CatanzaroMantova

Catanzaro v Mantova result

Full-time · Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Catanzaro · Mantova

The model’s pre-match pick

Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova — Mantova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mantova won 3–1 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 11 October. Mantova have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mantova led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Mantova: Bodin Tomašević (30’, assisted by R. Ilie), F. Ruocco (34’, assisted by F. Benaissa-Yahia) and D. Bragantini (55’, assisted by A. Castellini); Catanzaro: Matias Antonini (90’, assisted by E. Pecorino).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bodin Tomašević’s goal on 30 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Catanzaro 1.15, Mantova 2.94, from 14 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Giuseppe Mucera, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Catanzaro: M. Ruggero (86’); Mantova: S. Cella (18’) and F. Benaissa-Yahia (90+3’).

What it changes

Catanzaro stay 19th after this result (six league matches played). Catanzaro have scored six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Catanzaro have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Mantova move up from third to second (six league matches played). Mantova have scored 13 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Mantova have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Mantova are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matias Antonini (Catanzaro) 8.0, A. Castellini (Mantova) 7.8 and F. Ruocco (Mantova) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Catanzaro are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Mantova, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Catanzaro or Mantova (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Catanzaro next host Palermo on 21 November 2026.

Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Catanzaro: Catanzaro v Palermo, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo · Catanzaro
  • Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Catanzaro 2 · draws 2 · Mantova 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Catanzaro 1W 0D 4L · Mantova 2W 2D 1L

Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 25 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.86 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.57 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.71 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
18.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCatanzaro for / againstLineMantova for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.71 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 14.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera, Italy — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Catanzaro

Catanzaro Goalkeeper

Catanzaro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Pigliacelli590450 min193.8 /9051 /9000 /90
Catanzaro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
3.67/5

Catanzaro Defensive

Catanzaro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matias Antonini584418 min61.3 /90102.2 /9020.4 /90235 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90
M. Ruggero576378 min51.2 /9020.5 /9041 /90184.3 /90102.4 /9010.2 /90
A. Candela543217 min52.1 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9093.7 /9062.5 /9000 /90
B. Verrengia474297 min30.9 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9082.4 /9041.2 /9000 /90
M. Imperiale351153 min10.6 /9000 /9000 /9063.5 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Catanzaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
0.53/1
—
J. Petriccione n 888.6
1.16/2
2.28/5
F. Benaissa-Yahia
P. Iemmello n 884.6
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
G. Alesi n 878.6
0.63/1
2.18/5
—
Matias Antonini n 887.1
1.26/3
0.83/3
A. Castellini
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Catanzaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Petriccione n 888.6
1.47/3
P. Iemmello n 884.6
0.42/1
G. Alesi n 878.6
1.78/3
Matias Antonini n 887.1
1.25/3
N. Mosti n 577.6
2.85/4
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Catanzaro Attacking

Catanzaro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Iemmello587433 min20.4 /9000 /90102.1 /9040.8 /9071.5 /9030.6 /90
N. Koffi571355 min00 /9000 /9071.8 /9030.8 /9041 /9030.8 /90
E. Pecorino335106 min00 /9000 /9065.1 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9010.8 /90
M. D'Alessandro15858 min11.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /90
J. Petriccione588442 min00 /9000 /9030.6 /9000 /9091.8 /9020.4 /90
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Catanzaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
00/0
J. Petriccione n 888.6
0.43/0
00/0
P. Iemmello n 884.6
1.97/6
0.74/1
G. Alesi n 878.6
1.36/3
0.32/0
Matias Antonini n 887.1
0.43/0
00/0
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Catanzaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Catanzaro before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pigliacelli n 891.1
00/0
00/0
J. Petriccione n 888.6
00/0
00/0
P. Iemmello n 884.6
0.32/0
00/0
G. Alesi n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
Matias Antonini n 887.1
00/0
0.11/0
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Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi790630 min182.6 /9081.1 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.86/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cella790630 min101.4 /9071 /9040.6 /90263.7 /90101.4 /9000 /90
A. Castellini788616 min131.9 /90121.8 /9020.3 /90263.8 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90
Bodin Tomašević676454 min122.4 /9051 /9030.6 /90234.6 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Del Lungo17777 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Cella n 890
1.66/4
0.43/0
—
F. Bardi n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
1.86/4
0.85/1
J. Petriccione
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.37/1
0.84/1
Matias Antonini
Jonathan Silva n 772.6
1.13/2
0.73/1
—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
1.35/3
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
28/6
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.98/5
Jonathan Silva n 772.6
3.77/5
L. Ignacchiti n 771.9
2.76/6
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ruocco771497 min61.1 /9000 /90122.2 /9081.4 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90
E. Gliozzi766459 min10.2 /9010.2 /90142.7 /9061.2 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
R. Ilie765454 min10.2 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9051 /90132.6 /9071.4 /90
V. Vlahović534171 min21.1 /9010.5 /9084.2 /9031.6 /9031.6 /9000 /90
D. Bragantini528142 min00 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9031.9 /9010.6 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
A. Castellini n 888.1
0.63/2
0.32/0
Jonathan Silva n 772.6
0.42/0
00/0
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 889.4
0.11/0
00/0
A. Castellini n 888.1
00/0
0.43/0
Jonathan Silva n 772.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CatanzaroMantova
51%Possession49%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.94
14Shots17
4Shots on target8
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box11
5Corners6
2Offsides0
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves3
430Passes407
78%Pass accuracy79%

Catanzaro Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pigliacelli9000000005.5
M. Ruggero90000022Y7.5
Matias Antonini9010210107.2
M. Imperiale9000100006.3
J. Petriccione9000001207.3
S. Pafundi9000210007.2
G. Alesi7800101006.7
M. Dorval6400000306.9
P. Iemmello6400100006.2
R. Frosinini4500100306.3
N. Mosti4500001006.3
F. Tchaouna4500000306.4
F. Di Francesco sub4500002006.6
Franck Tchaouna sub4500000307
E. Pecorino sub2601221107.2
M. D'Alessandro sub2600000106.7
Gabriel Arditi sub1200000006.5

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000006.6
S. Cella90000002Y6.6
A. Castellini9001312507.2
Jonathan Silva9000001506.3
L. Ignacchiti9000101206.3
F. Benaissa-Yahia90010012Y7.2
R. Kouda8100110306.9
Bodin Tomašević7210110107.9
F. Ruocco7110224108.2
D. Bragantini6610112007.9
R. Ilie6601103007.7
I. Cajazzo sub2400001006.5
J. Longonda sub2400220106.7
E. Gliozzi sub1900000006.7
T. Del Lungo sub1800000106.2
S. Keita sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Catanzaro v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CatanzaroLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MantovaWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Catanzaro 2 · 2 draws · Mantova 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Catanzaro 2–0 Mantova
  • 2025-10-29 Mantova 1–3 Catanzaro
  • 2025-05-13 Mantova 0–0 Catanzaro
  • 2024-11-23 Catanzaro 2–2 Mantova
League standing · 2026/27
Catanzaro#20 pos6 pts11 pl-12 GD
Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Catanzaro scored1
Mantova scored1.36
Catanzaro conceded2.09
Mantova conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Catanzaro v Mantova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Catanzaro v Mantova was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Mantova?
In their last 4 meetings, Catanzaro won 2, Mantova won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Catanzaro and Mantova?
Recent form — Catanzaro 1W 0D 4L; Mantova 2W 2D 1L.

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