Arezzo v Ascoli prediction

Serie B · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Citta di Arezzo

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 23:03 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Arezzo v Ascoli, Serie B on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arezzo host Ascoli in Serie B on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Ascoli, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Ascoli have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Ascoli are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Arezzo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Arezzo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Arezzo have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Arezzo have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arezzo have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Ascoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Ascoli have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Ascoli have scored 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Arezzo (12th) and Ascoli (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ascoli the stronger side, 349 rating points above Arezzo (Ascoli 1665, Arezzo 1315, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Arezzo XI (4-1-4-1): A. Nunziante, M. Coppolaro, M. Gilli, S. Righetti, A. Renzi, M. Sala, A. Ioniţă, L. Chierico, S. Mawuli, C. Tavernelli, E. Pattarello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Righetti (3.4 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and Mattia Sala (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Arezzo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arezzo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Righetti averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 734 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances. Mattia Sala averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 746 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Ascoli XI (4-2-3-1): S. Vitale, N. Rizzo, A. Guiébré, A. Oliveri, M. Curado, S. Damiani, G. Corradini, A. Silipo, S. D'Uffizi, G. Acampora, G. Gori — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Silipo (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and one assist) and S. D'Uffizi (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Ascoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ascoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Silipo averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 697 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. S. D'Uffizi averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 863 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie B · Citta di Arezzo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Arezzo 1W 1D 3L · Ascoli 3W 2D 0L

Arezzo v Ascoli (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.75

Goals

against 2.25 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 7.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Arezzo for / against	Line	Ascoli for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Arezzo

Arezzo Goalkeeper

Arezzo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Nunziante	10	91910 min	242.4 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90

Arezzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	2.5 6/4

Arezzo Defensive

Arezzo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Gilli	10	79794 min	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	445 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
S. Righetti	9	82734 min	141.7 /90	131.6 /90	20.2 /90	384.7 /90	111.3 /90	10.1 /90
A. Renzi	8	91730 min	212.6 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	334.1 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
M. Coppolaro	8	77614 min	71 /90	142.1 /90	20.3 /90	223.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
J. Illanes	5	82410 min	61.3 /90	61.3 /90	30.7 /90	235 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
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Arezzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	1.4 6/2	1.8 7/4	—
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	1.6 7/3	0.2 1/0	—
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	1.2 5/2	1.6 7/2	—
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	1.3 6/3	1.9 6/3	—
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Arezzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	1 3/2
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	1.6 5/4
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	2.5 6/4
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	1.6 7/3
A. Arena n 8	54.3	1.7 6/2
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Arezzo Attacking

Arezzo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Arena	9	56508 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90	122.1 /90	91.6 /90
P. Cianci	6	57342 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
E. Pattarello	6	54321 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72 /90	20.6 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90
A. Cerri	6	51305 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.4 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
L. Mancuso	4	40158 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
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Arezzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	1.1 5/3	0.1 1/0
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Arezzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arezzo before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Nunziante n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gilli n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ioniţă n 8	70.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mattia Sala n 8	75.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Righetti n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Ascoli

Ascoli Goalkeeper

Ascoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Vitale	10	90900 min	383.8 /90	101 /90	00 /90

Ascoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Vitale n 8	90	3.4 7/5

Ascoli Defensive

Ascoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Guiébré	10	90900 min	151.5 /90	131.3 /90	40.4 /90	595.9 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90
T. Milanese	10	63633 min	71 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90	202.8 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
N. Rizzo	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	151.7 /90	80.9 /90	414.6 /90	141.6 /90	40.4 /90
F. Gattoni	2	55109 min	10.8 /90	21.7 /90	10.8 /90	43.3 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90
L. Venuti	2	4284 min	11.1 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	33.2 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90
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Ascoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.3 6/3	1.4 7/3	—
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. D'Uffizi n 8	88.6	0.6 4/1	2.8 7/7	—
S. Damiani n 8	83.1	0.3 2/0	0.7 4/1	—
G. Corradini n 8	82.6	1.4 7/2	1.1 3/2	—
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Ascoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.5 7/4
S. D'Uffizi n 8	88.6	0.8 6/0
S. Damiani n 8	83.1	1.8 6/3
G. Corradini n 8	82.6	2.2 7/4
A. Silipo n 8	64.6	0.3 2/0
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Ascoli Attacking

Ascoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Curado	8	61485 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	152.8 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
G. Gori	7	41288 min	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	113.4 /90	51.6 /90	82.5 /90	20.6 /90
M. Brunori	5	51257 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90	41.4 /90
D. Bolsius	5	43215 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	52.1 /90
M. A. Chakir	3	62185 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	115.4 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Ascoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	88.6	1.1 5/3	0.6 5/0
S. Damiani n 8	83.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
G. Corradini n 8	82.6	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Ascoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ascoli before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Guiébré n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Vitale n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. D'Uffizi n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Damiani n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Corradini n 8	82.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arezzo v Ascoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ArezzoLDWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

AscoliWDDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Arezzo#12 pos10 pts8 pl-9 GD

Ascoli#3 pos18 pts9 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Arezzo scored1

Ascoli scored1.78

Arezzo conceded2.13

Ascoli conceded0.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Arezzo v Ascoli?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Arezzo v Ascoli is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Arezzo and Ascoli?: Recent form — Arezzo 1W 1D 3L; Ascoli 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 23:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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