Monza v Bari result
The model’s pre-match pick
Monza 2–0 Bari — Monza won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Monza beat Bari 2–0 at Brianteo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 11 April.
Monza have conceded 30 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games).
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Monza: Pedro Obiang (50’, assisted by Andrea Petagna) and M. Pessina (79’, assisted by G. Caso).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro Obiang’s goal on 50 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Monza 2.01, Bari 0.21, from 18 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
F. La Penna showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monza: Andrea Petagna (70’); Bari: G. Maggiore (64’) and M. Dorval (90+4’).
What it changes
Monza stay third after this result (34 league matches played). Monza have scored 59 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games).
Bari stay 17th after this result (34 league matches played). Bari have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Bari have conceded 58 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Monza are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Pessina (Monza) 6.1, Andrea Colpani (Monza) 5.7 and Filippo Delli Carri (Monza) 4.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Monza or Bari (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Monza 2–0 Bari · Serie B – Italy
- Venue: Brianteo · Monza
- Referee: F. La Penna
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Monza 0 · draws 1 · Bari 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Monza 1W 3D 1L · Bari 2W 0D 3L
Monza 2–0 Bari (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monza for / against | Line | Bari for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.25 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: F. La Penna — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 31.8 fouls over 5 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Monza
Monza Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Paulo Azzi n 8 | 78.8 | 0.7 | 0 | — |
| M. Pessina n 8 | 86.9 | 1.3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Obiang n 8 | 70 | 1 | 1.1 | — |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 78.8 | 1.1 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| Paulo Azzi n 8 | 78.8 | 2.6 |
| M. Pessina n 8 | 86.9 | 1.4 |
| Pedro Obiang n 8 | 70 | 2.6 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 78.8 | 1.4 |
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Monza Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Paulo Azzi n 8 | 78.8 | 1 | 0.4 |
| M. Pessina n 8 | 86.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Pedro Obiang n 8 | 70 | 0.3 | 0 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 78.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Paulo Azzi n 8 | 78.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| M. Pessina n 8 | 86.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Pedro Obiang n 8 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 78.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Bari
Bari Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 73.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | — |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | — |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 60 | 2.6 | 1.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 0 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 73.5 | 2.1 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.1 | 0.8 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 60 | 2.4 |
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Bari Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 73.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cerofolini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 81.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| M. Dorval n 8 | 73.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Emanuele Rao n 8 | 71.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| M. Braunöder n 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Monza | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Possession | 35% |
| 2.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.21 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 551 | Passes | 301 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
Monza Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Ravanelli | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Delli Carri | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Pessina | 96 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Paulo Azzi | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Colpani | 96 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7.9 |
| L. Lucchesi | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Petagna | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| S. Birindelli | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Dany Mota | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Pedro Obiang | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| L. Colombo sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| G. Caso sub | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Bakoune sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Álvarez sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Carboni sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Bari Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pissardo | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Cistana | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Odenthal | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Mantovani | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Artioli | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Emanuele Rao | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Moncini | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Piscopo | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Tomás Esteves | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Moussa Mane | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| G. Maggiore | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| M. Verreth sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Dorval sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| M. Çuni sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Cavuoti sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Gytkjær sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Monza v Bari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-31 Bari 1–1 Monza
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Monza v Bari?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Bari was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Bari?
- In their last 1 meetings, Monza won 0, Bari won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Monza and Bari?
- Recent form — Monza 1W 3D 1L; Bari 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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