PalermoJuve Stabia

Palermo v Juve Stabia result

Full-time · Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Renzo Barbera

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The model’s pre-match pick

Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo beat Juve Stabia 1–0 at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Serie B – Italy on Sunday 23 August. It is Palermo’s first win over Juve Stabia since 19 January 2025, after three meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Palermo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: D. Johnsen (4’, assisted by J. Pohjanpalo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Johnsen’s goal on 4 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Palermo 1.21, Juve Stabia 1.04, from 16 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Giuseppe Collu, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Palermo: T. Cassandro (45+2’), J. Segre (46’), T. Augello (62’) and E. Gyasi (88’); Juve Stabia: Romeo Sandrucci (90’).

What it changes

Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Juve Stabia have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Juve Stabia have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have won their last three matches in all competitions. Juve Stabia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Palermo have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Pierobon (Juve Stabia) 8.4, D. Johnsen (Palermo) 7.9 and Hernani (Palermo) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Juve Stabia are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Palermo.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palermo or Juve Stabia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Juve Stabia next host Arezzo on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Juve Stabia: Juve Stabia v Arezzo, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera · Palermo
  • Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Palermo 2 · draws 1 · Juve Stabia 2 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palermo 3W 0D 2L · Juve Stabia 1W 2D 2L

Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 2.88
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · Giuseppe Collu, Italy
32.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalermo for / againstLineJuve Stabia for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 32.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin18585 min33.2 /9000 /9000 /90

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Pierozzi19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
P. Ceccaroni19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Peda19090 min11 /9022 /9033 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Augello19090 min33 /9033 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Vavassori19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Peda n 860.9
1.86/1
0.74/0
—
J. Segre n 878.3
1.65/4
13/2
C. Pierobon
N. Pierozzi n 873
0.94/2
1.26/2
—
T. Augello n 880.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
M. Ricciardi
P. Ceccaroni n 885.9
0.32/0
1.26/2
M. Bellich
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Peda n 860.9
2.86/3
J. Segre n 878.3
1.76/5
P. Ceccaroni n 885.9
1.66/3
T. Augello n 880.8
1.45/3
N. Pierozzi n 873
0.64/0
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
J. Pohjanpalo14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
Gabriel Strefezza12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Vavassori19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
J. Segre19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Ceccaroni n 885.9
0.95/2
0.32/0
J. Segre n 878.3
0.94/2
0.32/0
P. Peda n 860.9
0.93/1
0.72/1
T. Augello n 880.8
0.42/1
00/0
N. Pierozzi n 873
0.32/0
00/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Pierozzi n 873
00/0
0.32/0
P. Peda n 860.9
00/0
0.21/0
P. Ceccaroni n 885.9
00/0
00/0
T. Augello n 880.8
00/0
00/0
J. Segre n 878.3
00/0
00/0
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Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia Goalkeeper

Juve Stabia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Boer19090 min22 /9044 /9000 /90
Juve Stabia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juve Stabia before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Boer n 784.1
2.36/2

Juve Stabia Defensive

Juve Stabia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Baldi19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
M. Bellich19090 min11 /9011 /9044 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Ricciardi19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Scuderi17777 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /90
C. Pierobon19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9088 /9000 /9000 /90
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Juve Stabia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juve Stabia before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Buglio n 390
23/3
0.72/0
—
C. Pierobon n 859
1.96/4
2.75/5
J. Segre
M. Ricciardi n 856.6
15/0
24/4
T. Augello
M. Baldi n 365
0.92/0
00/0
—
M. Bellich n 878
0.63/1
0.43/0
P. Ceccaroni
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Juve Stabia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juve Stabia before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Pierobon n 859
2.98/4
M. Baldi n 365
1.82/1
M. Ricciardi n 856.6
0.83/1
D. Buglio n 390
0.72/0
M. Bellich n 878
0.63/1
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Juve Stabia Attacking

Juve Stabia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Patane18585 min00 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.1 /9000 /90
L. Candellone17777 min11.2 /9000 /9033.5 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
K. Piscopo16767 min00 /9000 /9034 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Fernandes12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9014.1 /90
C. Pierobon19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9033 /90
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Juve Stabia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juve Stabia before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bellich n 878
0.94/2
0.11/0
C. Pierobon n 859
0.82/1
0.42/0
M. Ricciardi n 856.6
0.82/2
0.21/0
D. Buglio n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
M. Baldi n 365
0.51/0
00/0
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Juve Stabia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juve Stabia before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Buglio n 390
00/0
0.31/0
C. Pierobon n 859
0.21/0
00/0
P. Boer n 784.1
00/0
00/0
M. Bellich n 878
00/0
00/0
M. Baldi n 365
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalermoJuve Stabia
47%Possession53%
1.21Expected goals (xG)1.04
16Shots13
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box7
6Corners6
1Offsides4
21Fouls11
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
374Passes441
83%Pass accuracy83%

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Fortin9000000007.9
M. Bani9000000207.3
P. Ceccaroni9000000007.2
T. Augello90000021Y7.9
J. Segre90000001Y6.2
Hernani9000103507.7
D. Johnsen8510213107.9
J. Pohjanpalo8501221006.9
T. Cassandro72001000Y7.2
F. Ranocchia6400311307.6
D. Vavassori6400111106.6
N. Estévez sub2600000206.9
Gabriel Strefezza sub2600000005.9
P. Peda sub1800000006.3
E. Gyasi sub12000000Y6.3
J. Le Douaron sub1200100006.5

Juve Stabia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Boer9000000007.2
M. Ricciardi9000000206.3
D. Bettella9000000007.2
M. Bellich9000000106.9
C. Pierobon9000002207.7
L. Candellone9000210106.2
N. Patane8500101306.7
D. Buglio7500001007.3
K. Piscopo7500003106.5
G. Scuderi6700100306.9
T. Battistella6700221306.9
T. Douglas sub2300001207.3
N. Karić sub2300112106.9
F. Artioli sub1500000006.6
S. Fernandes sub1500000006.3
Romeo Sandrucci sub12000000Y6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Palermo v Juve Stabia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalermoWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Juve StabiaDWDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Palermo 2 · 1 draw · Juve Stabia 2 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2026-03-17 Palermo 2–2 Juve Stabia
  • 2025-11-08 Juve Stabia 1–0 Palermo
  • 2025-05-17 Juve Stabia 1–0 Palermo
  • 2025-01-19 Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia
  • 2024-09-14 Juve Stabia 1–3 Palermo
League standing · 2026/27
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Juve Stabia#16 pos9 pts10 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Palermo scored2.4
Juve Stabia scored1.1
Palermo conceded1.2
Juve Stabia conceded1.1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Palermo v Juve Stabia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Juve Stabia was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Juve Stabia?
In their last 5 meetings, Palermo won 2, Juve Stabia won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Juve Stabia?
Recent form — Palermo 3W 0D 2L; Juve Stabia 1W 2D 2L.

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