Ferencvarosi TC v Qarabag result

Full-time · Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag

UEFA Champions League · Tue, 19 Aug 2025 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag — Qarabag won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Qarabag won 3–1 at Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 19 August. Qarabag have won their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Qarabag came from behind: Ferencvarosi TC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ferencvarosi TC: Barnabás Varga (29’, assisted by Čebrails Makreckis); Qarabag: Marko Jankovic (50’, assisted by Leandro Andrade), K. Medina (67’, assisted by Bəhlul Mustafazadə) and M. Qurbanly (85’, assisted by Kady Borges).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Medina’s goal on 67 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Ferencvarosi TC 0.00, Qarabag 0.00, from 12 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Pinheiro showed three yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ferencvarosi TC: Gábor Szalai (90+3’) and A. Pešić (90+5’); Qarabag: Matheus Silva (69’).

What it changes

Ferencvarosi TC have scored seven goals, the 23rd-most of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Ferencvarosi TC have conceded five goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs.

Qarabag have scored 21 goals, the 13th-most of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Qarabag have conceded 18 goals, the 23rd-most of the 53 clubs.

Qarabag have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Medina (Qarabag) 10.1, Marko Jankovic (Qarabag) 7.5 and Barnabás Varga (Ferencvarosi TC) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ferencvarosi TC next host Celje on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ferencvarosi TC: Ferencvarosi TC v Celje, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag · UEFA Champions League
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Ferencvarosi TC 0 · draws 1 · Qarabag 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Ferencvarosi TC 3W 1D 1L · Qarabag 4W 0D 1L

Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.88 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 4 matches

3.5 / 2

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 6.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1.75 / 2.33

Cards

against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.33 yellows

Referee · J. Pinheiro

19.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ferencvarosi TC for / against	Line	Qarabag for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 4 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	11.5 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 14.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2 for · 6.75 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 18.25 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.33 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: J. Pinheiro — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 19.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC Goalkeeper

Ferencvarosi TC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Dibusz	4	90360 min	112.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Ferencvarosi TC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ferencvarosi TC before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Dibusz n 8	82.9	2.6 6/5

Ferencvarosi TC Defensive

Ferencvarosi TC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Gartenmann	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90	215.3 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
T. Raemaekers	4	73290 min	41.2 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	144.3 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90
G. Szalai	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90	93 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Tóth	4	90360 min	143.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	307.5 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
C. O'Dowda	4	90359 min	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	82 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90
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Ferencvarosi TC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ferencvarosi TC before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Tóth n 6	77.5	1.2 4/2	1.2 4/2	—
S. Gartenmann n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.4 6/4	—
D. Dibusz n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. O'Dowda n 4	89.8	0.8 2/1	0.8 2/1	—
B. Ötvös n 4	89.5	1 3/1	1.3 3/2	—
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Ferencvarosi TC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ferencvarosi TC before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Tóth n 6	77.5	2.7 4/3
S. Gartenmann n 8	90	2 8/5
C. O'Dowda n 4	89.8	0.5 2/0
B. Ötvös n 4	89.5	1.8 3/3
Č. Makreckis n 8	87.6	0.8 4/2
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Ferencvarosi TC Attacking

Ferencvarosi TC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Joseph	4	79315 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.3 /90	51.4 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90
B. Varga	4	62248 min	41.5 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	41.5 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90
Z. Gruber	1	1616 min	00 /90	15.6 /90	15.6 /90	00 /90	15.6 /90	00 /90
A. Tóth	4	90360 min	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.5 /90	61.5 /90
C. O'Dowda	4	90359 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Ferencvarosi TC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ferencvarosi TC before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Gartenmann n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
A. Tóth n 6	77.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Dibusz n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. O'Dowda n 4	89.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
B. Ötvös n 4	89.5	2 4/3	0.5 2/0
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Ferencvarosi TC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ferencvarosi TC before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Tóth n 6	77.5	0 0/0	0.6 3/0
S. Gartenmann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Dibusz n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. O'Dowda n 4	89.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
B. Ötvös n 4	89.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ferencvarosi TC		Qarabag
44%	Possession	56%
12	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	3
1	Blocked shots	4
7	Shots inside the box	5
4	Corners	3
0	Offsides	2
20	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
335	Passes	437
74%	Pass accuracy	81%

Ferencvarosi TC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Dibusz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Raemaekers	90	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.9
G. Szalai	90	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.5
Č. Makreckis	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Tóth	90	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.9
C. O'Dowda	90	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
G. Kanichowsky	77	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Joseph	70	0	2	1	1	3	0	6.3
B. Varga	70	1	3	1	2	0	0	8.3
S. Gartenmann	64	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
B. Ötvös	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Zachariassen sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
I. Cissé sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Z. Gruber sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Pešić sub	21	0	2	1	0	0	Y	6.5
J. Levi sub	14	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3

Qarabag Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Kochalski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Mustafazadə	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
K. Medina	90	1	0	2	1	0	4	0	9
E. Cəfərquliyev	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Pedro Bicalho	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
M. Jankovic	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.2
Kady Borges	90	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	6.2
Matheus Silva	89	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.5
Abdellah Zoubir	89	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7
Nariman Akhundzade	82	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Leandro Andrade	58	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
E. Addai sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Qurbanly sub	9	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
Chris Kouakou sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Dani Bolt sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ferencvarosi TC v Qarabag — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Ferencvarosi TCLWWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

QarabagLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Ferencvarosi TC 0 · 1 draw · Qarabag 1 · 3 goals/game

2022-08-09 Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Qarabag
2022-08-03 Qarabag 1–1 Ferencvarosi TC

League standing · 2025/26

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Ferencvarosi TCNot in this league table

Qarabag#22 pos10 pts8 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Ferencvarosi TC scored1.8

Qarabag scored1.63

Ferencvarosi TC conceded1.4

Qarabag conceded2.63

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ferencvarosi TC v Qarabag?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ferencvarosi TC v Qarabag was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ferencvarosi TC and Qarabag?: In their last 2 meetings, Ferencvarosi TC won 0, Qarabag won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ferencvarosi TC and Qarabag?: Recent form — Ferencvarosi TC 3W 1D 1L; Qarabag 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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