FK Crvena ZvezdaPafos

FK Crvena Zvezda v Pafos result

Full-time · FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos

UEFA Champions League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FK Crvena Zvezda · Pafos

The model’s pre-match pick

FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos — Pafos won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.4% of 140 landed (95% range 48.2–64.4%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Pafos won 2–1 at FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 19 August. FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Pafos have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Pafos led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Pafos: João Correia (1’, assisted by Muamer Tankovic) and Pepe (52’ pen); FK Crvena Zvezda: Bruno Duarte (58’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with João Correia’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00, Pafos 0.00, from 25 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Hernandez showed two yellow cards — against 1.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FK Crvena Zvezda: Mirko Ivanić (77’); Pafos: Bruno Langa (87’).

What it changes

FK Crvena Zvezda have scored six goals, the 25th-most (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FK Crvena Zvezda have conceded five goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs.

Pafos have scored 10 goals, the 20th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Pafos have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 53 clubs.

Pafos are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, N. Michail (Pafos) 7.5, Pepe (Pafos) 5.8 and Bruno Duarte (FK Crvena Zvezda) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FK Crvena Zvezda next travel to Gent on 26 November 2026.

Pafos next host FC Midtjylland on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FK Crvena Zvezda: Gent v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Pafos: Pafos v FC Midtjylland, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos · UEFA Champions League
  • Referee: A. Hernandez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FK Crvena Zvezda 4W 1D 0L · Pafos 3W 1D 1L

FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.8 / 6.5
Corners
against 5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.4 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.8 / 4 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.17 / 2.67
Cards
against 1.33 / 1.83 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
1.5 yellows
Referee · A. Hernandez
20.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFK Crvena Zvezda for / againstLinePafos for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.8 for · 5 against n 5
9.5standard
6.5 for · 1.75 against n 4
Shots
14.2 for · 13 against n 5
19.5standard
16.5 for · 10.5 against n 4
Shots on target
5.4 for · 4.8 against n 5
8.5standard
6 for · 4 against n 4
Fouls committed
11.2 for · 14.4 against n 5
21.5standard
14 for · 12 against n 4
Cards shown
2.17 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.67 for · 1.83 against n 6

Referee: A. Hernandez — 1.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda Goalkeeper

FK Crvena Zvezda — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matheus19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90

FK Crvena Zvezda Defensive

FK Crvena Zvezda — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Miloš Veljković19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Tiknizyan19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /9088 /9000 /9000 /90
Rodrigão19090 min11 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Seol Young-Woo19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Krunić19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9066 /9011 /9011 /90
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Elšnik n 890
1.66/4
0.85/1
—
R. Krunić n 884.5
0.74/1
0.74/1
—
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
0.32/0
1.25/4
—
C. Ndiaye n 878.8
1.96/3
4.18/7
—
Bruno Duarte n 743.9
0.62/0
0.31/0
—
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Elšnik n 890
2.97/6
R. Krunić n 884.5
1.76/4
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
15/2
Bruno Duarte n 743.9
1.54/1
C. Ndiaye n 878.8
0.42/1
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FK Crvena Zvezda Attacking

FK Crvena Zvezda — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ndiaye17878 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
S. Babicka14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
P. Olayinka11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Krunić19090 min22 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Elšnik19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Elšnik n 890
0.84/2
0.53/1
R. Krunić n 884.5
0.84/2
0.42/1
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Bruno Duarte n 743.9
2.34/3
1.53/1
C. Ndiaye n 878.8
0.93/1
0.42/1
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Krunić n 884.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
00/0
0.43/0
T. Elšnik n 890
00/0
0.31/1
Bruno Duarte n 743.9
0.62/0
00/0
C. Ndiaye n 878.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FK Crvena ZvezdaPafos
57%Possession43%
25Shots14
6Shots on target3
13Shots off target7
6Blocked shots4
19Shots inside the box8
13Corners4
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves5
395Passes323
80%Pass accuracy76%

FK Crvena Zvezda Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matheus9000000006.7
Seol Young-Woo9000001407.9
Veljko Milosavljević9000001207.3
Miloš Veljković9000000106.5
N. Tiknizyan9000002406.9
T. Elšnik9000005107.2
M. Ivanić90002030Y6.2
C. Ndiaye9000212006.2
S. Babicka8700412106.5
M. Bajo6900200006.9
P. Olayinka3200210006.5
Bruno Duarte sub5910432006.6
A. Katai sub2200300006.3
Milson sub900001007

Pafos Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Michail9000000007.3
Bruno Felipe9000000106.6
D. Luckassen9000101206.6
David Goldar9000000107.2
Pepe9010212007.9
I. Sunjic9000201206.7
V. Dragomir9000001006.6
K. Pileas7300000106.6
João Correia7310111107.3
Anderson Silva7300101005.9
M. Tankovic1701001006.9
K. Sema sub6800000106.5
Bruno Langa sub18000001Y6.6
Jaja sub1800100106.3
M. Bassouamina sub1800101006.5
M. Orsic sub1200110006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FK Crvena Zvezda v Pafos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
PafosLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
FK Crvena ZvezdaNot in this league table
Pafos#26 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
FK Crvena Zvezda scored2.2
Pafos scored1
FK Crvena Zvezda conceded0.6
Pafos conceded1.38

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FK Crvena Zvezda v Pafos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FK Crvena Zvezda v Pafos was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of FK Crvena Zvezda and Pafos?
Recent form — FK Crvena Zvezda 4W 1D 0L; Pafos 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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