Samsunspor v Göztepe result

Full-time · Samsunspor 3–3 Göztepe

Süper Lig · · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Samsunspor 3–3 Göztepe — this Süper Lig match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 469 of 716 times (65.5%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Samsunspor and Göztepe drew 3–3 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Monday 17 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Samsunspor out-shot Göztepe 21 to 20 and created the better chances, 2.80 xG to 1.71 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Samsunspor led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Göztepe: Alex Matos (3’), S. Armstrong (46’) and E. Bekiroğlu (65’, assisted by Janderson); Samsunspor: Marius (30’ pen), E. Kılınç (43’, assisted by J. Mendes) and C. Yüksel (90’, assisted by Fatih Kaya).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Yüksel’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Samsunspor: Toni Borevković (52’); Göztepe: Juan (-5’), Alex Matos (17’), S. Armstrong (52’) and Allan Godói (56’).

What it changes

Samsunspor are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Samsunspor have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Samsunspor have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Göztepe are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Göztepe have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Göztepe have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Yüksel (Samsunspor) 10.2, J. Mendes (Samsunspor) 6.6 and Marius (Samsunspor) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Samsunspor next travel to Başakşehir on 1 November 2026.

Göztepe next travel to Fenerbahçe on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Samsunspor: Başakşehir v Samsunspor, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Göztepe: Fenerbahçe v Göztepe, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Samsunspor 3–3 Göztepe · Süper Lig
  • Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · Samsun
  • Referee: Kadir Saglam, Türkiye
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Samsunspor 2 · draws 1 · Göztepe 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Samsunspor 3W 1D 1L · Göztepe 2W 2D 1L

Samsunspor 3–3 Göztepe (Süper Lig): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 4
Corners
against 5.43 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.43 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.71 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSamsunspor for / againstLineGöztepe for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 15.29 against n 7
19.5standard
15.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.43 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.71 for · 12.43 against n 7
21.5standard
19.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.86 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
3.25 for · 3.5 against n 8

Referee: Kadir Saglam, Türkiye.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SamsunsporGöztepe
69%Possession31%
2.80Expected goals (xG)1.71
21Shots20
3Shots on target7
7Shots off target6
11Blocked shots7
14Shots inside the box14
4Corners8
1Offsides1
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves0
509Passes230
80%Pass accuracy60%

Samsunspor Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Okan Kocuk9000000006.2
J. Mendes9001004206.9
T. Borevković90000001Y6.3
Badra Diabbate Ali9000000206.3
L. Tómasson9000100306.3
C. Yüksel9010211408.3
E. Kılınç9010311008.2
Marius9010311007.3
Y. Kayan7800003106.3
Saikuba Jarju7800001006.3
A. Makoumbou7000101006.2
Fatih Kaya sub2001001006.7
S. Onur sub1200000307.2
Y. Sekongo sub1200001106.2

Göztepe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Gugeshashvili9000000005.7
Ege Yildirim9000110106.2
T. Altıkardeş9000000006.2
Allan Godói90001001Y6
N. Dismas9000311306.9
A. Cherni9000101207.2
A. Kurtulan8900100106.6
S. Armstrong61101101Y7.2
Alex Matos60101121Y7.5
A. Antunes6000112206.9
André Henrique6000001006.7
Rhaldney sub3000000107.2
E. Bekiroğlu sub3010212007.6
Janderson sub3001001106.5
Juan sub29001100Y6.3
O. Bayrak sub10000110–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Samsunspor v Göztepe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SamsunsporDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GöztepeDWDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Samsunspor 2 · 1 draw · Göztepe 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Samsunspor 3–0 Göztepe
  • 2025-12-21 Göztepe 2–0 Samsunspor
  • 2025-03-03 Göztepe 2–2 Samsunspor
  • 2024-09-28 Samsunspor 4–3 Göztepe
  • 2021-12-29 Göztepe 1–0 Samsunspor
League standing · 2026/27
Samsunspor#17 pos4 pts9 pl-13 GD
Göztepe#10 pos12 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Samsunspor scored0.89
Göztepe scored2.11
Samsunspor conceded2.33
Göztepe conceded1.78

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Samsunspor v Göztepe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Samsunspor v Göztepe was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Göztepe?
In their last 5 meetings, Samsunspor won 2, Göztepe won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Samsunspor and Göztepe?
Recent form — Samsunspor 3W 1D 1L; Göztepe 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+