PadovaReggiana

Padova v Reggiana result

Full-time · Padova 1–0 Reggiana

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Euganeo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Padova · Reggiana

The model’s pre-match pick

Padova 1–0 Reggiana — Padova won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Padova beat Reggiana 1–0 at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 19 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Padova: A. Seghetti (80’, assisted by G. Caprari).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Seghetti’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Padova 1.38, Reggiana 1.08, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Mucera showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Reggiana: T. Reinhart (24’) and S. Bonetti (50’).

What it changes

Padova have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Padova have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Reggiana have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games). Reggiana have conceded 56 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Faedo (Padova) 5.1, C. Pastina (Padova) 5.1 and M. Portanova (Reggiana) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Padova or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Padova next travel to Arezzo on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Padova: Arezzo v Padova, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Padova 1–0 Reggiana · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Euganeo · Padova
  • Referee: G. Mucera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Padova 1 · draws 0 · Reggiana 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Padova 1W 0D 4L · Reggiana 1W 1D 3L

Padova 1–0 Reggiana (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.13
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 6.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · G. Mucera
26 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePadova for / againstLineReggiana for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9.63 for · 18.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: G. Mucera — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 26 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Padova

Padova Defensive

Padova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Capelli n 879.8
0.74/1
1.36/3
T. Reinhart
P. Fusi n 874.3
3.97/7
0.82/2
T. Reinhart
M. Perrotta n 888.3
1.76/3
0.65/0
—
M. Bortolussi n 878.6
0.42/1
2.78/7
M. Portanova
K. Varas n 874.9
1.15/2
1.85/3
T. Reinhart
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Padova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Capelli n 879.8
1.65/4
P. Fusi n 874.3
3.68/6
M. Perrotta n 888.3
1.46/3
M. Bortolussi n 878.6
0.43/0
K. Varas n 874.9
2.36/3
See more players · Pro

Padova Attacking

Padova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Capelli n 879.8
0.73/1
0.31/1
P. Fusi n 874.3
0.83/1
0.21/0
M. Perrotta n 888.3
0.32/0
00/0
M. Bortolussi n 878.6
1.14/2
14/1
K. Varas n 874.9
0.53/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Padova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Padova before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Capelli n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
P. Fusi n 874.3
00/0
0.21/0
M. Perrotta n 888.3
00/0
00/0
M. Bortolussi n 878.6
0.43/0
00/0
K. Varas n 874.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Reggiana

Reggiana Defensive

Reggiana — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Papetti n 884.4
0.73/1
2.46/5
—
M. Portanova n 887
1.76/5
1.88/5
M. Bortolussi
T. Reinhart n 866.3
1.75/3
1.23/3
K. Varas
Charlys n 857.1
1.86/3
0.83/1
—
M. Rover n 873.8
1.75/4
1.24/3
—
See more players · Pro
Reggiana — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Papetti n 884.4
1.16/2
M. Portanova n 887
1.86/5
T. Reinhart n 866.3
15/1
Charlys n 857.1
2.85/4
M. Rover n 873.8
26/5
See more players · Pro

Reggiana Attacking

Reggiana — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Papetti n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
M. Portanova n 887
0.65/0
0.32/0
T. Reinhart n 866.3
0.52/1
00/0
Charlys n 857.1
1.46/1
00/0
M. Rover n 873.8
0.85/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Reggiana — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reggiana before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Papetti n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Portanova n 887
0.11/0
00/0
T. Reinhart n 866.3
00/0
00/0
Charlys n 857.1
00/0
00/0
M. Rover n 873.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PadovaReggiana
56%Possession44%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.08
10Shots12
2Shots on target3
5Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box3
5Corners2
0Offsides1
16Fouls19
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
438Passes333
81%Pass accuracy74%

Padova Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sorrentino9000000007.3
C. Faedo9000001507.2
L. Villa9000000107.3
C. Pastina9000100407.9
A. Capelli9000002107
L. Crisetig9000000207.2
G. Favale9000101307
K. Varas7700100107
M. Bortolussi7700000006.3
P. Fusi6800111407.2
F. Di Mariano6800100006.9
L. Di Maggio sub2200002206.7
G. Caprari sub2201101006.2
Jonathan Silva sub1300000106.6
A. Seghetti sub1310110107

Reggiana Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Micai9000000006.6
L. Libutti9000001206.6
F. Vicari9000001106.9
Mateus Lusuardi9000100006.2
T. Reinhart90001101Y7.2
M. Portanova9000202406.2
M. Bertagnoli8100100106.9
M. Lambourde8100101206.5
C. Gondo7300111106.2
S. Bonetti56000002Y6.9
K. Bozhanaj4500200106.2
M. Rover sub4500000006.5
A. Tripaldelli sub3400001107
A. Novaković sub1700110006.3
Charlys sub900000107
Tommaso Fumagalli sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Padova v Reggiana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PadovaLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ReggianaLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Padova 1 · 0 draws · Reggiana 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-13 Reggiana 1–2 Padova
League standing · 2025/26
Padova#10 pos46 pts38 pl-10 GD
Reggiana#18 pos37 pts38 pl-20 GD
Goals per game
Padova scored1.03
Reggiana scored0.95
Padova conceded1.29
Reggiana conceded1.47

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Padova v Reggiana?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Padova v Reggiana was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Padova and Reggiana?
In their last 1 meetings, Padova won 1, Reggiana won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Padova and Reggiana?
Recent form — Padova 1W 0D 4L; Reggiana 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+