Levski SofiaKairat Almaty

Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty result

Full-time · Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty

UEFA Champions League · · Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty — Levski Sofia won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0 at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 4 August. Levski Sofia have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Levski Sofia: Serginho (90’, assisted by Mazire Soula).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Serginho’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

D. Rumsas showed one yellow card — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Levski Sofia: Serginho (90+3’).

What it changes

Levski Sofia sit second on 11 points from five games with a goal difference of +6 (2026/27 so far). Levski Sofia have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 42 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Levski Sofia have conceded three goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 42 clubs.

Kairat Almaty sit fourth on nine points from five games with a goal difference of +2 (2026/27 so far). Kairat Almaty have scored five goals, the 18th-fewest (shared) of the 42 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Kairat Almaty have conceded three goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 42 clubs.

Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Levski Sofia or Kairat Almaty (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Next up

Levski Sofia next travel to Marseille on 26 November 2026.

Kairat Almaty next host Mjallby AIF on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Levski Sofia: Marseille v Levski Sofia, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for Kairat Almaty: Kairat Almaty v Mjallby AIF, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov · Sofia
  • Referee: D. Rumsas
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Levski Sofia 2W 2D 1L · Kairat Almaty 3W 0D 2L

Levski Sofia 1–0 Kairat Almaty (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
6.67 / 0.5
Corners
against 2.33 / 6.75 · 0 of the last 2 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3.33 / 1.8
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 6.8 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1 / 1.8
Cards
against 2.8 / 1.8 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5
over 5 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLevski Sofia for / againstLineKairat Almaty for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.67 for · 2.33 against n 3
9.5standard
0.5 for · 6.75 against n 4
Shots
11 for · 9.67 against n 3
19.5standard
7.5 for · 20 against n 4
Shots on target
3.33 for · 4.33 against n 3
8.5standard
1.8 for · 6.8 against n 5
Cards shown
1 for · 2.8 against n 5
3.5standard
1.8 for · 1.8 against n 5

Referee: D. Rumsas.

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia Goalkeeper

Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 29 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 392.3
2.32/2

Levski Sofia Defensive

Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 29 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Trdin n 392.3
0.61/1
0.31/0
—
K. Dimitrov n 591.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
—
Maicon n 390.3
0.31/0
0.71/1
—
S. Vutsov n 392.3
00/0
00/0
—
Aldair n 367.3
0.41/0
00/0
—
Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 29 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Maicon n 390.3
2.72/2
G. Trdin n 392.3
0.61/1
K. Dimitrov n 591.4
0.42/0
Aldair n 367.3
0.92/0

Levski Sofia Attacking

Levski Sofia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Reinaldo17575 min22.4 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Perea12121 min14.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Oko-Flex16868 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Álex Centelles16969 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 29 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Vutsov n 392.3
00/0
00/0
G. Trdin n 392.3
00/0
00/0
K. Dimitrov n 591.4
00/0
00/0
Maicon n 390.3
00/0
00/0
Aldair n 367.3
00/0
00/0
Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 29 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Maicon n 390.3
00/0
0.31/0
S. Vutsov n 392.3
00/0
00/0
G. Trdin n 392.3
00/0
00/0
K. Dimitrov n 591.4
00/0
00/0
Aldair n 367.3
00/0
00/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Levski SofiaKairat Almaty
71%Possession29%
12Shots1
4Shots on target0
8Shots off target1
0Blocked shots0
7Corners1
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Levski SofiaLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Kairat AlmatyLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Goals per game
Levski Sofia scored1.8
Kairat Almaty scored1.4
Levski Sofia conceded1.4
Kairat Almaty conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty?
Recent form — Levski Sofia 2W 2D 1L; Kairat Almaty 3W 0D 2L.

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