PAOKAris Thessalonikis

PAOK v Aris Thessalonikis result

Full-time · PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis

Super League 1 · · Toumba Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis — PAOK won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PAOK beat Aris Thessalonikis 2–0 at Toumba Stadium in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 13 September. PAOK have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

PAOK led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — PAOK: C. Ndiaye (32’ pen) and Andrija Zivkovic (42’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Ndiaye’s goal on 32 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: PAOK 2.39, Aris Thessalonikis 1.24, from 13 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Andrea Colombo, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — PAOK: Jonjoe Kenny (3’), Christos Zafeiris (20’) and C. Ndiaye (77’); Aris Thessalonikis: T. Kadewere (25’).

What it changes

PAOK move up from fifth to third (four league matches played).

Aris Thessalonikis move down from fifth to seventh (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Ndiaye (PAOK) 8.2, Andrija Zivkovic (PAOK) 7.8 and O. Richards (Aris Thessalonikis) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

PAOK are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Aris Thessalonikis.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

PAOK next travel to Olympiakos Piraeus on 8 November 2026.

Aris Thessalonikis next travel to Asteras Tripolis on 23 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PAOK: Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Aris Thessalonikis: Asteras Tripolis v Aris Thessalonikis, Monday 23 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis · Super League 1
  • Venue: Toumba Stadium · Thessaloniki
  • Referee: Andrea Colombo, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PAOK 2 · draws 2 · Aris Thessalonikis 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: PAOK 2W 1D 2L · Aris Thessalonikis 4W 0D 1L

PAOK 2–0 Aris Thessalonikis (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.5
Corners
against 3.25 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePAOK for / againstLineAris Thessalonikis for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
8.5 for · 8.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
16.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: Andrea Colombo, Italy.

PAOK

PAOK Goalkeeper

PAOK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pavlenka490360 min102.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
PAOK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAOK before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pavlenka n 890
3.45/5

PAOK Defensive

PAOK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kenny490360 min71.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90143.5 /9082 /9000 /90
Elustondo471285 min82.5 /9030.9 /9082.5 /90154.7 /9020.6 /9000 /90
G. Michailidis375225 min72.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90176.8 /9020.8 /9000 /90
A. R. Baba368205 min41.8 /9031.3 /9010.4 /90198.3 /9010.4 /9000 /90
D. Giannoulis278155 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9095.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

PAOK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAOK before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kenny n 875.8
1.55/3
0.43/0
N. Fadiga
J. Pavlenka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Elustondo n 471.3
0.62/0
0.93/0
—
C. Ndiaye n 467.8
1.72/1
33/3
—
B. Santamaría n 444.8
12/0
24/0
—
See more players · Pro
PAOK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAOK before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kenny n 875.8
1.96/4
Elustondo n 471.3
2.54/3
C. Ndiaye n 467.8
00/0
B. Santamaría n 444.8
2.52/2
D. Chatsidis n 854.9
2.75/4
See more players · Pro

PAOK Attacking

PAOK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ndiaye468271 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9051.7 /90
D. Chatsidis445178 min00 /9000 /9042 /9010.5 /9042 /9031.5 /90
Taison24181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9011.1 /90
A. Mythou24080 min11.1 /9000 /9033.4 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9011.1 /90
B. Santamaría445179 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
PAOK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAOK before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kenny n 875.8
0.42/1
00/0
J. Pavlenka n 890
00/0
00/0
Elustondo n 471.3
00/0
00/0
C. Ndiaye n 467.8
1.73/1
1.33/1
B. Santamaría n 444.8
1.51/1
0.51/0
See more players · Pro
PAOK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PAOK before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kenny n 875.8
00/0
0.11/0
J. Pavlenka n 890
00/0
00/0
Elustondo n 471.3
00/0
00/0
C. Ndiaye n 467.8
00/0
00/0
B. Santamaría n 444.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis Goalkeeper

Aris Thessalonikis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ricardo Velho390270 min82.7 /9082.7 /9000 /90
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aris Thessalonikis before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ricardo Velho n 390
2.72/1

