FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze

Fenerbahçe v Gornik Zabrze result

Full-time · Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze

UEFA Champions League · · Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze — Fenerbahçe won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fenerbahçe beat Gornik Zabrze 1–0 at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 21 July. Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Fenerbahçe led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fenerbahçe: Talisca (37’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Talisca’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Fenerbahçe 0.00, Gornik Zabrze 0.00, from 15 shots to 2 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Fenerbahçe have scored 14 goals, the 34th-fewest of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Fenerbahçe have conceded 14 goals, the 25th-fewest of the 81 clubs.

Gornik Zabrze have scored one goal, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs (this season so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Gornik Zabrze have conceded two goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Talisca (Fenerbahçe) 6.1, Michal Sacek (Gornik Zabrze) 5.4 and İrfan Kahveci (Fenerbahçe) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Fenerbahçe next travel to Çorum FK on 8 November 2026.

Gornik Zabrze next host Wieczysta Kraków on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fenerbahçe: Çorum FK v Fenerbahçe, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Gornik Zabrze: Gornik Zabrze v Wieczysta Kraków, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Istanbul
  • Referee: M. Lukjancukas
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Fenerbahçe 2W 1D 2L · Gornik Zabrze 3W 1D 1L

Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik Zabrze (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.29 / 6.13
Corners
against 3.71 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.57 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 1.13
Cards
against 4.14 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFenerbahçe for / againstLineGornik Zabrze for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.29 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
16.43 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
16.63 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.57 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.43 for · 14.71 against n 7
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Lukjancukas.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
79%Possession21%
15Shots2
6Shots on target1
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box1
9Corners2
15Fouls11
1Saves5
765Passes202
92%Pass accuracy73%

Fenerbahçe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Günok9000000006.9
Nélson Semedo9000001107.6
M. Škriniar9000000206.9
J. Oosterwolde9000001307.2
M. Guendouzi9000000107.6
Fred9000103207.6
Talisca8710541007.3
İ. Kahveci8300111307.3
B. Elmaz6900310207.3
K. Aktürkoğlu6900004106.6
N. Aké4500000107.5
L. Mercan sub4500001106.9
Marco Asensio sub2100001006.6
O. Aydın sub2100000206.7
M. Greenwood sub1200100006.3
S. Cherif sub800000006.3

Gornik Zabrze Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Schulze9000000007.3
M. Sacek9000000406.9
R. Janicki9000000207.5
Josema9000000306.9
E. Janža9000110106.3
L. Sadilek9000000006.2
E. Prekop9000001007.3
Maksym Khlan8900000106.6
M. Dietz7600000006.2
K. Urbański7200000106.9
Y. Ikia Dimi7200001006.5
Ondrej Zmrzly sub1800000006.7
Sondre Liseth sub1800000006.6
B. Donio sub1400000106.6
Patryk Warczak sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fenerbahçe v Gornik Zabrze — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FenerbahçeLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Gornik ZabrzeWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Fenerbahçe#19 pos5 pts4 pl-5 GD
Gornik ZabrzeNot in this league table
Goals per game
Fenerbahçe scored1.5
Gornik Zabrze scored1.8
Fenerbahçe conceded2.75
Gornik Zabrze conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fenerbahçe v Gornik Zabrze?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fenerbahçe v Gornik Zabrze was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze?
Recent form — Fenerbahçe 2W 1D 2L; Gornik Zabrze 3W 1D 1L.

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