AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia result

Full-time · AEK Athens FC 4–0 Levski Sofia

UEFA Champions League · · Allwyn Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AEK Athens FC 4–0 Levski Sofia — AEK Athens FC won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 185 landed (95% range 45.3–59.5%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AEK Athens FC beat Levski Sofia 4–0 at Allwyn Arena in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 26 August.

AEK Athens FC are unbeaten in their last nine matches.

The goals

AEK Athens FC led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — AEK Athens FC: Luka Jović (7’, assisted by Lazaros Rota), Barnabás Varga (12’, assisted by Filipe Relvas; 29’, assisted by Lovro Majer) and Răzvan Marin (55’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luka Jović’s goal on 7 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AEK Athens FC 0.00, Levski Sofia 0.00, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Turpin showed three yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AEK Athens FC: Răzvan Marin (51’), Stavros Pilios (74’) and Zini (89’).

What it changes

AEK Athens FC have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Barnabás Varga (AEK Athens FC) 9.6, Lazaros Rota (AEK Athens FC) 9.0 and Lovro Majer (AEK Athens FC) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.4% of the time in the last 90 days (97 of 185).

Next up

AEK Athens FC next travel to Shakhtar Donetsk on 14 October 2026.

Levski Sofia next travel to NEC Nijmegen on 15 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AEK Athens FC: Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens FC, Wednesday 14 October — the preview. Next for Levski Sofia: NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia, Thursday 15 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: AEK Athens FC 4–0 Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Allwyn Arena · Athens
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): AEK Athens FC 0 · draws 1 · Levski Sofia 0 · 0 goals/game
  • Recent form: AEK Athens FC 2W 3D 0L · Levski Sofia 3W 2D 0L

AEK Athens FC 4–0 Levski Sofia (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4
Corners
against 2.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
3 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
1.57 home / 1.43 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAEK Athens FC for / againstLineLevski Sofia for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.25our book
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4 against n 4
Shots
16.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 12.25 against n 4
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.75 against n 4
Fouls committed
16.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.67 against n 3
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 4

Referee: C. Turpin — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 21.57 fouls over 7 matches (1.57 to the home side, 1.43 to the away side).

AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mantalos n 833.1
3.77/3
24/1
—
A. Koita n 877.6
2.98/5
27/4
—
João Mário n 827.5
2.54/2
24/1
—
Lovro Majer n 825.5
2.25/0
1.82/1
—
R. Marin n 887.3
2.18/7
0.96/1
—
AEK Athens FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lovro Majer n 825.5
3.14/2
1.82/2
Zini n 863.6
2.77/5
1.87/2
B. Varga n 866.6
2.28/4
14/2
L. Jović n 864.8
1.95/3
0.93/1
R. Marin n 887.3
1.77/3
0.41/1
AEK Athens FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Kutesa n 826.4
00/0
0.92/0
O. Pineda n 864.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
Zini n 863.6
0.73/1
00/0
B. Varga n 866.6
0.52/1
00/0
L. Jović n 864.8
0.52/1
00/0
AEK Athens FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lovro Majer n 825.5
3.56/2
R. Marin n 887.3
2.78/8
M. Vitális n 874.6
2.77/6
J. Penrice n 868.6
2.57/6
L. Rota n 882.8
2.37/5
AEK Athens FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Strakosha n 891
1.94/3
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Soula n 418
53/1
2.51/1
—
J. Perea n 319
4.72/1
1.61/0
—
Rildo n 821.5
4.26/1
3.13/2
—
A. Mitkov n 643.3
2.44/2
1.74/1
—
Tsunami n 390
22/2
1.32/1
—
Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Everton Bala n 483
2.24/3
1.13/1
Reinaldo n 556.2
2.23/2
0.31/0
Rildo n 821.5
2.14/0
0.51/0
M. Petkov n 887.8
1.77/4
0.43/0
Tsunami n 390
0.72/0
00/0
Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Perea n 319
1.61/0
00/0
Reinaldo n 556.2
12/1
00/0
Everton Bala n 483
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Oko-Flex n 852.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Maicon n 574.2
00/0
0.21/0
Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hevertton Santos n 837.9
3.67/4
Maicon n 574.2
2.73/3
Serginho n 889.6
2.47/4
E. El Moubarik n 587.8
1.83/2
M. Petkov n 887.8
1.86/4
Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 791
3.45/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AEK Athens FCLevski Sofia
48%Possession52%
18Shots11
7Shots on target3
5Shots off target7
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box3
6Corners3
0Offsides1
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves3
437Passes482
88%Pass accuracy89%

AEK Athens FC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Strakosha9000000007.6
L. Rota9001004407.9
H. Moukoudi9000000107.2
Filipe Relvas9001001107.9
Stavros Pilios90000007Y7.2
Kaan Kairinen9000000307.3
R. Marin86103301Y7.7
L. Jović8610212007.6
Lovro Majer8101212307.9
B. Varga8120220209
A. Koita7200100006.7
P. Mantalos sub1800001006.9
O. Zubkov sub900001006.9
Zini sub9000010Y6.7
M. Gaćinović sub800200006.3
K. Arriaga sub800000106.6

Levski Sofia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Vutsov9000000005
Aldair9000100405.9
K. Dimitrov9000100107.2
N. Serafimov9000000206.3
Álex Centelles9000100105.9
E. El Moubarik9000102106.6
Serginho8200002006.5
A. Oko-Flex7600002006.9
Maicon6300100106
Reinaldo6300001006.3
Everton Bala6300211007.2
G. Trdin sub2700100106.7
David Kusso sub2700220006.7
J. Perea sub2700000006.3
M. Soula sub1400000006.3
A. Mitkov sub800000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AEK Athens FCWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Levski SofiaWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
AEK Athens FC 0 · 1 draw · Levski Sofia 0 · 0 goals/game
  • 2026-08-18 Levski Sofia 0–0 AEK Athens FC
League standing · 2026/27
AEK Athens FC#17 pos3 pts1 pl+1 GD
Levski SofiaNot in this league table
Goals per game
AEK Athens FC scored1
Levski Sofia scored1
AEK Athens FC conceded0
Levski Sofia conceded0.4

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia?
In their last 1 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 0, Levski Sofia won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AEK Athens FC and Levski Sofia?
Recent form — AEK Athens FC 2W 3D 0L; Levski Sofia 3W 2D 0L.

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