Sudtirol v Mantova prediction

Serie B – Italy · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Marco Druso

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sudtirol v Mantova, Serie B – Italy on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sudtirol host Mantova in Serie B – Italy on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 14:00 UK).

The key numbers

Three of Sudtirol’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Sudtirol are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in seven of Sudtirol’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Sudtirol have two wins, six draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 0.50. Sudtirol have scored 11 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sudtirol have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Mantova’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Mantova have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.56. Mantova have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Mantova have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sudtirol (10th) and Mantova (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mantova the stronger side, 169 rating points above Sudtirol (Mantova 1562, Sudtirol 1393, after at least 86 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Mantova are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sudtirol, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova.

Team news

Predicted Sudtirol XI (5-4-1): A. Plizzari, A. Giorgini, R. Stivanello, G. Stabile, D. Veroli, A. Vasic, S. Tronchin, F. Rispoli, S. Molina, V. Lopes, K. Mixtur — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, S. Tronchin (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two assists) and A. Plizzari (3.5 per match over 12 appearances) have been Sudtirol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sudtirol (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Tronchin averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 976 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Plizzari averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 1080 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Mantova XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bardi, A. Castellini, B. Tomašević, S. Cella, F. Benaissa-Yahia, S. Trimboli, R. Kouda, F. Ruocco, L. Ignacchiti, R. Ilie, E. Gliozzi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Ruocco (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals) and R. Ilie (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Mantova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mantova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Ruocco averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 870 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. R. Ilie averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 755 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B – Italy · Stadio Marco Druso
Head-to-head (last 4): Sudtirol 0 · draws 2 · Mantova 2 · 2.75 goals/game
Recent form: Sudtirol 0W 3D 2L · Mantova 2W 1D 2L

Sudtirol v Mantova (Serie B – Italy): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.75 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Sudtirol for / against	Line	Mantova for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Sudtirol

Sudtirol Goalkeeper

Sudtirol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Plizzari	11	90990 min	413.7 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90

Sudtirol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Plizzari n 8	90	4.1 8/5

Sudtirol Defensive

Sudtirol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Giorgini	11	86945 min	90.9 /90	90.9 /90	80.8 /90	242.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Stivanello	10	89893 min	131.3 /90	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	282.8 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Giacomo Stabile	8	70558 min	81.3 /90	50.8 /90	61 /90	193.1 /90	101.6 /90	30.5 /90
S. Davì	8	58461 min	91.8 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	193.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
D. Veroli	8	57452 min	71.4 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	122.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Sudtirol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Plizzari n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Giorgini n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
S. Molina n 8	80.9	0.7 3/2	1.4 5/3	—
R. Burnete n 8	44.4	3.3 7/4	1.3 4/1	—
R. Stivanello n 8	89.1	0.6 3/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Sudtirol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Giorgini n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2
S. Molina n 8	80.9	1.7 6/4
R. Burnete n 8	44.4	3.3 5/3
R. Stivanello n 8	89.1	1.6 6/4
S. Tronchin n 8	88.3	2.5 8/5
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Sudtirol Attacking

Sudtirol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Burnete	11	41449 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	112.2 /90	30.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
A. Okoro	8	54434 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
K. Mixtur	8	48383 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	102.3 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
L. Anghelè	3	40121 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90
S. Merkaj	2	88176 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.5 /90
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Sudtirol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Plizzari n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Giorgini n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
S. Molina n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
R. Burnete n 8	44.4	2.3 5/2	0.5 2/0
R. Stivanello n 8	89.1	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Sudtirol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sudtirol before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Plizzari n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Giorgini n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Molina n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
R. Burnete n 8	44.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Stivanello n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Mantova

Mantova Goalkeeper

Mantova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Bardi	12	901080 min	322.7 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Mantova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Bardi n 8	90	2.9 7/5

Mantova Defensive

Mantova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Cella	12	901080 min	181.5 /90	121 /90	50.4 /90	514.3 /90	201.7 /90	30.3 /90
A. Castellini	12	891066 min	201.7 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	463.9 /90	171.4 /90	30.3 /90
Bodin Tomašević	11	81886 min	191.9 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	545.5 /90	161.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. Del Lungo	3	60179 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
A. Meroni	2	3978 min	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	11.2 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Cella n 8	90	1.9 7/4	0.5 3/1	—
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.1 4/2	0.9 6/1	—
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.3 5/1	0.4 3/0	—
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	1.5 6/3	1.8 6/5	—
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Mantova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Cella n 8	90	1.5 7/4
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	1.8 8/5
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.9 6/4
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	0.3 2/0
R. Ilie n 8	60.8	2.4 6/3
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Mantova Attacking

Mantova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Ruocco	12	73870 min	70.7 /90	00 /90	242.5 /90	131.3 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90
R. Ilie	12	63755 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	161.9 /90	60.7 /90	232.7 /90	141.7 /90
E. Gliozzi	12	55661 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.6 /90	81.1 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
D. Bragantini	9	46414 min	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	122.6 /90	51.1 /90
V. Vlahović	6	32189 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	83.8 /90	31.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
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Mantova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	1.1 3/3	0.5 3/1
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	2.4 7/7	1.1 5/2
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Mantova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mantova before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Bardi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Cella n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Benaissa-Yahia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Castellini n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
F. Ruocco n 8	73.8	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sudtirol v Mantova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SudtirolDLDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

MantovaWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Sudtirol 0 · 2 draws · Mantova 2 · 2.75 goals/game

2026-04-25 Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova
2025-10-18 Mantova 1–1 Sudtirol
2025-03-29 Mantova 2–0 Sudtirol
2024-12-14 Sudtirol 2–2 Mantova

League standing · 2026/27

Sudtirol#10 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD

Mantova#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Sudtirol scored1.1

Mantova scored1.5

Sudtirol conceded1

Mantova conceded1.1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sudtirol and Mantova?: In their last 4 meetings, Sudtirol won 0, Mantova won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Mantova?: Recent form — Sudtirol 0W 3D 2L; Mantova 2W 1D 2L.

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