27/4
—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Romani n 488.5
13/1
F. Oliana n 885.6
1.77/4
F. Ruggeri n 886.8
1.96/4
J. Rouhi n 865.5
1.44/4
G. Parlanti n 870.6
2.77/5
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cissé477306 min00 /9010.3 /9072.1 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90
F. Abiuso473292 min10.3 /9000 /90113.4 /9051.5 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
G. Marconi32884 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9033.2 /90
J. Rouhi480319 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /90133.7 /9051.4 /90
G. Parlanti479316 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Romani n 488.5
12/1
0.31/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Ruggeri n 886.8
0.43/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 865.5
0.31/1
00/0
G. Parlanti n 870.6
0.84/1
0.53/0
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Romani n 488.5
00/0
00/0
F. Oliana n 885.6
00/0
00/0
F. Ruggeri n 886.8
00/0
00/0
J. Rouhi n 865.5
00/0
0.21/0
G. Parlanti n 870.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CatanzaroCarrarese
67%Possession33%
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.57
20Shots11
2Shots on target1
10Shots off target8
8Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box5
2Corners5
1Offsides4
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves1
657Passes315
90%Pass accuracy77%

Catanzaro Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matias Antonini9000100107.2
G. Alesi9000202107.5
J. Petriccione9000100107.9
S. Pafundi9001207207.9
P. Iemmello9010213208.2
M. Pigliacelli9000000007
M. Dorval8100210007.2
M. Ruggero6700000107.2
N. Mosti67000024Y7.6
E. Pecorino6700201005.9
B. Verrengia4500001006.9
F. Tchaouna23000001Y6.2
M. Imperiale sub4500000107
A. Candela sub2300001307
N. Koffi sub2300000106.3
Franck Tchaouna sub23000001Y6.5
A. Garnica sub900000006.3

Carrarese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Ruggeri9000100206.9
F. Oliana9000000207.2
F. Reale9000000106.5
J. Rouhi9000002107.2
F. Abiuso9000200206.3
S. Pizzignacco9000000006.3
Nicolás Schiavi8700312107
J. Martini7600001106.9
G. Parlanti76000011Y6.9
L. Topalović67000004Y6.9
M. Cissé6700201106.2
T. Rubino sub2300000206.9
G. Marconi sub2300100006.3
N. Cudrig sub1400000006.2
M. Braunöder sub1400000006.5
N. Bonfanti sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Catanzaro v Carrarese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CatanzaroWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
CarrareseLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Catanzaro 1 · 3 draws · Carrarese 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-04 Carrarese 3–3 Catanzaro
  • 2025-09-13 Catanzaro 1–1 Carrarese
  • 2025-04-12 Carrarese 2–2 Catanzaro
  • 2024-09-01 Catanzaro 3–1 Carrarese
League standing · 2026/27
Catanzaro#20 pos6 pts11 pl-12 GD
Carrarese#16 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Catanzaro scored1
Carrarese scored0.9
Catanzaro conceded2.09
Carrarese conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Catanzaro v Carrarese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Catanzaro v Carrarese was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Carrarese?
In their last 4 meetings, Catanzaro won 1, Carrarese won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Catanzaro and Carrarese?
Recent form — Catanzaro 1W 1D 3L; Carrarese 0W 1D 4L.

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