MantovaSampdoria

Mantova v Sampdoria result

Full-time · Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Danilo Martelli

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mantova · Sampdoria

The model’s pre-match pick

Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria — Mantova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mantova beat Sampdoria 2–0 at Stadio Danilo Martelli in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 13 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sampdoria out-shot Mantova 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.75 xG to 1.13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Mantova: F. Ruocco (58’, assisted by A. Castellini) and J. Longonda (66’, assisted by R. Ilie).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Ruocco’s goal on 58 minutes.

Discipline

Daniele Chiffi, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Mantova: F. Benaissa-Yahia (16’); Sampdoria: L. Insigne (28’) and L. Henderson (44’).

What it changes

Mantova stay first after this result (four league matches played).

Sampdoria move down from 19th to 20th (four league matches played).

Sampdoria are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Mantova have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Ruocco (Mantova) 6.7, A. Castellini (Mantova) 6.1 and J. Longonda (Mantova) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Mantova are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sampdoria.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mantova or Sampdoria (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Mantova next travel to Avellino on 21 November 2026.

Sampdoria next travel to Carrarese on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mantova: Avellino v Mantova, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Sampdoria: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli · Mantova
  • Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Mantova 2 · draws 1 · Sampdoria 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mantova 3W 1D 1L · Sampdoria 0W 1D 4L

Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 6.13
Corners
against 5.63 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMantova for / againstLineSampdoria for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 14.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy.

Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Bardi590450 min132.6 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 890
2.95/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cella590450 min91.8 /9051 /9030.6 /90183.6 /9051 /9000 /90
A. Castellini587436 min71.4 /90102.1 /9020.4 /90173.5 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
Bodin Tomašević469274 min72.3 /9041.3 /9031 /90134.3 /9051.6 /9020.7 /90
A. Meroni23978 min11.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Del Lungo17777 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Cella n 890
1.35/4
0.43/0
M. Cicconi
F. Bardi n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
27/4
0.75/0
L. Henderson
A. Castellini n 888.1
1.57/3
0.84/1
A. Di Pardo
F. Ruocco n 871.1
1.46/3
2.47/6
—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
1.14/3
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
1.87/5
A. Castellini n 888.1
28/5
F. Ruocco n 871.1
1.34/2
L. Ignacchiti n 573.6
2.24/4
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Ruocco574370 min51.2 /9000 /90102.4 /9071.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
E. Gliozzi568340 min00 /9010.3 /90102.6 /9041.1 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
R. Ilie565327 min10.3 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9092.5 /9051.4 /90
V. Vlahović337110 min10.8 /9010.8 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9000 /90
D. Bragantini33089 min00 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
0.74/1
0.43/0
A. Castellini n 888.1
0.84/2
0.32/0
F. Ruocco n 871.1
1.76/3
1.15/1
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Cella n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Bardi n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 886
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Castellini n 888.1
00/0
0.43/0
F. Ruocco n 871.1
0.85/0
00/0
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Sampdoria

Sampdoria Goalkeeper

Sampdoria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Vindahl490360 min82 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 490
22/2

Sampdoria Defensive

Sampdoria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Di Pardo490360 min71.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90184.5 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Cicconi490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90133.3 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90
S. Gartenmann490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90225.5 /9041 /9000 /90
M. Viti388265 min62 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90206.8 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Delli Carri19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Henderson n 881.6
2.28/5
1.16/2
F. Benaissa-Yahia
M. Cicconi n 863
1.34/2
1.15/1
S. Cella
S. Gartenmann n 490
12/1
1.53/1
—
A. Di Pardo n 888.4
0.42/1
1.45/3
A. Castellini
P. Vindahl n 490
00/0
00/0
—
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Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Di Pardo n 888.4
25/5
M. Cicconi n 863
26/3
S. Gartenmann n 490
1.53/1
L. Henderson n 881.6
1.46/3
D. Sinani n 478.8
1.12/1
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Sampdoria Attacking

Sampdoria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Sinani479315 min00 /9000 /9072 /9030.9 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
G. Tutino474296 min10.3 /9000 /9072.1 /9041.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
T. Begić341124 min00 /9000 /9042.9 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9075.1 /90
F. Depaoli257114 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /90
L. Insigne17070 min11.3 /9000 /9033.9 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9022.6 /90
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Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Henderson n 881.6
2.15/4
1.15/1
S. Gartenmann n 490
0.51/1
00/0
A. Di Pardo n 888.4
0.43/0
00/0
M. Cicconi n 863
0.21/0
0.21/0
P. Vindahl n 490
00/0
00/0
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Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gartenmann n 490
00/0
0.31/0
L. Henderson n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
P. Vindahl n 490
00/0
00/0
A. Di Pardo n 888.4
00/0
00/0
M. Cicconi n 863
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MantovaSampdoria
52%Possession48%
1.13Expected goals (xG)1.75
10Shots13
5Shots on target2
3Shots off target9
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box9
5Corners5
5Offsides4
13Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
505Passes462
85%Pass accuracy81%

Mantova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bodin Tomašević9000000107
S. Cella9000000107.2
A. Castellini9001001308
Jonathan Silva9000100407.5
R. Kouda9000002006.9
F. Benaissa-Yahia90000012Y6.9
F. Bardi9000000006.9
R. Ilie7201113106.9
F. Ruocco7210210108
L. Ignacchiti5500001407.5
E. Gliozzi5500001006.7
J. Longonda sub3510110207.9
V. Vlahović sub3500110006.5
D. Bragantini sub1800110006.6
I. Cajazzo sub1800100006.7

Sampdoria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Vindahl9000000007.3
A. Di Pardo9000000206.9
S. Gartenmann9000000206.7
F. Delli Carri9000101106.7
M. Cicconi9000203006.2
A. Makoumbou9000000206.9
Y. Verschaeren9000000006
L. Henderson72000002Y6.3
L. Insigne72001100Y5.9
G. Tutino5700101006.2
T. Begić4500000006.5
O. Abildgaard sub4500200107.3
T. Lauritsen sub3300210005.6
D. Sinani sub1800101006.3
Y. Karamoh sub1800101006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mantova v Sampdoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MantovaWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SampdoriaLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Mantova 2 · 1 draw · Sampdoria 1 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 Mantova 2–1 Sampdoria
  • 2025-11-02 Sampdoria 0–1 Mantova
  • 2025-01-25 Mantova 2–2 Sampdoria
  • 2024-10-27 Sampdoria 1–0 Mantova
League standing · 2026/27
Mantova#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Sampdoria#19 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Mantova scored1.36
Sampdoria scored1
Mantova conceded1
Sampdoria conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mantova v Sampdoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mantova v Sampdoria was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Mantova and Sampdoria?
In their last 4 meetings, Mantova won 2, Sampdoria won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mantova and Sampdoria?
Recent form — Mantova 3W 1D 1L; Sampdoria 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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