Mantova v Empoli result
The model’s pre-match pick
Mantova 3–1 Empoli — Mantova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Mantova beat Empoli 3–1 at Stadio Danilo Martelli in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 30 August. Empoli have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Empoli: E. Saporiti (51’, assisted by M. Egan); Mantova: F. Ruocco (58’, assisted by A. Castellini), V. Vlahović (61’, assisted by S. Cella) and F. Benaissa-Yahia (90’, assisted by V. Vlahović).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Ruocco’s goal on 58 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Mantova 1.28, Empoli 0.46, from 16 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
A. Colombo showed eight yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Mantova: A. Castellini (42’) and F. Bardi (51’); Empoli: Gerard Yepes (23’), K. Zedadka (49’), M. Curto (57’), L. Belardinelli (74’), L. Deli (86’) and L. Magnino (90+3’).
What it changes
Mantova stay second after this result (two league matches played).
Empoli move down from fifth to 11th (two league matches played).
Mantova have won their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, V. Vlahović (Mantova) 7.0, F. Benaissa-Yahia (Mantova) 5.8 and M. Egan (Empoli) 5.6 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Mantova or Empoli (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.
Empoli next host Pisa on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Empoli: Empoli v Pisa, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Mantova 3–1 Empoli · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli · Mantova
- Referee: A. Colombo
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Mantova 0 · draws 1 · Empoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Mantova 4W 0D 1L · Empoli 2W 2D 1L
Mantova 3–1 Empoli (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Mantova for / against | Line | Empoli for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.29 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.71 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.57 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.88 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 17.71 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Colombo.
Mantova
Mantova Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bardi | 2 | 90180 min | 42 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Bardi n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Mantova Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Castellini | 2 | 90180 min | 31.5 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 73.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Cella | 2 | 90180 min | 10.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 21 /90 | 42 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Bodin Tomašević | 2 | 51101 min | 21.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 43.6 /90 | 43.6 /90 | 21.8 /90 |
| A. Meroni | 2 | 3978 min | 11.2 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Trimboli | 2 | 90180 min | 42 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 157.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimboli n 8 | 90 | 1.9 | 2.6 | Gerard Yepes |
| A. Castellini n 8 | 88.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | L. Magnino |
| S. Cella n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.4 | M. Curto |
| F. Bardi n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.5 | — |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8 | 86 | 1.6 | 0.7 | Gerard Yepes |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Castellini n 8 | 88.1 | 2.3 |
| S. Trimboli n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| S. Cella n 8 | 90 | 0.4 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8 | 86 | 1.6 |
| F. Ruocco n 8 | 65.1 | 1.2 |
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Mantova Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Gliozzi | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 21 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| F. Ruocco | 2 | 79157 min | 21.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 63.4 /90 | 42.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| R. Ilie | 2 | 62123 min | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.2 /90 | 21.5 /90 | 53.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Bragantini | 2 | 2957 min | 00 /90 | 23.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 23.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Federico Chinetti | 1 | 2323 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 13.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimboli n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| A. Castellini n 8 | 88.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| S. Cella n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| F. Bardi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8 | 86 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimboli n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| A. Castellini n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| F. Bardi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Cella n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8 | 86 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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Empoli
Empoli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
Empoli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cauz | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Curto | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Egan | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Ceesay | 1 | 5959 min | 23.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.5 /90 | 46.1 /90 | 23.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Magnino | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Magnino n 8 | 86.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | A. Castellini |
| M. Curto n 8 | 86.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | S. Cella |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 47.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | — |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | F. Benaissa-Yahia |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 82.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Curto n 8 | 86.5 | 2.1 |
| L. Magnino n 8 | 86.9 | 1.2 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 47.6 | 1.2 |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 77.5 | 2.9 |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 82.8 | 0.4 |
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Empoli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Shpendi | 1 | 6363 min | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.9 /90 | 22.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.4 /90 |
| B. Popov | 1 | 3333 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.7 /90 |
| E. Biondini | 1 | 7777 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 |
| E. Saporiti | 1 | 7777 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 33.5 /90 | 22.3 /90 |
| F. Distefano | 1 | 5757 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Magnino n 8 | 86.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| M. Curto n 8 | 86.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 47.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 77.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 82.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Magnino n 8 | 86.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| M. Curto n 8 | 86.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 47.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 77.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 82.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Mantova | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.46 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 366 | Passes | 409 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Mantova Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bardi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| S. Cella | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Castellini | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| Jonathan Silva | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| S. Trimboli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Bodin Tomašević | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Ruocco | 78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| L. Ignacchiti | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Ilie | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Gliozzi | 55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| V. Vlahović sub | 35 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| I. Cajazzo sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Kouda sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Košpo sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Longonda sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Empoli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Magnino | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| M. Curto | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.9 |
| C. Cauz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Egan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Shpendi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Saporiti | 86 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| N. Corrado | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Gerard Yepes | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| F. Distefano | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Zedadka | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.6 |
| L. Belardinelli sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| L. Deli sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| B. Popov sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Orlandi sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Roberto Berizzi sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Mantova v Empoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-14 Empoli 2–2 Mantova
- 2025-12-21 Mantova 0–1 Empoli
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Mantova v Empoli?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Empoli was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Betfair).
- What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Empoli?
- In their last 2 meetings, Mantova won 0, Empoli won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Mantova and Empoli?
- Recent form — Mantova 4W 0D 1L; Empoli 2W 2D 1L.
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