Riga v Atalanta prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 10 Dec 2026 17:45 GMT · Skonto stadions

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Riga v Atalanta, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 10 Dec 2026 17:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Riga host Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 10 December (kick-off 17:45 UK).

The key numbers

Riga are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Atalanta are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Riga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Riga’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Riga have six wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 0.88.

Nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Atalanta have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.83.

Riga (19th) and Atalanta (16th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Riga the stronger side, 33 rating points above Atalanta (Riga 1651, Atalanta 1619, after at least five rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Riga XI (4-2-3-1): K. Piric, R. Jurkovskis, B. Musah, M. Toņiševs, K. Wassom, A. Ankrah, I. Augusto, R. Aouani, M. Diop, S. Oulad M'Hand, R. Ramires — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Iago Siqueira Augusto (5.2 per match over five appearances) and Ahmed Ankrah (4.9 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Riga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Riga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Iago Siqueira Augusto averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 448 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Ahmed Ankrah averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 529 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted Atalanta XI (4-2-3-1): M. Carnesecchi, R. ObriÄ, L. Bernasconi, D. Zappacosta, G. Scalvini, Éderson, E. Elmas, M. Pašalić, N. Zalewski, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Charles De Ketelaere (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Nikola Krstović (3.7 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Charles De Ketelaere averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 1806 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nikola Krstović averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 1104 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 10 Dec 2026 17:45 GMT · UEFA Europa Conference League · Skonto stadions
Recent form: Riga 1W 4D 0L · Atalanta 0W 3D 2L

Riga v Atalanta (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88

Goals

against 0.88 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.29 / 6.5

Corners

against 4.43 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.14 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 2.86 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.29 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Riga for / against	Line	Atalanta for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.29 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.43 for · 8 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.14 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.86 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Riga

Riga Goalkeeper

Riga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Piric	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90
F. Orols	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Riga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Piric n 3	90	2.7 3/2

Riga Defensive

Riga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Musah	6	88529 min	50.9 /90	101.7 /90	30.5 /90	264.4 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90
R. Jurkovskis	6	88529 min	20.3 /90	81.4 /90	10.2 /90	101.7 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
K. Wassom	4	90360 min	20.5 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	92.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
M. Toņiševs	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
Paulo	3	86259 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
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Riga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Musah n 8	88.6	1.4 7/3	1 6/2	—
A. Ankrah n 6	88.2	1 4/2	1.4 5/3	—
R. Jurkovskis n 8	76.3	0.7 4/1	0.7 3/2	—
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 5	89.6	1.2 4/2	2.4 4/2	—
R. Aouani n 5	80.6	1.8 4/2	0.7 1/1	—
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Riga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 6	88.2	3.1 5/5
B. Musah n 8	88.6	1.1 4/3
R. Jurkovskis n 8	76.3	0.3 1/1
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 5	89.6	3.2 5/4
R. Aouani n 5	80.6	1.1 2/2
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Riga Attacking

Riga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Reginaldo Ramires	5	62311 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	113.2 /90	51.4 /90	51.4 /90	41.2 /90
M. Badamosi	5	41206 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
A. Ankrah	6	88529 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Iago Siqueira Augusto	5	90448 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	81.6 /90	81.6 /90
R. Aouani	5	81403 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.6 /90	20.4 /90	132.9 /90	81.8 /90
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Riga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 6	88.2	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
R. Jurkovskis n 8	76.3	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
B. Musah n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 5	89.6	1.2 3/2	0.4 2/0
R. Aouani n 5	80.6	1.6 5/1	0.4 2/0
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Riga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 6	88.2	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
B. Musah n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Jurkovskis n 8	76.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 5	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Aouani n 5	80.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Carnesecchi	15	901350 min	583.9 /90	191.3 /90	10.1 /90

Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Bernasconi	12	66795 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90	202.3 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
G. Scalvini	11	82899 min	121.2 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	363.6 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
D. Zappacosta	11	69754 min	202.4 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	313.7 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
R. Bellanova	9	81726 min	60.7 /90	141.7 /90	30.4 /90	182.2 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Kolašinac	8	55442 min	51 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	112.2 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Éderson n 8	72.5	2.2 6/5	0.8 4/1	—
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.8 3/2	0.6 4/0	—
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	1.8 4/3	1.6 5/3	—
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0	—
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Éderson n 8	72.5	1.9 6/4
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.9 4/2
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	0.8 3/2
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	1.7 6/3
N. Zalewski n 8	54	2.3 5/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. De Ketelaere	14	68955 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90	343.2 /90	212 /90
N. Krstović	14	55767 min	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	333.9 /90	151.8 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90
Gianluca Scamacca	11	53585 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	91.4 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
G. Raspadori	6	56336 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	51.3 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90
Éderson	15	781177 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	120.9 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Éderson n 8	72.5	1.1 4/2	0.8 3/2
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	2.2 6/4	0.8 4/1
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	3.9 6/6	1.8 6/3
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Éderson n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Riga v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RigaDWDDD

Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

AtalantaLDDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Riga#19 pos3 pts3 pl0 GD

Atalanta#16 pos4 pts3 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Riga scored1

Atalanta scored1.33

Riga conceded1

Atalanta conceded1.33

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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