Riga v FK Jablonec prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Skonto stadions

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 12:17 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Riga v FK Jablonec, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.4% of 1690 landed (95% range 73.3–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Riga or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Riga are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Riga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Riga’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Riga have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 0.86.

Six of FK Jablonec’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of FK Jablonec’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, FK Jablonec have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63.

Riga (21st) and FK Jablonec (24th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Riga the stronger side, 63 rating points above FK Jablonec (Riga 1671, FK Jablonec 1609, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Riga XI (4-2-3-1): K. Piric, R. Jurkovskis, B. Musah, M. Toņiševs, K. Wassom, A. Ankrah, I. Augusto, R. Aouani, M. Diop, S. Oulad M'Hand, R. Ramires — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Iago Siqueira Augusto (5.3 per match over four appearances) and Ahmed Ankrah (4.5 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Riga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Riga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Iago Siqueira Augusto averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 358 minutes. Ahmed Ankrah averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 439 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.

Predicted FK Jablonec XI (4-2-3-1): J. Hanuš, M. Cedidla, D. Pavlović, N. Tekijaški, J. Sláma, V. Tchanturishvili, R. Sedláček, M. Polidar, N. Okeke, S. Nebyla, A. Růsek — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Vakhtang Tchanturishvili (3.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Jiří Sláma (3.5 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been FK Jablonec’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FK Jablonec (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Vakhtang Tchanturishvili averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 390 minutes. Jiří Sláma averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 671 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa Conference League · Skonto stadions
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Riga 1W 4D 0L · FK Jablonec 2W 1D 2L

Riga v FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.5 / 2.6

Corners

against 4.33 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

5.67 / 3.4

Shots on target

against 2.83 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.83 / 2.2

Cards

against 2.33 / 1.8 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Riga for / against	Line	FK Jablonec for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 4.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	2.6 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	12.33 for · 7.5 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	5 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	5.67 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	3.4 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.17 for · 11.67 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	10.8 for · 15.8 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	1.83 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.2 for · 1.8 against n 5 Last 5

Riga

Riga Goalkeeper

Riga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Orols	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
K. Piric	2	90180 min	63 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Riga Defensive

Riga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Musah	5	88439 min	51 /90	91.8 /90	30.6 /90	214.3 /90	51 /90	00 /90
R. Jurkovskis	5	88439 min	00 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
K. Wassom	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	82.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Paulo	3	86259 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
A. Salazar	3	86257 min	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Riga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Musah n 8	88.6	1.3 7/2	1.5 6/3	—
R. Jurkovskis n 8	71.4	1.1 5/2	0.8 3/2	—
A. Ankrah n 5	87.8	0.8 3/1	1.2 4/2	—
M. Badamosi n 5	41.2	0.9 1/1	0.9 1/1	—
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 4	89.5	1.3 3/2	2.8 3/2	—
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Riga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 5	87.8	2.5 4/4
B. Musah n 8	88.6	1.4 5/4
R. Jurkovskis n 8	71.4	0.3 1/1
M. Badamosi n 5	41.2	0 0/0
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 4	89.5	3.3 4/3
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Riga Attacking

Riga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Badamosi	5	41206 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
Reginaldo Ramires	4	58233 min	00 /90	00 /90	103.9 /90	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	41.5 /90
A. Ankrah	5	88439 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
Iago Siqueira Augusto	4	90358 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	71.8 /90	82 /90
R. Aouani	4	81325 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	133.6 /90	71.9 /90
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Riga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 5	87.8	0.8 2/1	0 0/0
B. Musah n 8	88.6	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
R. Jurkovskis n 8	71.4	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
M. Badamosi n 5	41.2	2.2 3/2	0.9 2/0
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 4	89.5	1 2/1	0.5 2/0
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Riga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Riga before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Ankrah n 5	87.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
B. Musah n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Jurkovskis n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Badamosi n 5	41.2	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Iago Siqueira Augusto n 4	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec Goalkeeper

FK Jablonec — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Hanuš	3	90270 min	144.7 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

FK Jablonec — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Jablonec before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Hanuš n 8	90	3.4 8/4

FK Jablonec Defensive

FK Jablonec — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Pavlović	3	90270 min	31 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	93 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
M. Cedidla	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	206.7 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
N. Tekijaški	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	00 /90	31 /90	206.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
J. Sláma	3	87261 min	72.4 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	144.8 /90	31 /90	00 /90
V. Tchanturishvili	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	134.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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FK Jablonec — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Jablonec before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Tekijaški n 3	90	1 1/1	2 3/3	—
D. Pavlović n 3	90	1 2/1	1 2/1	—
M. Cedidla n 3	90	0.3 1/0	1 3/0	—
J. Hanuš n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
V. Tchanturishvili n 3	90	0 0/0	2.3 3/2	—
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FK Jablonec — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Jablonec before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tekijaški n 3	90	2.3 3/3
M. Cedidla n 3	90	1.7 2/2
D. Pavlović n 3	90	1 3/0
V. Tchanturishvili n 3	90	0.7 1/1
J. Sláma n 3	87	2.4 3/2
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FK Jablonec Attacking

FK Jablonec — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Růsek	2	75150 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Jawo	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90
V. Tchanturishvili	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90
R. Sedláček	3	85255 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
M. Polidar	3	69208 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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FK Jablonec — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Jablonec before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cedidla n 3	90	1 2/1	0.7 1/1
V. Tchanturishvili n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0.3 1/0
D. Pavlović n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Hanuš n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tekijaški n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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FK Jablonec — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FK Jablonec before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hanuš n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tekijaški n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Tchanturishvili n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cedidla n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Pavlović n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Riga v FK Jablonec — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RigaDDWDD

Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

FK JablonecWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Riga#21 pos2 pts2 pl0 GD

FK Jablonec#24 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Riga scored1

FK Jablonec scored1

Riga conceded1

FK Jablonec conceded1.5

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Riga v FK Jablonec?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Riga v FK Jablonec is Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Riga and FK Jablonec?: Recent form — Riga 1W 4D 0L; FK Jablonec 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 12:17 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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