Aris Thessalonikis Defensive

Aris Thessalonikis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Jensen390270 min41.3 /9031 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
N. Fadiga390270 min10.3 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
Fabiano290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
O. Richards290180 min21 /9042 /9000 /9063 /9021 /9000 /90
B. Sutalo19090 min11 /9033 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Aris Thessalonikis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aris Thessalonikis before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Fadiga n 874.8
2.47/6
1.25/3
J. Kenny
U. Račić n 889.3
1.97/5
1.47/3
—
F. Jensen n 871
1.65/3
0.21/0
—
Ricardo Velho n 390
00/0
00/0
—
B. Garré n 883.4
1.95/4
2.68/6
—
See more players · Pro
Aris Thessalonikis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aris Thessalonikis before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
U. Račić n 889.3
2.88/5
F. Jensen n 871
1.77/4
N. Fadiga n 874.8
1.26/1
B. Garré n 883.4
0.84/1
T. Dele-Bashiru n 375
1.61/1
See more players · Pro

Aris Thessalonikis Attacking

Aris Thessalonikis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Rafa Mir349147 min00 /9000 /9042.4 /9042.4 /9010.6 /9031.8 /90
T. Kadewere261122 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9000 /90
C. Kouame23977 min11.2 /9000 /9044.7 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9022.3 /90
M. Alfarela12424 min00 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
U. Račić390270 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9031 /9031 /9041.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Aris Thessalonikis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aris Thessalonikis before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
U. Račić n 889.3
28/6
15/3
N. Fadiga n 874.8
0.63/1
00/0
F. Jensen n 871
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ricardo Velho n 390
00/0
00/0
B. Garré n 883.4
0.95/2
0.54/0
See more players · Pro
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aris Thessalonikis before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Račić n 889.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Ricardo Velho n 390
00/0
00/0
N. Fadiga n 874.8
00/0
00/0
F. Jensen n 871
00/0
00/0
B. Garré n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PAOKAris Thessalonikis
46%Possession54%
2.39Expected goals (xG)1.24
13Shots15
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots8
8Shots inside the box11
3Corners7
15Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
367Passes424
75%Pass accuracy79%

PAOK Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pavlenka9000000008.2
J. Kenny90000001Y7
Diego Costa9000101107.2
G. Michailidis9000000207.6
A. R. Baba9000000407.3
O. Ugresić9000110407.2
A. Zivkovic8510212007.9
C. Ndiaye85101112Y7.5
D. Pelkas7300211006.6
Taison7300101106.7
C. Zafeiris64001102Y7
K. Jakić sub2600000207.5
D. Chatsidis sub1700000006.7
M. Camara sub1700100006.7
T. Ali sub800000106.7
A. Mythou sub800000006.3

Aris Thessalonikis Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ricardo Velho9000000007.5
B. Sutalo9000000206.3
F. Jensen9000110006.5
O. Richards9000001406.7
U. Račić9000003106.9
Fabiano9000200306.5
B. Garré8500002006.5
N. Fadiga7800001306.3
G. Gianniotas7800102207.3
T. Kadewere61002200Y6.2
T. Dele-Bashiru4500000106.5
Manu García sub4500001006.3
Loren Morón sub2900100006.2
C. Kouame sub1200000006.2
J. Pétris sub1200000206.9
S. Palacios sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PAOK v Aris Thessalonikis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PAOKDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Aris ThessalonikisWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PAOK 2 · 2 draws · Aris Thessalonikis 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 PAOK
  • 2025-12-07 PAOK 3–1 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2025-01-19 Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 PAOK
  • 2024-09-29 PAOK 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2024-05-19 Aris Thessalonikis 1–2 PAOK
  • 2024-03-10 PAOK 0–1 Aris Thessalonikis
League standing · 2026/27
PAOK#4 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD
Aris Thessalonikis#3 pos19 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
PAOK scored2
Aris Thessalonikis scored1.6
PAOK conceded1.33
Aris Thessalonikis conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PAOK v Aris Thessalonikis?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PAOK v Aris Thessalonikis was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis?
In their last 6 meetings, PAOK won 2, Aris Thessalonikis won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis?
Recent form — PAOK 2W 1D 2L; Aris Thessalonikis 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+