PalermoSampdoria

Palermo v Sampdoria result

Full-time · Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria

Serie B – Italy · · Stadio Renzo Barbera

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria — Palermo won this Serie B – Italy match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.16 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palermo beat Sampdoria 3–1 at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Serie B – Italy on Monday 7 September. Palermo have won their last six matches in all competitions. Sampdoria are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Palermo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Palermo: Gabriel Strefezza (9’, assisted by T. Augello), J. Pohjanpalo (33’) and A. Palumbo (90+4’, assisted by D. Johnsen); Sampdoria: L. Insigne (63’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabriel Strefezza’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marchetti showed five yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Palermo: M. Bani (47’) and A. Palumbo (90+2’); Sampdoria: L. Henderson (18’), L. Insigne (18’) and M. Cicconi (90+6’).

What it changes

Palermo move up from second to first (three league matches played). Palermo have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Palermo have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sampdoria move down from 12th to 19th (three league matches played). Sampdoria have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sampdoria have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Palermo have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Palumbo (Palermo) 6.8, Gabriel Strefezza (Palermo) 5.9 and T. Augello (Palermo) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Palermo are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sampdoria, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palermo or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Palermo next travel to Ascoli on 6 November 2026.

Sampdoria next travel to Carrarese on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palermo: Ascoli v Palermo, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Sampdoria: Carrarese v Sampdoria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria · Serie B – Italy
  • Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera · Palermo
  • Referee: M. Marchetti
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Palermo 2 · draws 4 · Sampdoria 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palermo 5W 0D 0L · Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L

Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria (Serie B – Italy): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Shots on target
against 6 / 2.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalermo for / againstLineSampdoria for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 17 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Marchetti.

Palermo

Palermo Goalkeeper

Palermo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Fortin388265 min134.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Perin19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Palermo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Fortin n 388.3
4.43/3

Palermo Defensive

Palermo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Ceccaroni390270 min41.3 /9000 /9020.7 /90113.7 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Augello390270 min41.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90124 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
T. Cassandro362186 min73.4 /9021 /9000 /90146.8 /9062.9 /9010.5 /90
P. Peda346137 min21.3 /9032 /9032 /90106.6 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Bani290180 min31.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9094.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Palermo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Segre n 872.6
1.55/4
0.62/2
L. Henderson
D. Vavassori n 468.5
12/1
1.63/1
—
D. Johnsen n 861.8
1.14/2
1.56/1
—
J. Pohjanpalo n 867.6
1.35/3
0.53/0
—
Hernani n 457.5
1.21/1
1.64/0
L. Henderson
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Palermo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Segre n 872.6
1.56/3
D. Vavassori n 468.5
0.72/0
D. Johnsen n 861.8
1.14/2
J. Pohjanpalo n 867.6
00/0
Hernani n 457.5
3.13/2
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Palermo Attacking

Palermo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Pohjanpalo460241 min31.1 /9010.4 /9072.6 /9051.9 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
J. Le Douaron14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /90
J. Segre472287 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9041.3 /90
D. Vavassori469274 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9041.3 /90
D. Johnsen463252 min31.1 /9031.1 /9062.1 /9041.4 /9093.2 /9062.1 /90
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Palermo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Segre n 872.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Vavassori n 468.5
1.33/1
1.33/1
D. Johnsen n 861.8
26/4
1.36/1
J. Pohjanpalo n 867.6
1.87/4
1.25/2
Hernani n 457.5
23/2
00/0
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Palermo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Palermo before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Segre n 872.6
00/0
0.21/0
D. Vavassori n 468.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Johnsen n 861.8
0.74/0
0.53/0
J. Pohjanpalo n 867.6
0.84/1
0.21/0
Hernani n 457.5
00/0
0.41/0
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Sampdoria

Sampdoria Goalkeeper

Sampdoria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Vindahl390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 390
1.71/1

Sampdoria Defensive

Sampdoria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Di Pardo390270 min72.3 /9031 /9000 /90144.7 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Cicconi390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90
S. Gartenmann390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90155 /9041.3 /9000 /90
M. Viti388265 min62 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90206.8 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Meijer12929 min13.1 /9000 /9000 /9039.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Henderson n 878.1
2.38/5
15/2
Hernani
S. Gartenmann n 390
1.32/1
23/1
—
M. Cicconi n 863
0.73/1
1.35/2
—
A. Di Pardo n 887.5
0.42/1
15/2
—
P. Vindahl n 390
00/0
00/0
—
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Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Di Pardo n 887.5
2.46/6
M. Cicconi n 863
26/3
S. Gartenmann n 390
1.72/1
L. Henderson n 878.1
1.25/2
M. Viti n 889.4
1.97/4
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Sampdoria Attacking

Sampdoria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Sinani387262 min00 /9000 /9062.1 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
G. Tutino369206 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
F. Depaoli257114 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /90
T. Begić24487 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9066.2 /90
Giuseppe Forte16161 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Henderson n 878.1
1.75/3
14/1
S. Gartenmann n 390
0.71/1
00/0
A. Di Pardo n 887.5
0.43/0
00/0
M. Cicconi n 863
0.42/0
0.21/0
P. Vindahl n 390
00/0
00/0
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Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gartenmann n 390
00/0
0.31/0
L. Henderson n 878.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Vindahl n 390
00/0
00/0
A. Di Pardo n 887.5
00/0
00/0
M. Cicconi n 863
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalermoSampdoria
46%Possession54%
14Shots14
6Shots on target5
5Shots off target9
3Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box9
2Corners5
1Offsides2
14Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves3
423Passes489

Palermo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Perin9000000006.8
M. Bani90001011Y6.9
P. Ceccaroni9000000106.9
T. Augello9001001106.4
J. Segre9000002306.7
D. Johnsen9001621007
J. Pohjanpalo8410111008
D. Vavassori6900101006.5
N. Pierozzi6500001006.6
F. Ranocchia6500100206.6
Hernani4500000006.3
A. Palumbo45102122Y6.8
N. Estévez2500000106.6
T. Cassandro2500000006.3
Gabriel Strefezza2110110207.9
A. Gabrielloni600110006.7

Sampdoria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Vindahl9000001006.1
A. Di Pardo9000000006.1
S. Gartenmann9000001106.2
F. Delli Carri9000000006.3
M. Cicconi90000011Y5.7
A. Makoumbou9000000006.7
L. Henderson90004102Y6.2
G. Tutino9000312006.5
Y. Verschaeren8300111105.8
L. Insigne70103210Y7.6
D. Sinani5300103006.8
T. Begić3700200206.5
O. Abildgaard2000001106
Lorenzo Mezzotero700000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Palermo v Sampdoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalermoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
SampdoriaWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Palermo 2 · 4 draws · Sampdoria 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-10 Sampdoria 3–3 Palermo
  • 2025-12-12 Palermo 1–0 Sampdoria
  • 2025-03-08 Sampdoria 1–1 Palermo
  • 2024-11-24 Palermo 1–1 Sampdoria
  • 2024-05-17 Palermo 2–0 Sampdoria
  • 2024-04-06 Palermo 2–2 Sampdoria
League standing · 2026/27
Palermo#1 pos26 pts10 pl+12 GD
Sampdoria#19 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Palermo scored2.4
Sampdoria scored1
Palermo conceded1.2
Sampdoria conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Palermo v Sampdoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palermo v Sampdoria was Home or Draw (best price 1.16 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Sampdoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Palermo won 2, Sampdoria won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palermo and Sampdoria?
Recent form — Palermo 5W 0D 0L; Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L.

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