Arda KardzhaliRaków Częstochowa

Arda Kardzhali v Raków Częstochowa result

Full-time · Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Raków Częstochowa

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Raków Częstochowa — Raków Częstochowa won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Raków Częstochowa won 2–1 at Arda Kardzhali in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 28 August. Raków Częstochowa have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Raków Częstochowa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Raków Częstochowa: P. Baráth (2’) and Ivi Lopez (90’); Arda Kardzhali: A. Vutov (59’ pen). Georgi Nikolov (70’) and D. Velkovski (90+1’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ivi Lopez’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Arda Kardzhali 0.00, Raków Częstochowa 0.00, from 8 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Igor Pajač, Croatia showed seven yellow cards and two reds — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Arda Kardzhali: Georgi Nikolov (48’), Georgi Nikolov (70’), Andre Shinyashiki (90+5’) and Patrick Luan (90+6’); Raków Częstochowa: Bogdan Racovitan (35’), P. Baráth (44’) and Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez (90+5’).

What it changes

Arda Kardzhali have scored four goals, the 37th-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Arda Kardzhali have conceded three goals, the ninth-fewest of the 90 clubs.

Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the 40th-most (shared) of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Raków Częstochowa have conceded eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Vutov (Arda Kardzhali) 7.3, A. Gospodinov (Arda Kardzhali) 7.1 and P. Baráth (Raków Częstochowa) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Raków Częstochowa next travel to Legia Warszawa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Raków Częstochowa: Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Raków Częstochowa · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Referee: Igor Pajač, Croatia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Arda Kardzhali 0 · draws 0 · Raków Częstochowa 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arda Kardzhali 2W 2D 1L · Raków Częstochowa 3W 0D 2L

Arda Kardzhali 1–2 Raków Częstochowa (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Arda KardzhaliRaków Częstochowa
52%Possession48%
8Shots12
3Shots on target7
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box7
3Corners2
0Offsides2
15Fouls15
4Yellow cards3
2Red cards0
5Saves2
432Passes409
78%Pass accuracy73%

Arda Kardzhali Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gospodinov9000000007.7
F. Eboa Eboa9000000006.2
C. Huseynov9000000206.6
D. Velkovski90000011R6.5
L. Kotev9000002207.2
S. Kovachev8500200306.9
David Akintola Idowu8000110306.9
Georgi Nikolov70000000RY5.9
V. Velev6600000006.3
B. Karagaren6600001106.7
S. Yusein4500110006
A. Vutov sub4510211306.6
Gustavo Cascardo sub2400000006.3
Andre Shinyashiki sub24000002Y6.6
Isnaba Mané sub1300000006.3
Patrick Luan sub10000000Y6.5

Raków Częstochowa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trelowski9000000006.5
Bogdan Racovitan90000000Y6.2
Z. Arsenic9000000005.9
S. Svarnas9000000106.6
F. Tudor9000001107.2
O. Repka9000001206.9
J. C. Silva7900101406.6
J. Brunes7900110006.2
P. Baráth74101103Y7.3
M. Ameyaw6000001006.7
Tomasz Pieńko6000101106.5
Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez sub30000001Y6.9
Ivi Lopez sub3010321106.9
M. Bulat sub1600000006.5
Adriano sub1100220206.9
Leonardo Rocha sub1100111106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arda Kardzhali v Raków Częstochowa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Arda KardzhaliDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Raków CzęstochowaLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Arda Kardzhali 0 · 0 draws · Raków Częstochowa 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-08-21 Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Arda Kardzhali
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Arda KardzhaliNot in this league table
Raków Częstochowa#2 pos14 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Arda Kardzhali scored1
Raków Częstochowa scored1.5
Arda Kardzhali conceded0.6
Raków Częstochowa conceded0.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arda Kardzhali v Raków Częstochowa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arda Kardzhali v Raków Częstochowa was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Arda Kardzhali and Raków Częstochowa?
In their last 1 meetings, Arda Kardzhali won 0, Raków Częstochowa won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arda Kardzhali and Raków Częstochowa?
Recent form — Arda Kardzhali 2W 2D 1L; Raków Częstochowa 3W 0D 2L.

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