PafosFK Crvena Zvezda

Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda result

Full-time · Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Champions League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda — this UEFA Champions League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda drew 1–1 in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 26 August. Pafos are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. FK Crvena Zvezda are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FK Crvena Zvezda: Mirko Ivanić (60’, assisted by C. Ndiaye); Pafos: Jaja (89’, assisted by Pepe).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jaja’s goal on 89 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Pafos 0.00, FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00, from 11 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Oliver showed six yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Pafos: Jaja (79’), Bruno Felipe (86’) and Pepe (90+8’); FK Crvena Zvezda: Miloš Veljković (33’), Rade Krunić (33’) and S. Babicka (53’).

What it changes

Pafos have scored 10 goals, the 20th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Pafos have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 53 clubs.

FK Crvena Zvezda have scored six goals, the 25th-most (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FK Crvena Zvezda have conceded five goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs.

Pafos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mirko Ivanić (FK Crvena Zvezda) 5.6, C. Ndiaye (FK Crvena Zvezda) 5.1 and Jaja (Pafos) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Pafos or FK Crvena Zvezda (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Pafos next host FC Midtjylland on 26 November 2026.

FK Crvena Zvezda next travel to Gent on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Pafos: Pafos v FC Midtjylland, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for FK Crvena Zvezda: Gent v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Pafos 1 · draws 0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Pafos 4W 1D 0L · FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 1D 1L

Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 7.6
Corners
against 5 / 5 · 1 of the last 1 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.5 / 5.2
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5 · 1 of the last 1 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.33 / 1.67
Cards
against 1.67 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
20.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePafos for / againstLineFK Crvena Zvezda for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5 against n 4
9.5standard
7.6 for · 5 against n 5
Shots
16 for · 14.25 against n 4
19.5standard
17 for · 13.2 against n 5
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 4
8.5standard
5.2 for · 5 against n 5
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 12 against n 4
21.5standard
10.2 for · 14.4 against n 5
Cards shown
2.33 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.67 for · 1.33 against n 6

Referee: M. Oliver — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Pafos

Pafos Goalkeeper

Pafos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Michail19090 min55 /9011 /9011 /90

Pafos Defensive

Pafos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bruno Felipe19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9044 /9022 /9000 /90
D. Luckassen19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9088 /9033 /9000 /90
David Goldar19090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
K. Pileas17373 min11.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9044.9 /9022.5 /9000 /90
Bruno Langa11818 min15 /9000 /9000 /90210 /9015 /9015 /90
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Pafos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Felipe n 880.4
2.26/5
0.85/1
Seol Young-Woo
D. Luckassen n 890
1.58/3
0.95/2
Seol Young-Woo
I. Sunjic n 881.5
1.46/4
1.13/2
T. Elšnik
David Goldar n 886.6
16/2
0.64/1
Seol Young-Woo
V. Dragomir n 888
0.84/2
16/1
M. Ivanić
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Pafos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Luckassen n 890
2.38/6
Bruno Felipe n 880.4
2.27/4
Pepe n 887.8
2.15/3
I. Sunjic n 881.5
1.86/5
V. Dragomir n 888
1.45/3
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Pafos Attacking

Pafos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Anderson Silva17373 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Jaja11818 min00 /9000 /9015 /9000 /9000 /9015 /90
M. Bassouamina11818 min00 /9000 /9015 /9000 /9015 /9000 /90
I. Sunjic19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
Pepe19090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
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Pafos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Dragomir n 888
1.46/3
0.42/1
David Goldar n 886.6
14/2
0.43/0
Pepe n 887.8
0.96/1
0.54/0
I. Sunjic n 881.5
0.85/1
00/0
Bruno Felipe n 880.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Pafos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pafos before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Felipe n 880.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
V. Dragomir n 888
0.11/0
00/0
Pepe n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
David Goldar n 886.6
0.11/0
00/0
D. Luckassen n 890
00/0
00/0
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FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda Goalkeeper

FK Crvena Zvezda — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matheus290180 min42 /9031.5 /9000 /90

FK Crvena Zvezda Defensive

FK Crvena Zvezda — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Miloš Veljković290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /9073.5 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Tiknizyan290180 min84 /9031.5 /9000 /90136.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Seol Young-Woo290180 min73.5 /9021 /9000 /90126 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Rodrigão19090 min11 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Veljko Milosavljević19090 min22 /9000 /9022 /9088 /9000 /9000 /90
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Elšnik n 890
1.66/4
0.85/1
I. Sunjic
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
0.43/0
1.35/4
David Goldar
C. Ndiaye n 881.4
2.17/4
4.48/7
—
M. Ivanić n 874.6
0.83/1
0.52/1
V. Dragomir
Bruno Duarte n 845.8
0.73/0
0.21/0
—
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Elšnik n 890
38/6
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
1.56/3
C. Ndiaye n 881.4
0.11/0
M. Ivanić n 874.6
0.83/2
Bruno Duarte n 845.8
1.24/1
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FK Crvena Zvezda Attacking

FK Crvena Zvezda — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ndiaye284168 min00 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /90
Bruno Duarte269137 min21.3 /9000 /9074.6 /9063.9 /9021.3 /9063.9 /90
T. Elšnik290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9021 /90
M. Ivanić283165 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /9084.4 /9010.5 /90
S. Babicka266132 min00 /9000 /9042.7 /9010.7 /9032 /9021.4 /90
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Elšnik n 890
0.63/2
0.53/1
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Ndiaye n 881.4
1.14/2
0.63/1
M. Ivanić n 874.6
2.38/7
0.94/2
Bruno Duarte n 845.8
35/4
24/2
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FK Crvena Zvezda — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Crvena Zvezda before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Seol Young-Woo n 887.6
00/0
0.43/0
T. Elšnik n 890
00/0
0.31/1
C. Ndiaye n 881.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Ivanić n 874.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Bruno Duarte n 845.8
0.73/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PafosFK Crvena Zvezda
50%Possession50%
11Shots12
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box9
3Corners3
1Offsides3
17Fouls17
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves4
355Passes352
79%Pass accuracy81%

Pafos Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Michail9000000006.5
D. Luckassen9000000106.9
David Goldar9000001207.6
Pepe90011010Y7
I. Sunjic9000001107.2
João Correia9000220106.3
V. Dragomir9000000206.5
Bruno Felipe89003114Y6.3
Anderson Silva6800210106.3
K. Pileas6200001106.7
M. Orsic6200001306.7
Bruno Langa sub2800000107.2
Jaja sub28102100Y7.7
M. Bassouamina sub2200001006.7
Pedrao sub10000000–

FK Crvena Zvezda Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matheus9000000007.9
Seol Young-Woo9000000106.9
Veljko Milosavljević9000201006.9
Miloš Veljković90002100Y7.2
N. Tiknizyan9000000206.9
R. Krunić90000012Y6.9
C. Ndiaye9001003106.9
T. Elšnik8900003107.2
M. Ivanić8910110007.2
S. Babicka56001000Y6.2
Bruno Duarte5600111006.6
N. Radonjić sub3400001006.6
M. Arnautović sub3400000006.3
A. Katai sub900000006.2
P. Olayinka sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PafosDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Pafos 1 · 0 draws · FK Crvena Zvezda 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-19 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Pafos#26 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
FK Crvena ZvezdaNot in this league table
Goals per game
Pafos scored1
FK Crvena Zvezda scored2.2
Pafos conceded1.38
FK Crvena Zvezda conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda?
In their last 1 meetings, Pafos won 1, FK Crvena Zvezda won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda?
Recent form — Pafos 4W 1D 0L; FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 1D 1L.

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