Lech Poznan v FK Crvena Zvezda result
Team pages: Lech Poznan · FK Crvena Zvezda
The model’s pre-match pick
Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda — FK Crvena Zvezda won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
FK Crvena Zvezda won 3–1 at Lech Poznan in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 6 August. Lech Poznan have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — FK Crvena Zvezda: Rade Krunić (9’, assisted by C. Ndiaye; 51’) and Bruno Duarte (73’, assisted by Mirko Ivanić); Lech Poznan: Mikael Ishak (34’, assisted by João Moutinho).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rade Krunić’s goal on 51 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lech Poznan 0.00, FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00, from 11 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
T. Stieler showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Lech Poznan: Filip Jagiełło (19’); FK Crvena Zvezda: Rade Krunić (21’).
What it changes
Lech Poznan sit 45th on one point from two games with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far). Lech Poznan have scored two goals, the 20th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Lech Poznan have conceded four goals, the 16th-most (shared) of the 53 clubs.
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 32nd on five points from four games with a goal difference of +1 (2025/26 so far). FK Crvena Zvezda have scored six goals, the 25th-most (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FK Crvena Zvezda have conceded five goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs.
FK Crvena Zvezda have won their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rade Krunić (FK Crvena Zvezda) 10.5, Bruno Duarte (FK Crvena Zvezda) 8.7 and João Moutinho (Lech Poznan) 7.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (340 of 495).
Next up
Lech Poznan next travel to GKS Katowice on 22 November 2026.
FK Crvena Zvezda next travel to Gent on 26 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Lech Poznan: GKS Katowice v Lech Poznan, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for FK Crvena Zvezda: Gent v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 26 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League
- Referee: T. Stieler
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Lech Poznan 4W 0D 1L · FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 0D 2L
Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
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The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Lech Poznan | FK Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 516 | Passes | 349 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 74% |
Lech Poznan Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mrozek | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Skrzypczak | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Milić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.3 |
| João Moutinho | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Palma | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Ishak | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Joel Pereira | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Kozubal | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Jagiełło | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Gholizadeh | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Bengtsson | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pablo Rodríguez sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Filip Szymczak sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Ouma sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Þórðarson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Gumny sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
FK Crvena Zvezda Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Seol Young-Woo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Rodrigão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Miloš Veljković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Tiknizyan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Krunić | 90 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Y | 9.5 |
| T. Elšnik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Bruno Duarte | 78 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Ndiaye | 78 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Ivanić | 75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Milson | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Babicka sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| P. Olayinka sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Katai sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Arnautović sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Lech Poznan v FK Crvena Zvezda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Lech Poznan v FK Crvena Zvezda?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lech Poznan v FK Crvena Zvezda was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the recent form of Lech Poznan and FK Crvena Zvezda?
- Recent form — Lech Poznan 4W 0D 1L; FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 0D 2L.
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