MantovaCremonese

Mantova v Cremonese result

Full-time · Mantova 0–2 Cremonese

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mantova · Cremonese

The model’s pre-match pick

Mantova 0–2 Cremonese — Cremonese won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cremonese won 2–0 at Stadio Danilo Martelli in Serie B – Italy on Tuesday 27 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Mantova out-shot Cremonese 20 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.97 xG to 1.32 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Cremonese led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cremonese: F. Bonazzoli (1’, assisted by J. Vandeputte) and M. Nasti (80’, assisted by D. Lordkipanidze). T. Barbieri (84’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Bonazzoli’s goal on 1 minutes.

What it changes

Mantova move down from second to fourth (nine league matches played). Mantova have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Mantova have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cremonese move up from 18th to 15th (nine league matches played). Cremonese have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Cremonese have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) 6.9, A. Fulignati (Cremonese) 6.8 and J. Vandeputte (Cremonese) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mantova or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.

Cremonese next travel to Vicenza Virtus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Cremonese: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mantova 0–2 Cremonese · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli · Mantova
  • Referee: Rapuano Andrea
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Mantova 1 · draws 0 · Cremonese 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mantova 3W 1D 1L · Cremonese 0W 3D 2L

Mantova 0–2 Cremonese (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMantova for / againstLineCremonese for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Rapuano Andrea.

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi1090900 min282.8 /9090.9 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
37/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cella1090900 min161.6 /90101 /9050.5 /90464.6 /90161.6 /9020.2 /90
A. Castellini1089886 min191.9 /90131.3 /9020.2 /90414.2 /90101 /9020.2 /90
Bodin Tomašević978706 min162 /9060.8 /9040.5 /90405.1 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90
T. Del Lungo360179 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Cella n 890
1.87/3
0.64/1
—
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
15/2
0.85/1
—
A. Castellini n 888.3
15/1
0.43/0
—
F. Ruocco n 870.3
1.97/4
2.26/5
T. Berti
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
1.97/6
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
1.88/5
A. Castellini n 888.3
27/4
F. Ruocco n 870.3
0.53/0
L. Ignacchiti n 865.3
2.25/5
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ruocco1072719 min70.9 /9000 /90192.4 /90111.4 /90101.3 /9060.8 /90
R. Ilie1067665 min10.1 /9030.4 /90141.9 /9060.8 /90192.6 /90131.8 /90
E. Gliozzi1057571 min20.3 /9010.2 /90182.8 /9081.3 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
D. Bragantini743298 min10.3 /9030.9 /9061.8 /9041.2 /9092.7 /9041.2 /90
V. Vlahović534171 min21.1 /9010.5 /9084.2 /9031.6 /9031.6 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
0.83/2
0.43/0
F. Ruocco n 870.3
2.17/5
1.16/1
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Castellini n 888.3
00/0
0.43/0
F. Ruocco n 870.3
0.85/0
00/0
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Cremonese

Cremonese Goalkeeper

Cremonese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Fulignati590450 min112.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90
F. Agazzi490360 min123 /9000 /9000 /90
Federico Agazzi490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Cremonese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Fulignati n 890
1.65/2
F. Agazzi n 490
33/2
Federico Agazzi n 490
1.52/1

Cremonese Defensive

Cremonese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Luperto984757 min91.1 /9030.4 /90101.2 /90212.5 /9020.2 /9000 /90
M. Bianchetti790630 min172.4 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90355 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
A. Vogliacco773513 min111.9 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90193.3 /9020.4 /9000 /90
F. Baschirotto577384 min51.2 /9020.5 /9040.9 /90163.8 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
G. Pezzella471284 min72.2 /9031 /9010.3 /90113.5 /9051.6 /9031 /90
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Cremonese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Berti n 865.8
0.21/0
15/1
F. Ruocco
S. Luperto n 883.4
0.32/0
0.96/1
—
J. Vandeputte n 872.3
1.66/3
0.63/1
—
S. Elia n 846.8
14/0
13/1
—
M. Nasti n 844.5
36/3
26/2
—
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Cremonese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Berti n 865.8
0.32/0
S. Luperto n 883.4
1.25/2
J. Vandeputte n 872.3
1.25/3
S. Elia n 846.8
1.74/2
M. Nasti n 844.5
14/0
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Cremonese Attacking

Cremonese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Nasti845356 min00 /9010.3 /90112.8 /9041 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
M. De Luca740280 min00 /9000 /9092.9 /9031 /9061.9 /9010.3 /90
F. Bonazzoli674442 min30.6 /9010.2 /90142.9 /9071.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
D. Stuckler15454 min11.7 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Berti1058579 min20.3 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9050.8 /90172.6 /9030.5 /90
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Cremonese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Berti n 865.8
14/2
0.73/1
S. Luperto n 883.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Vandeputte n 872.3
0.95/1
0.52/1
S. Elia n 846.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
M. Nasti n 844.5
2.87/2
13/1
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Cremonese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Berti n 865.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
S. Luperto n 883.4
00/0
0.11/0
J. Vandeputte n 872.3
00/0
0.32/0
S. Elia n 846.8
00/0
00/0
M. Nasti n 844.5
00/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MantovaCremonese
66%Possession34%
1.97Expected goals (xG)1.32
20Shots6
9Shots on target5
9Shots off target1
2Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box5
5Corners2
4Offsides3
13Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
3Saves8
651Passes351

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Bardi9000000006.3
Bodin Tomašević9000310006.7
S. Cella90000001Y6.6
A. Castellini90003130Y7
S. Trimboli90002141Y7.2
F. Benaissa-Yahia9000000306.4
R. Kouda7900102006.2
F. Ruocco7200321006.8
D. Bragantini7100312106.4
R. Ilie4500204006.8
E. Gliozzi4500002006.6
F. Vesentini3300110005.8
M. Spinaccè1900110006.5
V. Vlahović1800000006.3
L. Ignacchiti1100110006.1

Cremonese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Fulignati9000000008.5
F. Baschirotto9000000006.5
Simone Lottici Tessadri90000000Y6.4
M. Thorsby9000000206.2
T. Berti90000001Y6.1
S. Elia9000000206.6
T. Barbieri84000001R5.9
S. Luperto7700000206.7
J. Vandeputte7401111207
F. Bonazzoli7410320208.1
G. Pezzella6100001006.4
M. Nasti2910220007.5
M. De Luca1600000006.3
D. Lordkipanidze1601001006.8
A. Vogliacco1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Cremonese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MantovaWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
CremoneseDDDLL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Mantova 1 · 0 draws · Cremonese 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-04-25 Cremonese 4–2 Mantova
  • 2024-11-09 Mantova 1–0 Cremonese
League standing · 2026/27
Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Cremonese#13 pos12 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Mantova scored1.36
Cremonese scored1
Mantova conceded1
Cremonese conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mantova v Cremonese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Cremonese was Home or Draw (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Cremonese?
In their last 2 meetings, Mantova won 1, Cremonese won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mantova and Cremonese?
Recent form — Mantova 3W 1D 1L; Cremonese 0W 3D 2L.

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