PAOK v Atromitos result

Full-time · PAOK 1–0 Atromitos

Super League 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

PAOK 1–0 Atromitos — PAOK won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PAOK beat Atromitos 1–0 in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 31 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — PAOK: Dimitris Pelkas (73’, assisted by M. Ozdoev). M. Baku (45’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dimitris Pelkas’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: PAOK 0.00, Atromitos 0.00, from 26 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — PAOK: Dimitris Pelkas (90+4’); Atromitos: Quini (34’), M. Baku (37’), M. Baku (45+4’), P. Michorl (74’), A. Karamanis (75’) and T. Tsingaras (90+3’).

What it changes

PAOK have won their last three matches in all competitions. PAOK have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Ozdoev (PAOK) 5.1, Dimitris Pelkas (PAOK) 4.5 and J. Uronen (Atromitos) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

PAOK next host Iraklis 1908 on 18 October 2026.

Atromitos next travel to Aris Thessalonikis on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PAOK: PAOK v Iraklis 1908, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Atromitos: Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: PAOK 1–0 Atromitos · Super League 1
  • Referee: Alexandros Katsikogiannis, Greece
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PAOK 5 · draws 1 · Atromitos 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: PAOK 3W 1D 1L · Atromitos 2W 2D 1L

PAOK 1–0 Atromitos (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.67
Corners
against 2.25 / 4.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
4.75 / 4
Shots on target
against 2 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2.13 / 2.33
Cards
against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePAOK for / againstLineAtromitos for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 2.25 against n 8
9.5standard
2.67 for · 4.67 against n 3
Shots
9.88 for · 6 against n 8
19.5standard
10.33 for · 15.33 against n 3
Shots on target
4.75 for · 2 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5 against n 3
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
18.67 for · 9.33 against n 3
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.33 for · 2 against n 3

Referee: Alexandros Katsikogiannis, Greece.

PAOK
PAOK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Giakoumakis n 815.1
6.76/3
0.71/0
—
S. Schwab n 823.9
2.84/2
0.51/0
—
Vieirinha n 820.9
2.73/2
0.51/0
—
M. Camara n 877.5
2.66/6
0.75/0
—
F. Chalov n 835.3
2.66/2
13/0
—
PAOK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Giakoumakis n 815.1
7.45/4
2.23/0
M. Camara n 877.5
2.28/6
0.94/2
G. Konstantelias n 883.9
1.97/5
0.75/0
Taison n 857.6
1.85/2
1.24/2
K. Despodov n 846.4
1.54/1
14/0
PAOK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vieirinha n 820.9
00/0
1.12/0
Taison n 857.6
0.21/0
0.63/0
A. Zivkovic n 879.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
G. Michailidis n 890
0.32/0
0.31/1
F. Chalov n 835.3
00/0
0.62/0
PAOK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Schwab n 823.9
3.35/2
Vieirinha n 820.9
2.73/2
G. Konstantelias n 883.9
2.58/6
S. Meite n 859.8
2.34/3
M. Camara n 877.5
26/4
PAOK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dominik Kotarski n 890
2.96/4
J. Pavlenka n 890
2.66/4
Atromitos
Atromitos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Pomonis n 338.7
4.73/2
1.62/0
—
A. Karamanis n 854.1
2.75/4
14/1
—
M. Mountes n 845.3
2.75/3
1.24/1
—
I. Ouedraogo n 881.9
2.56/5
1.56/4
—
P. Michorl n 851.6
2.46/3
1.14/1
—
Atromitos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Jubitana n 849.9
3.28/5
28/1
G. Tzovaras n 845
2.55/4
1.34/1
Carlitos n 849.1
2.35/3
1.14/1
B. Palmezano n 540.8
1.84/0
1.33/0
Dimitrios Kaloskamis n 827.9
1.63/1
0.82/0
Atromitos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Palmezano n 540.8
0.92/0
0.92/0
N. Athanasiou n 879.6
0.11/0
0.64/0
Carlitos n 849.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
Amr Warda n 862.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Jubitana n 849.9
0.52/0
00/0
Atromitos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dimitrios Kaloskamis n 827.9
4.85/4
Quini n 890
3.58/6
I. Ouedraogo n 881.9
37/5
J. Uronen n 842
2.96/2
A. Karamanis n 854.1
2.55/4
Atromitos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alexei Koşelev n 890
3.98/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PAOKAtromitos
73%Possession27%
26Shots1
5Shots on target1
14Shots off target0
7Blocked shots0
15Shots inside the box0
6Corners1
3Offsides1
11Fouls18
1Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
1Saves4
649Passes248
88%Pass accuracy69%

PAOK player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pavlenka9000000007.3
Joan Sastre9000101207.3
T. Kedziora9000202007.9
D. Lovren9000001207.7
G. Taylor9000001007.7
S. Meite9000201306.9
K. Despodov9000215107.6
G. Giakoumakis7900211106.3
M. Ozdoev7801002107.2
L. Ivanusec6100200106.9
A. Zivkovic6100112006.7
D. Pelkas sub29105211Y7.6
Taison sub2900001007.3
M. Camara sub1100100006.2
F. Chalov sub1100100106.3
Konstantinos Thymianis sub10000000–

Atromitos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Choutetsiotis9000000006.3
D. Stavropoulos9000000206.9
Mansur9000000006.5
J. Uronen9000000406.9
T. Tsingaras90000002Y6.7
P. Michorl90000001Y6.3
O. Ožegović8300000007
Quini79000000Y6.3
Georgios Tzovaras6800110206.9
M. Baku49000000RY5.5
B. Palmezano4500000106.3
M. Mountes sub4500000106.7
A. Karamanis sub22000000Y6.3
T. van Weert sub1300000006.3
D. Jubitana sub1100000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PAOK v Atromitos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PAOKDWLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
AtromitosLDWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PAOK 5 · 1 draw · Atromitos 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2024-12-22 PAOK 3–0 Atromitos
  • 2024-09-01 Atromitos 1–2 PAOK
  • 2024-02-04 Atromitos 0–2 PAOK
  • 2023-10-22 PAOK 2–0 Atromitos
  • 2022-12-28 Atromitos 1–1 PAOK
  • 2022-08-28 PAOK 2–1 Atromitos
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
PAOK#3 pos57 pts26 pl+35 GD
Atromitos#9 pos29 pts26 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
PAOK scored2
Atromitos scored1
PAOK conceded0.65
Atromitos conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for PAOK v Atromitos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PAOK v Atromitos was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Atromitos?
In their last 6 meetings, PAOK won 5, Atromitos won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PAOK and Atromitos?
Recent form — PAOK 3W 1D 1L; Atromitos 2W 2D 1L.

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