Carrarese v Sampdoria prediction

Serie B · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Stadio dei Marmi

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Carrarese v Sampdoria, Serie B on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Carrarese host Sampdoria in Serie B on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Carrarese’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Carrarese have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14. Carrarese have scored nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Carrarese have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sampdoria have no wins, three draws and six defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.44 and conceding 1.78. Sampdoria have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sampdoria have conceded 18 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Carrarese (14th) and Sampdoria (18th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Carrarese the stronger side, 162 rating points above Sampdoria (Carrarese 1496, Sampdoria 1334, after at least 85 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria.

Team news

Predicted Carrarese XI (3-5-2): S. Pizzignacco, F. Oliana, F. Ruggeri, F. Reale, J. Rouhi, N. Schiavi, G. Parlanti, M. Braunöder, J. Martini, F. Abiuso, G. Marconi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Rubino (3.8 per match over seven appearances, three goals) and J. Rouhi (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Carrarese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Carrarese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Rubino averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 337 minutes, with a shot in five of the last seven appearances. J. Rouhi averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 840 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sampdoria XI (4-3-2-1): A. Krastev, F. Delli Carri, M. Cicconi, A. Di Pardo, S. Gartenmann, L. Henderson, A. Makoumbou, O. Abildgaard, Y. Verschaeren, T. Begić, T. Lauritsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Begić (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) and L. Insigne (3.7 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been Sampdoria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sampdoria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), T. Begić averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 724 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. L. Insigne averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 312 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT · Serie B · Stadio dei Marmi
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Carrarese 2 · draws 1 · Sampdoria 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Carrarese 3W 0D 2L · Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L

Carrarese v Sampdoria (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 5.38

Corners

against 5.13 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Carrarese for / against	Line	Sampdoria for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Carrarese

Carrarese Goalkeeper

Carrarese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Pizzignacco	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
G. Garofani	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Carrarese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Pizzignacco n 7	90	2.1 3/3
G. Garofani n 3	90	3.3 3/2

Carrarese Defensive

Carrarese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Oliana	10	89891 min	121.2 /90	161.6 /90	141.4 /90	383.8 /90	141.4 /90	40.4 /90
F. Ruggeri	10	87865 min	202.1 /90	131.4 /90	90.9 /90	444.6 /90	171.8 /90	20.2 /90
F. Reale	9	87785 min	192.2 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90	313.6 /90	111.3 /90	10.1 /90
Tommaso Guercio	5	25124 min	53.6 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	1410.2 /90	42.9 /90	00 /90
L. Romani	4	89354 min	41 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	174.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Carrarese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Oliana n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.1 1/0	—
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	1.4 5/5	0.3 2/0	—
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	1 3/2	0.3 2/0	—
F. Abiuso n 8	81.5	1.8 8/3	2.5 8/5	—
G. Parlanti n 8	74.4	2.3 7/5	1.7 7/3	—
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Carrarese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	1 5/2
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	1.6 7/4
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	1 5/3
F. Abiuso n 8	81.5	0.8 4/2
G. Parlanti n 8	74.4	2.3 7/5
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Carrarese Attacking

Carrarese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Abiuso	10	78775 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	202.3 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90
G. Marconi	9	37329 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	102.7 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.4 /90
T. Rubino	7	48337 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	61.6 /90
M. Cissé	6	66395 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	20.5 /90	51.1 /90	40.9 /90
N. Cudrig	1	2222 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Carrarese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
F. Abiuso n 8	81.5	2.3 7/5	1 4/1
G. Parlanti n 8	74.4	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
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Carrarese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carrarese before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Oliana n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ruggeri n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Rouhi n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
F. Abiuso n 8	81.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
G. Parlanti n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Sampdoria

Sampdoria Goalkeeper

Sampdoria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Vindahl	8	90720 min	151.9 /90	111.4 /90	00 /90
Andrey Krastev	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 8	90	1.9 4/4
Andrey Krastev n 3	90	2.7 2/2

Sampdoria Defensive

Sampdoria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Cicconi	11	89978 min	131.2 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90	333 /90	171.6 /90	50.5 /90
A. Di Pardo	10	89885 min	191.9 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90	495 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
S. Gartenmann	10	77767 min	131.5 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90	414.8 /90	141.6 /90	20.2 /90
F. Delli Carri	8	90720 min	70.9 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90	293.6 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
F. Depaoli	4	41164 min	42.2 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	105.5 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
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Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Cicconi n 8	88.5	1.8 7/4	0.6 5/0	—
L. Henderson n 8	80.1	2.8 8/7	0.7 5/0	—
A. Di Pardo n 8	88.1	0.6 3/1	1.1 4/2	—
S. Gartenmann n 8	73.4	1.7 6/3	0.5 3/0	—
Y. Verschaeren n 8	73	0.8 3/2	1.4 6/2	—
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Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Cicconi n 8	88.5	1 6/2
L. Henderson n 8	80.1	1.3 6/3
A. Di Pardo n 8	88.1	2 6/5
S. Gartenmann n 8	73.4	1.8 6/4
Y. Verschaeren n 8	73	1.5 5/2
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Sampdoria Attacking

Sampdoria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Begić	10	56563 min	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	121.9 /90	61 /90	132.1 /90	193 /90
G. Tutino	10	54538 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	152.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
T. Lauritsen	7	63442 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	102 /90	61.2 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
D. Sinani	6	59353 min	00 /90	00 /90	82 /90	30.8 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90
Lorenzo Mezzotero	1	7373 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cicconi n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
L. Henderson n 8	80.1	2 4/4	0.7 4/1
A. Di Pardo n 8	88.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Gartenmann n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Verschaeren n 8	73	1.4 5/2	0.6 4/0
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Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sampdoria before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Cicconi n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Henderson n 8	80.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Di Pardo n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Gartenmann n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Verschaeren n 8	73	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Carrarese v Sampdoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CarrareseLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

SampdoriaLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Carrarese 2 · 1 draw · Sampdoria 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-18 Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria
2025-12-07 Sampdoria 3–2 Carrarese
2025-04-25 Carrarese 1–0 Sampdoria
2024-12-26 Sampdoria 1–1 Carrarese

League standing · 2026/27

Carrarese#14 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD

Sampdoria#18 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Carrarese scored1

Sampdoria scored1

Carrarese conceded1.11

Sampdoria conceded1.8

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Carrarese v Sampdoria?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Carrarese v Sampdoria is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Sampdoria?: In their last 4 meetings, Carrarese won 2, Sampdoria won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carrarese and Sampdoria?: Recent form — Carrarese 3W 0D 2L; Sampdoria 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 02:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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