KuPS v Shamrock Rovers result

Full-time · KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:00 BST · Vare Areena

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers — KuPS won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.80 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

KuPS beat Shamrock Rovers 1–0 at Vare Areena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 27 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Shamrock Rovers: an own goal by Graham Burke (75’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: KuPS 0.00, Shamrock Rovers 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Kolaric showed five yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — KuPS: Brahima Magassa (87’); Shamrock Rovers: John O'Sullivan (29’), Matthew Healy (65’), Pico (74’) and Ed McGinty (90+3’).

What it changes

KuPS have scored four goals, the 49th-fewest of the 165 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). KuPS have conceded seven goals, the 72nd-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Shamrock Rovers have scored one goal, the 40th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 2 games, ranked per game). Shamrock Rovers have conceded two goals, the 29th-fewest (shared) of the 165 clubs.

Shamrock Rovers are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Shamrock Rovers, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

KuPS next travel to SC Braga on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for KuPS: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa Conference League
Venue: Vare Areena · Kuopio
Referee: P. Kolaric
Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): KuPS 0 · draws 1 · Shamrock Rovers 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: KuPS 0W 2D 3L · Shamrock Rovers 2W 2D 1L

KuPS 1–0 Shamrock Rovers (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.2

Corners

against 4 / 2.8 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 4 matches

1.5 / 6.4

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 2.4 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1.75 / 2.2

Cards

against 1 / 2.2 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 4 matches

232

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	KuPS for / against	Line	Shamrock Rovers for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	3.2 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	4 for · 6 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 5.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	1.5 for · 5.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	6.4 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.67 for · 11 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 14.25 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	2.2 for · 2.2 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: P. Kolaric.

KuPS

KuPS Goalkeeper

KuPS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Kreidl n 8	90	4 6/5

KuPS Defensive

KuPS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Engvall	1	6868 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90

KuPS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Gasc n 3	90	2 2/2	0.7 2/0	M. Healy
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.1 4/3	0.6 4/0	Tunmise Sobowale
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/0	—
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
B. Armah n 7	67.4	1 4/1	1.3 3/2	—
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KuPS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Gasc n 3	90	2 2/2
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.2 5/2
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.8 5/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	1.3 5/2
G. Engvall n 3	82.7	0.7 2/0
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KuPS Attacking

KuPS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists
B. Magassa	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90
C. Antwi	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90
B. Armah	1	8686 min	11 /90	00 /90

KuPS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	1.1 3/2	0.5 2/1
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.6 3/1	0.3 1/1
V. Gasc n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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KuPS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KuPS before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Antwi n 8	73.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Kreidl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Gasc n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Pennanen n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Armah n 7	67.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers Goalkeeper

Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ed McGinty	24	912179 min	471.9 /90	180.7 /90	00 /90

Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ed McGinty n 8	89.4	1.9 4/4

Shamrock Rovers Defensive

Shamrock Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tunmise Sobowale	21	841759 min	281.4 /90	170.9 /90	80.4 /90	763.9 /90	241.2 /90	40.2 /90
L. Grace	19	761448 min	372.3 /90	171.1 /90	130.8 /90	935.8 /90	80.5 /90	10.1 /90
Cory O'Sullivan	15	751132 min	211.7 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90	433.4 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
Pico	13	871135 min	191.5 /90	100.8 /90	50.4 /90	604.8 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90
Enda Stevens	11	89981 min	181.7 /90	111 /90	60.6 /90	524.8 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90
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Shamrock Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ed McGinty n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Jack Byrne n 8	66.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0	—
M. Healy n 8	80.8	1.1 5/2	1.4 6/4	V. Gasc
Michael Noonan n 8	51.6	0.4 2/0	0.9 1/1	—
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	84.1	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/1	P. Pennanen
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Shamrock Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jack Byrne n 8	66.1	1.2 3/3
M. Healy n 8	80.8	1.7 5/4
Michael Noonan n 8	51.6	0 0/0
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	84.1	2.4 7/6
L. Grace n 8	80	2.4 5/4
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Shamrock Rovers Attacking

Shamrock Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Michael Noonan	22	551217 min	50.4 /90	00 /90	231.7 /90	131 /90	40.3 /90	70.5 /90
Graham Burke	19	591120 min	50.4 /90	00 /90	292.3 /90	110.9 /90	141.1 /90	80.6 /90
Aaron Greene	19	47886 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	161.6 /90	70.7 /90	202 /90	50.5 /90
John McGovern	18	49879 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	151.5 /90	80.8 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90
Maleace Asamoah	6	41246 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	62.2 /90
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Shamrock Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ed McGinty n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jack Byrne n 8	66.1	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Healy n 8	80.8	0.8 6/0	0.6 4/0
Michael Noonan n 8	51.6	2 5/3	1.1 4/1
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	84.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Shamrock Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ed McGinty n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jack Byrne n 8	66.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
M. Healy n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Michael Noonan n 8	51.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
KuPS		Shamrock Rovers
61%	Possession	39%
4	Shots on target	2
3	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	0
3	Corners	2
2	Offsides	3
14	Fouls	10
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind KuPS v Shamrock Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KuPSLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Shamrock RoversDWWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

KuPS 0 · 1 draw · Shamrock Rovers 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-08-20 Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPS

League standing · 2026/27

KuPS#33 pos1 pts3 pl-4 GD

Shamrock Rovers#31 pos4 pts6 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

KuPS scored0.67

Shamrock Rovers scored1.17

KuPS conceded2

Shamrock Rovers conceded2.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for KuPS v Shamrock Rovers?: TACTIX’s free model pick for KuPS v Shamrock Rovers was Draw or Away (best price 1.80 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Shamrock Rovers?: In their last 1 meetings, KuPS won 0, Shamrock Rovers won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of KuPS and Shamrock Rovers?: Recent form — KuPS 0W 2D 3L; Shamrock Rovers 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.