MonzaBari

Monza v Bari result

Full-time · Monza 2–0 Bari

Serie B – Italy · · Brianteo

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Monza 2–0 Bari — Monza won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Monza beat Bari 2–0 at Brianteo in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 11 April.

Monza have conceded 30 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Monza: Pedro Obiang (50’, assisted by Andrea Petagna) and M. Pessina (79’, assisted by G. Caso).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro Obiang’s goal on 50 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Monza 2.01, Bari 0.21, from 18 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. La Penna showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monza: Andrea Petagna (70’); Bari: G. Maggiore (64’) and M. Dorval (90+4’).

What it changes

Monza stay third after this result (34 league matches played). Monza have scored 59 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games).

Bari stay 17th after this result (34 league matches played). Bari have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Bari have conceded 58 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Monza are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Pessina (Monza) 6.1, Andrea Colpani (Monza) 5.7 and Filippo Delli Carri (Monza) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Monza or Bari (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monza 2–0 Bari · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Brianteo · Monza
  • Referee: F. La Penna
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Monza 0 · draws 1 · Bari 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monza 1W 3D 1L · Bari 2W 0D 3L

Monza 2–0 Bari (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.5 / 7.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.38
Cards
against 2 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.4 yellows
Referee · F. La Penna
31.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMonza for / againstLineBari for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 7.5 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: F. La Penna — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 31.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Monza

Monza Defensive

Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Thiam n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Paulo Azzi n 878.8
0.74/1
00/0
—
M. Pessina n 886.9
1.36/2
15/2
—
Pedro Obiang n 870
15/1
1.15/2
—
S. Birindelli n 878.8
1.16/2
15/2
—
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Thiam n 890
00/0
Paulo Azzi n 878.8
2.67/6
M. Pessina n 886.9
1.46/3
Pedro Obiang n 870
2.66/3
S. Birindelli n 878.8
1.45/2
See more players · Pro

Monza Attacking

Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Thiam n 890
00/0
00/0
Paulo Azzi n 878.8
14/2
0.42/1
M. Pessina n 886.9
0.94/1
0.63/1
Pedro Obiang n 870
0.32/0
00/0
S. Birindelli n 878.8
0.75/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Thiam n 890
00/0
00/0
Paulo Azzi n 878.8
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Pessina n 886.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
Pedro Obiang n 870
00/0
00/0
S. Birindelli n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Bari

Bari Defensive

Bari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Moncini n 881.8
1.46/2
0.73/2
—
M. Dorval n 873.5
1.14/2
0.96/0
—
Emanuele Rao n 871.1
0.53/0
2.48/5
—
M. Braunöder n 860
2.66/5
1.76/1
—
See more players · Pro
Bari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
00/0
M. Dorval n 873.5
2.16/4
Emanuele Rao n 871.1
0.84/1
M. Braunöder n 860
2.46/3
See more players · Pro

Bari Attacking

Bari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
1.77/3
1.16/2
M. Dorval n 873.5
0.21/0
00/0
Emanuele Rao n 871.1
1.76/4
1.45/3
M. Braunöder n 860
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Bari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bari before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cerofolini n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Moncini n 881.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Dorval n 873.5
00/0
0.52/1
Emanuele Rao n 871.1
0.63/1
0.21/0
M. Braunöder n 860
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonzaBari
65%Possession35%
2.01Expected goals (xG)0.21
18Shots7
8Shots on target0
4Shots off target4
6Blocked shots3
15Shots inside the box2
7Corners1
2Offsides0
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves5
551Passes301
87%Pass accuracy80%

Monza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Thiam9600000006.7
L. Ravanelli9600110206.9
F. Delli Carri9600101507.2
M. Pessina9610211008.3
Paulo Azzi9600102007
A. Colpani9600222507.9
L. Lucchesi8900000007.2
A. Petagna83011110Y7.2
S. Birindelli6700213207.7
Dany Mota6700000006.2
Pedro Obiang6610110008.6
L. Colombo sub3000000006.3
G. Caso sub2901113007.5
A. Bakoune sub2900001207.3
A. Álvarez sub1300000006.9
A. Carboni sub70000000–

Bari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pissardo9600000007.3
A. Cistana9600000306.9
C. Odenthal9600000506.9
V. Mantovani9600000107
F. Artioli9600100206.9
Emanuele Rao9600101106.2
G. Moncini8300102006.7
K. Piscopo8200000306.6
Tomás Esteves8200000006.3
Moussa Mane6600000106.6
G. Maggiore66000001Y7
M. Verreth sub3000100006.6
M. Dorval sub30000000Y7.2
M. Çuni sub1400000006.3
N. Cavuoti sub1400001006.5
C. Gytkjær sub1300001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monza v Bari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonzaLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BariLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Monza 0 · 1 draw · Bari 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-31 Bari 1–1 Monza
League standing · 2025/26
Monza#3 pos76 pts38 pl+29 GD
Bari#17 pos40 pts38 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Monza scored1.61
Bari scored1
Monza conceded0.84
Bari conceded1.58

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monza v Bari?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Bari was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Bari?
In their last 1 meetings, Monza won 0, Bari won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monza and Bari?
Recent form — Monza 1W 3D 1L; Bari 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+