LiverpoolAtletico Madrid

Liverpool v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liverpool · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid — Liverpool won this UEFA Champions League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Liverpool beat Atletico Madrid 2–1 at Anfield in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 9 September. Liverpool have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Marcos Llorente (17’, assisted by Julián Alvarez); Liverpool: Dominik Szoboszlai (40’, assisted by R. Araújo) and Alexis Mac Allister (50’, assisted by Alexander Isak).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexis Mac Allister’s goal on 50 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Liverpool 1.62, Atletico Madrid 0.91, from 14 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Davide Massa, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Liverpool: Alexis Mac Allister (28’); Atletico Madrid: Marc Pubill (51’).

What it changes

Liverpool have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Liverpool have conceded 10 goals, the 16th-most (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Atletico Madrid have scored four goals, the 28th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Atletico Madrid have conceded five goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 81 clubs.

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) 9.9, Marcos Llorente (Atletico Madrid) 8.0 and Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atletico Madrid.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League
  • Venue: Anfield · Liverpool
  • Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Liverpool 3 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 2 · 3.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 1W 3D 1L · Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L

Liverpool 2–1 Atletico Madrid (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6.63
Corners
against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Davide Massa, Italy.

Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker390270 min93 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.54/3

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. van Dijk390270 min51.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90155 /9000 /9010.3 /90
M. Kerkez384251 min62.2 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90134.7 /9051.8 /9020.7 /90
Jérémy Jacquet379237 min72.7 /9051.9 /9020.8 /90186.8 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong281161 min31.7 /9000 /9000 /9052.8 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
R. Araújo255110 min21.6 /9000 /9010.8 /901310.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.88/4
0.85/1
Giuliano Simeone
V. van Dijk n 890
0.43/0
0.42/1
Dávid Hancko
Alisson Becker n 890
0.11/0
0.31/1
—
M. Kerkez n 862.1
1.44/3
1.85/2
Dávid Hancko
C. Gakpo n 884
1.24/2
1.26/2
—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.45/4
V. van Dijk n 890
0.62/2
M. Kerkez n 862.1
1.34/2
C. Gakpo n 884
0.93/2
A. Isak n 860.5
0.42/0
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Isak381244 min31.1 /9000 /9072.6 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
Rio Ngumoha24182 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.2 /90
B. Barcola12626 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.5 /9013.5 /90
D. Szoboszlai390270 min10.3 /9000 /9062 /9041.3 /9072.3 /9020.7 /90
C. Gakpo384251 min10.4 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9082.9 /9041.4 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.57/4
16/1
V. van Dijk n 890
0.95/2
0.53/1
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Gakpo n 884
1.23/3
0.42/1
M. Kerkez n 862.1
0.41/1
0.21/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.32/0
0.42/1
V. van Dijk n 890
0.31/1
00/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Gakpo n 884
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Kerkez n 862.1
00/0
00/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak490360 min102.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
2.93/3

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko490360 min41 /9082 /9030.8 /90205 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Marcos Llorente456225 min52 /9062.4 /9052 /9093.6 /9062.4 /9010.4 /90
Álex Grimaldo390270 min93 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90175.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Marc Pubill382246 min41.5 /9000 /9010.4 /90124.4 /9051.8 /9010.4 /90
Robin Le Normand283166 min31.6 /9042.2 /9000 /9084.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
M. Kerkez
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Pablo Barrios n 856.4
0.83/1
1.66/2
—
Ademola Lookman n 869.9
1.45/4
1.96/3
—
Giuliano Simeone n 858
0.83/1
0.62/1
D. Szoboszlai
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.73/1
Pablo Barrios n 856.4
1.45/2
Ademola Lookman n 869.9
15/1
Giuliano Simeone n 858
3.16/4
Alex Baena n 856.8
0.83/1
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alex Baena460239 min31.1 /9010.4 /9062.3 /9041.5 /90103.8 /9000 /90
Lee Kang-In458230 min10.4 /9010.4 /9062.3 /9010.4 /9052 /9093.5 /90
Arnau Ortiz338113 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9043.2 /9010.8 /90
Julián Alvarez22855 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9023.3 /9046.5 /90
Pablo Barrios474294 min00 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9061.8 /9051.5 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.53/1
00/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Pablo Barrios n 856.4
0.83/1
0.42/0
Ademola Lookman n 869.9
1.46/3
0.84/1
Giuliano Simeone n 858
1.44/3
0.42/0
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Pablo Barrios n 856.4
00/0
0.42/0
Ademola Lookman n 869.9
0.53/0
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 858
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
45%Possession55%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.91
14Shots9
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
7Corners5
3Offsides5
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves3
419Passes515
84%Pass accuracy85%

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Araújo9001301006.3
Jérémy Jacquet9000000107
V. van Dijk9000000006.6
D. Szoboszlai9010115208.5
F. Wirtz9000003206.9
Alisson Becker9000000006.9
M. Kerkez8800001406.9
A. Isak8801102106.7
A. Mac Allister69101122Y8.2
Rio Ngumoha6000000006.6
B. Barcola6000320206.7
Jeremie Frimpong sub3000000006.7
Víctor Muñoz sub3000110006.9
R. Gravenberch sub2100000006.9
L. Koumas sub800000006.7
K. Tsimikas sub800000006.6

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Marcos Llorente9010110508
Marc Pubill90000003Y6
Dávid Hancko9000100006.5
Giuliano Simeone9000001106.3
Julián Alvarez9001331007
Jan Oblak9000000006.9
Cristian Romero7700000507.5
Pablo Barrios7700002307.2
Alex Baena7300201006.7
Koke5900001006.7
Lee Kang-In5900001106.3
Álex Grimaldo sub3100002106.6
Ademola Lookman sub3100000106.3
Jonathan David sub1700000006.5
Morten Hjulmand sub1300100006.7
Robin Le Normand sub1300000107

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Atletico MadridLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Liverpool 3 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 2 · 3.6 goals/game
  • 2025-09-17 Liverpool 3–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2021-11-03 Liverpool 2–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2021-10-19 Atletico Madrid 2–3 Liverpool
  • 2020-03-11 Liverpool 2–3 Atletico Madrid
  • 2020-02-18 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Liverpool#8 pos9 pts4 pl+4 GD
Atletico Madrid#23 pos4 pts4 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored3.5
Atletico Madrid scored1
Liverpool conceded2.5
Atletico Madrid conceded1.25

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liverpool v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Atletico Madrid was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Atletico Madrid won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Liverpool 1W 3D 1L; Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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