PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Philips Stadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PSV Eindhoven · Club Brugge KV

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

PSV Eindhoven host Club Brugge KV in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Club Brugge KV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Club Brugge KV have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Club Brugge KV have won their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, PSV Eindhoven have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.00.

Both teams scored in seven of Club Brugge KV’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Club Brugge KV have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.83 and conceding 1.33.

PSV Eindhoven (18th) and Club Brugge KV (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Club Brugge KV the stronger side, 143 rating points above PSV Eindhoven (Club Brugge KV 1819, PSV Eindhoven 1676, after at least 55 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted PSV Eindhoven XI (4-2-3-1): M. Kovář, S. Dest, L. Geertruida, A. Obispo, F. Kostić, K. Sano, G. Til, M. Júnior, I. Perišić, E. Bajraktarevic, S. Mijnans — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sergiño Dest (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Mauro Júnior (4.4 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been PSV Eindhoven’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PSV Eindhoven (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergiño Dest averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1602 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Mauro Júnior averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1140 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Club Brugge KV XI (4-2-3-1): Y. Sommer, B. Mechele, J. Seys, J. Spileers, K. Sabbe, F. Potts, H. Vanaken, C. Forbs, J. Virgili, H. Vetlesen, N. Tresoldi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carlos Forbs (6.4 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and seven assists) and Nicolò Tresoldi (5.9 per match over 13 appearances, 12 goals and one assist) have been Club Brugge KV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Club Brugge KV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carlos Forbs averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Nicolò Tresoldi averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1030 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Champions League · Philips Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: PSV Eindhoven 2W 1D 2L · Club Brugge KV 5W 0D 0L

PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 3.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 6.14

Corners

against 4.5 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.5 / 7

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	PSV Eindhoven for / against	Line	Club Brugge KV for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	3.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18 for · 16.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	7.71 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven Goalkeeper

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Kovář	13	901170 min	423.2 /90	141.1 /90	00 /90

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 8	90	3.8 7/6

PSV Eindhoven Defensive

PSV Eindhoven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Obispo	13	811058 min	201.7 /90	121 /90	70.6 /90	564.8 /90	211.8 /90	50.4 /90
S. Dest	12	901079 min	242 /90	50.4 /90	70.6 /90	695.8 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
Mauro Júnior	12	841010 min	252.2 /90	131.2 /90	10.1 /90	585.2 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
L. Geertruida	8	86690 min	91.2 /90	111.4 /90	40.5 /90	253.3 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90
R. Flamingo	8	67534 min	101.7 /90	132.2 /90	20.3 /90	315.2 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
G. Til n 8	80	0.8 5/1	0.7 5/0	—
A. Obispo n 8	77.6	2.3 5/5	0.6 4/0	—
S. Dest n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.9 6/6	—
Mauro Júnior n 8	83.1	0.8 5/1	1.2 5/3	—
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PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Til n 8	80	0.8 5/1
A. Obispo n 8	77.6	1.4 6/4
S. Dest n 8	90	2.1 7/5
Mauro Júnior n 8	83.1	2.7 8/6
K. Sano n 8	88.3	2 8/6
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PSV Eindhoven Attacking

PSV Eindhoven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Pepi	7	73508 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	162.8 /90	71.2 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
E. Bajraktarevic	7	51356 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90
A. Bouhamdi	5	37186 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	73.4 /90	73.4 /90
D. Man	3	2884 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Mikkel Bro Hansen	1	5050 min	00 /90	00 /90	35.4 /90	23.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Til n 8	80	1.7 5/5	0.8 4/2
A. Obispo n 8	77.6	0.7 2/2	0 0/0
S. Dest n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
Mauro Júnior n 8	83.1	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
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PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Til n 8	80	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
A. Obispo n 8	77.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Dest n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Mauro Júnior n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV Goalkeeper

Club Brugge KV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Sommer	13	901170 min	453.5 /90	141.1 /90	00 /90

Club Brugge KV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Club Brugge KV before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 8	90	3.8 6/4

Club Brugge KV Defensive

Club Brugge KV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Mechele	13	901170 min	302.3 /90	201.5 /90	120.9 /90	826.3 /90	110.8 /90	10.1 /90
J. Seys	13	891159 min	262 /90	171.3 /90	90.7 /90	544.2 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
K. Sabbe	12	77920 min	232.3 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90	414 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
Lee Han-Beom	9	83749 min	141.7 /90	101.2 /90	60.7 /90	556.6 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90
J. Spileers	7	71494 min	71.3 /90	81.5 /90	40.7 /90	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	20.4 /90
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Club Brugge KV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Club Brugge KV before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Mechele n 8	90	1 4/3	0.5 2/1	—
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
J. Seys n 8	89.9	0.3 2/0	1 4/3	—
F. Potts n 8	89.5	1 6/1	1.8 7/5	—
N. Tresoldi n 8	74.4	0.9 4/1	2.4 8/5	—
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Club Brugge KV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Club Brugge KV before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Mechele n 8	90	2.5 6/6
J. Seys n 8	89.9	2.4 8/7
F. Potts n 8	89.5	2.5 8/5
N. Tresoldi n 8	74.4	0.9 5/1
H. Vetlesen n 8	69.6	1 5/1
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Club Brugge KV Attacking

Club Brugge KV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Tresoldi	13	791030 min	121 /90	10.1 /90	353.1 /90	191.7 /90	80.7 /90	60.5 /90
M. Diakhon	9	50448 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	102 /90	40.8 /90	112.2 /90	112.2 /90
R. Vermant	3	57170 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	94.8 /90	52.6 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
F. Potts	13	891154 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	60.5 /90	30.2 /90
H. Vetlesen	13	72942 min	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	191.8 /90	121.1 /90	242.3 /90	50.5 /90
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Club Brugge KV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Club Brugge KV before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mechele n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Seys n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
F. Potts n 8	89.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
N. Tresoldi n 8	74.4	3.5 7/7	2.1 6/4
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Club Brugge KV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Club Brugge KV before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Mechele n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Sommer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Seys n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1
F. Potts n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tresoldi n 8	74.4	1.4 5/2	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PSV EindhovenWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Club Brugge KVWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

PSV Eindhoven#18 pos4 pts3 pl0 GD

Club Brugge KV#11 pos6 pts3 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

PSV Eindhoven scored0.67

Club Brugge KV scored3

PSV Eindhoven conceded0.67

Club Brugge KV conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV?: TACTIX’s free model pick for PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV?: Recent form — PSV Eindhoven 2W 1D 2L; Club Brugge KV 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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