CesenaMantova

Cesena v Mantova result

Full-time · Cesena 1–1 Mantova

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cesena 1–1 Mantova — this Serie B – Italy match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cesena and Mantova drew 1–1 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 6 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cesena out-shot Mantova 19 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.27 xG to 0.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Mantova led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Mantova: F. Ruocco (31’); Cesena: C. Shpendi (77’, assisted by L. D'Andrea).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Shpendi’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Mantova: Rachid Kouda (19’).

What it changes

Cesena are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Mantova have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Ruocco (Mantova) 4.9, C. Shpendi (Cesena) 4.4 and Jonathan Silva (Mantova) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cesena or Mantova (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Cesena next travel to Hellas Verona on 21 November 2026.

Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cesena: Hellas Verona v Cesena, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cesena 1–1 Mantova · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Dino Manuzzi · Cesena
  • Referee: Mattia Drigo, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Cesena 2 · draws 0 · Mantova 2 · 4.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cesena 1W 2D 2L · Mantova 3W 0D 2L

Cesena 1–1 Mantova (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.25
Corners
against 6.5 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCesena for / againstLineMantova for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Mattia Drigo, Italy.

Cesena

Cesena Goalkeeper

Cesena — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Siano390270 min155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Cesena — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Siano n 690
3.86/4

Cesena Defensive

Cesena — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Ciofi390270 min00 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Ilić388264 min00 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9093.1 /9031 /9000 /90
J. Gelli290180 min00 /9021 /9021 /9094.5 /9021 /9000 /90
M. Mangraviti290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9063 /9000 /9000 /90
A. David270140 min85.1 /9063.9 /9000 /9095.8 /9063.9 /9031.9 /90
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Cesena — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Ciofi n 889.6
0.96/1
0.32/0
A. Castellini
D. Bisoli n 886.4
0.85/1
1.65/2
F. Benaissa-Yahia
A. Siano n 690
00/0
0.21/0
—
M. Ilić n 388
12/1
11/1
A. Castellini
C. Shpendi n 884.4
1.95/5
0.43/0
—
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Cesena — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Bisoli n 886.4
1.37/3
A. Ciofi n 889.6
0.63/2
M. Ilić n 388
00/0
C. Shpendi n 884.4
0.74/1
X. Druiventak n 378.7
2.32/2
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Cesena Attacking

Cesena — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Shpendi379237 min20.8 /9000 /9051.9 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9000 /90
D. Bisoli390270 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9031 /9000 /90
X. Druiventak379236 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9062.3 /90
R. Pagano378234 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9000 /90
Matteo Guidi366197 min00 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Cesena — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ciofi n 889.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
D. Bisoli n 886.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Siano n 690
00/0
00/0
M. Ilić n 388
00/0
00/0
C. Shpendi n 884.4
1.96/3
1.25/1
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Cesena — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cesena before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Siano n 690
00/0
00/0
A. Ciofi n 889.6
00/0
00/0
D. Bisoli n 886.4
00/0
00/0
M. Ilić n 388
00/0
00/0
C. Shpendi n 884.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi490360 min92.3 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.54/4

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Castellini490360 min51.3 /9082 /9020.5 /90143.5 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
S. Cella490360 min61.5 /9041 /9020.5 /90153.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Bodin Tomašević361184 min52.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9094.4 /9042 /9021 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Del Lungo17777 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.78/3
0.95/1
M. Ilić
S. Cella n 890
1.35/4
0.54/0
—
F. Bardi n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
27/4
0.54/0
D. Bisoli
L. Ignacchiti n 477.5
0.62/0
1.22/1
—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.98/4
S. Cella n 890
0.94/2
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
1.87/5
L. Ignacchiti n 477.5
23/3
E. Gliozzi n 473.8
0.31/0
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Gliozzi474295 min00 /9010.3 /9092.7 /9041.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
F. Ruocco470280 min41.3 /9000 /9082.6 /9061.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
R. Ilie467269 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9031 /9082.7 /9041.3 /90
Federico Chinetti23468 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9022.6 /9011.3 /90
V. Vlahović23365 min11.4 /9011.4 /9022.8 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Castellini n 888.1
0.84/2
0.32/0
S. Cella n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
0.74/1
0.43/0
L. Ignacchiti n 477.5
0.62/0
0.62/0
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Castellini n 888.1
00/0
0.43/0
S. Cella n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Ignacchiti n 477.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CesenaMantova
67%Possession33%
1.27Expected goals (xG)0.43
19Shots8
5Shots on target4
10Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box6
10Corners4
4Offsides0
11Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
630Passes314
87%Pass accuracy76%

Cesena Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Siano9000000007.7
A. Ciofi9000101106.5
D. Bisoli9000101106.9
R. Pagano9000003106.9
C. Shpendi9010221007.2
J. Gelli9000301207.6
M. Ilić8000000006.3
A. Fiori8000221106.3
M. Dalla Vecchia6800001006.7
Xavello Druiventak5500110106.7
A. David4500001206.3
Matteo Guidi1000000006.3
G. Frabotta sub4500304207.2
L. D'Andrea sub3501201007.2
A. Debenedetti sub2200000006.5
M. Mangraviti sub1000000006.9
Matteo Guidi sub1000000006.7

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000006.3
Bodin Tomašević9000000207.2
S. Cella9000000307
Jonathan Silva9000000406.6
F. Benaissa-Yahia9000000106.9
F. Ruocco9010211007.5
A. Castellini7600001207.3
R. Kouda76000002Y6.9
L. Ignacchiti5800110206.9
R. Ilie5800111106.3
V. Vlahović4500101006.6
E. Gliozzi sub4500100106.3
D. Bragantini sub3200110106.7
D. Wieser sub3200000006.5
F. Paoletti sub1400000106.5
T. Del Lungo sub1400000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cesena v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CesenaDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MantovaLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Cesena 2 · 0 draws · Mantova 2 · 4.25 goals/game
  • 2026-03-17 Mantova 3–0 Cesena
  • 2025-12-13 Cesena 3–2 Mantova
  • 2025-05-01 Mantova 3–0 Cesena
  • 2024-09-29 Cesena 4–2 Mantova
League standing · 2026/27
Cesena#10 pos15 pts11 pl-2 GD
Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Cesena scored1.09
Mantova scored1.36
Cesena conceded1.27
Mantova conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cesena v Mantova?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cesena v Mantova was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Mantova?
In their last 4 meetings, Cesena won 2, Mantova won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cesena and Mantova?
Recent form — Cesena 1W 2D 2L; Mantova 3W 0D 2L.

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