Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda result
Team pages: Pafos · FK Crvena Zvezda
The model’s pre-match pick
Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda — this UEFA Champions League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda drew 1–1 in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 26 August. Pafos are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. FK Crvena Zvezda are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FK Crvena Zvezda: Mirko Ivanić (60’, assisted by C. Ndiaye); Pafos: Jaja (89’, assisted by Pepe).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jaja’s goal on 89 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Pafos 0.00, FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00, from 11 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
M. Oliver showed six yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Pafos: Jaja (79’), Bruno Felipe (86’) and Pepe (90+8’); FK Crvena Zvezda: Miloš Veljković (33’), Rade Krunić (33’) and S. Babicka (53’).
What it changes
Pafos have scored 10 goals, the 20th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Pafos have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 53 clubs.
FK Crvena Zvezda have scored six goals, the 25th-most (shared) of the 53 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). FK Crvena Zvezda have conceded five goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 53 clubs.
Pafos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mirko Ivanić (FK Crvena Zvezda) 5.6, C. Ndiaye (FK Crvena Zvezda) 5.1 and Jaja (Pafos) 3.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Pafos or FK Crvena Zvezda (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).
Next up
Pafos next host FC Midtjylland on 26 November 2026.
FK Crvena Zvezda next travel to Gent on 26 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Pafos: Pafos v FC Midtjylland, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for FK Crvena Zvezda: Gent v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 26 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League
- Referee: M. Oliver
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Pafos 1 · draws 0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Pafos 4W 1D 0L · FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 1D 1L
Pafos 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda (UEFA Champions League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Pafos for / against | Line | FK Crvena Zvezda for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 5 against n 4 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.6 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 14.25 against n 4 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17 for · 13.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.2 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.75 for · 12 against n 4 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.2 for · 14.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.33 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.67 for · 1.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Oliver — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.86 fouls over 7 matches.
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Pafos
Pafos Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Michail | 1 | 9090 min | 55 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
Pafos Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Felipe | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 44 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Luckassen | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 88 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 |
| David Goldar | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Pileas | 1 | 7373 min | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 44.9 /90 | 22.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Bruno Langa | 1 | 1818 min | 15 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 210 /90 | 15 /90 | 15 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Felipe n 8 | 80.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | Seol Young-Woo |
| D. Luckassen n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.9 | Seol Young-Woo |
| I. Sunjic n 8 | 81.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | T. Elšnik |
| David Goldar n 8 | 86.6 | 1 | 0.6 | Seol Young-Woo |
| V. Dragomir n 8 | 88 | 0.8 | 1 | M. Ivanić |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Luckassen n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Bruno Felipe n 8 | 80.4 | 2.2 |
| Pepe n 8 | 87.8 | 2.1 |
| I. Sunjic n 8 | 81.5 | 1.8 |
| V. Dragomir n 8 | 88 | 1.4 |
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Pafos Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Silva | 1 | 7373 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Jaja | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 |
| M. Bassouamina | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 |
| I. Sunjic | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Pepe | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Dragomir n 8 | 88 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| David Goldar n 8 | 86.6 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Pepe n 8 | 87.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| I. Sunjic n 8 | 81.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Bruno Felipe n 8 | 80.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Felipe n 8 | 80.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| V. Dragomir n 8 | 88 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Pepe n 8 | 87.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| David Goldar n 8 | 86.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Luckassen n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus | 2 | 90180 min | 42 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
FK Crvena Zvezda Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miloš Veljković | 2 | 90180 min | 31.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 73.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| N. Tiknizyan | 2 | 90180 min | 84 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 136.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Seol Young-Woo | 2 | 90180 min | 73.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 126 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Rodrigão | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Veljko Milosavljević | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 88 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Elšnik n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.8 | I. Sunjic |
| Seol Young-Woo n 8 | 87.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | David Goldar |
| C. Ndiaye n 8 | 81.4 | 2.1 | 4.4 | — |
| M. Ivanić n 8 | 74.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | V. Dragomir |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 45.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Elšnik n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| Seol Young-Woo n 8 | 87.6 | 1.5 |
| C. Ndiaye n 8 | 81.4 | 0.1 |
| M. Ivanić n 8 | 74.6 | 0.8 |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 45.8 | 1.2 |
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FK Crvena Zvezda Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ndiaye | 2 | 84168 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 31.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Bruno Duarte | 2 | 69137 min | 21.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 74.6 /90 | 63.9 /90 | 21.3 /90 | 63.9 /90 |
| T. Elšnik | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 52.5 /90 | 21 /90 |
| M. Ivanić | 2 | 83165 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 31.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 84.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| S. Babicka | 2 | 66132 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 42.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 32 /90 | 21.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Elšnik n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Seol Young-Woo n 8 | 87.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. Ndiaye n 8 | 81.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| M. Ivanić n 8 | 74.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 45.8 | 3 | 2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seol Young-Woo n 8 | 87.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| T. Elšnik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| C. Ndiaye n 8 | 81.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Ivanić n 8 | 74.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Bruno Duarte n 8 | 45.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Pafos | FK Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 355 | Passes | 352 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Pafos Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Michail | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Luckassen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| David Goldar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Pepe | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| I. Sunjic | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| João Correia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| V. Dragomir | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Bruno Felipe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.3 |
| Anderson Silva | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Pileas | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Orsic | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Bruno Langa sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jaja sub | 28 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.7 |
| M. Bassouamina sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pedrao sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
FK Crvena Zvezda Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Seol Young-Woo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Veljko Milosavljević | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Miloš Veljković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| N. Tiknizyan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Krunić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Ndiaye | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Elšnik | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Ivanić | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Babicka | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Bruno Duarte | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Radonjić sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Arnautović sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Katai sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Olayinka sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-19 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Pafos
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Pafos v FK Crvena Zvezda was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda?
- In their last 1 meetings, Pafos won 1, FK Crvena Zvezda won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Pafos and FK Crvena Zvezda?
- Recent form — Pafos 4W 1D 0L; FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 1D 1L.
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