ShelbourneAjax

Shelbourne v Ajax result

Full-time · Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax

UEFA Europa Conference League · · Tolka Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shelbourne · Ajax

The model’s pre-match pick

Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax — this UEFA Europa Conference League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shelbourne and Ajax drew 2–2 at Tolka Park in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 13 August. Shelbourne are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Ajax are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Ajax: Julian Brandt (20’, assisted by Jorthy Mokio) and Anton Gaaei (39’); Shelbourne: Rodrigo Freitas (24’, assisted by Evan Caffrey) and Sean Moore (85’, assisted by Evan Caffrey).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sean Moore’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Shelbourne 0.00, Ajax 0.00, from 12 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Pereira showed six yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Shelbourne: Rodrigo Freitas (27’), Jonathan Lunney (70’), James Roche (74’) and Sean Gannon (90+2’); Ajax: Aaron Bouwman (23’) and Marcos Leonardo (25’).

What it changes

Shelbourne have scored nine goals, the 20th-most (shared) of the 135 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Shelbourne have conceded nine goals, the 30th-most (shared) of the 135 clubs.

Ajax have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 135 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Ajax have conceded five goals, the 51st-fewest (shared) of the 135 clubs.

Ajax have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Anton Gaaei (Ajax) 8.3, Evan Caffrey (Shelbourne) 7.0 and Kerr McInroy (Shelbourne) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Shelbourne or Ajax (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Ajax next host ADO Den Haag on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Ajax v ADO Den Haag, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Venue: Tolka Park · Dublin
  • Referee: C. Pereira
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Shelbourne 0 · draws 0 · Ajax 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shelbourne 1W 0D 4L · Ajax 4W 1D 0L

Shelbourne 2–2 Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5 / 8
Corners
against 6.17 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3 / 7.86
Shots on target
against 4.83 / 3.43 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
3.17 / 1.29
Cards
against 1.67 / 2.14 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameShelbourne for / againstLineAjax for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5our book
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.17 against n 6
9.5standard
8 for · 3.14 against n 7
Shots
11 for · 14.17 against n 6
19.5standard
21.86 for · 8.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3 for · 4.83 against n 6
8.5standard
7.86 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
10 for · 10.5 against n 6
21.5standard
9.57 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
3.17 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: C. Pereira.

Shelbourne

Shelbourne Goalkeeper

Shelbourne — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Wessel Speel22901986 min532.4 /90281.3 /9000 /90
Eddie Beach391274 min134.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90
Shelbourne — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shelbourne before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Wessel Speel n 887.8
1.74/1

Shelbourne Defensive

Shelbourne — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Ledwidge24882122 min321.4 /90261.1 /90120.5 /90923.9 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
Sam Bone18791423 min301.9 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90855.4 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
Paddy Barrett17831412 min140.9 /90161 /9020.1 /90744.7 /90161 /9050.3 /90
Sean Gannon1364828 min192.1 /90192.1 /9040.4 /90313.4 /90101.1 /9050.5 /90
M. Mbeng1273872 min90.9 /9030.3 /9000 /90383.9 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
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Shelbourne — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shelbourne before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Ledwidge n 881.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Bouwman
Wessel Speel n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Wood n 887.4
15/2
1.36/2
—
D. Kelly n 872.5
0.64/0
1.24/3
—
E. Caffrey n 882
1.16/2
15/2
Y. Regeer
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Shelbourne — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shelbourne before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Ledwidge n 881.5
1.26/2
H. Wood n 887.4
1.26/3
D. Kelly n 872.5
1.15/2
E. Caffrey n 882
1.56/3
Jack Henry-Francis n 855.4
3.35/5
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Shelbourne Attacking

Shelbourne — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Rodrigo Freitas1742706 min00 /9010.1 /90121.5 /9060.8 /9091.1 /9070.9 /90
W. Jarvis1647752 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90121.4 /90151.8 /90
J. Martin1566987 min50.5 /9020.2 /90262.4 /90100.9 /9080.7 /9050.5 /90
S. Boyd742294 min20.6 /9000 /9072.1 /9020.6 /9000 /9020.6 /90
M. Odubeko551256 min10.4 /9010.4 /9072.5 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
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Shelbourne — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shelbourne before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Ledwidge n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
Wessel Speel n 887.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Wood n 887.4
1.76/3
0.84/2
D. Kelly n 872.5
1.15/2
0.53/0
E. Caffrey n 882
14/1
0.43/0
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Shelbourne — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shelbourne before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Ledwidge n 881.5
00/0
00/0
Wessel Speel n 887.8
00/0
00/0
H. Wood n 887.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
D. Kelly n 872.5
0.32/0
00/0
E. Caffrey n 882
0.11/0
00/0
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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Paes392277 min61.9 /9031 /9000 /90
M. ter Stegen19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Paes n 890.9
2.25/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bouwman492367 min20.5 /9071.7 /9000 /90143.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90
D. Blind392277 min51.6 /9061.9 /9010.3 /90144.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Lucas Rosa391273 min82.6 /9031 /9010.3 /90175.6 /9031 /9000 /90
O. Wijndal373220 min52 /9031.2 /9000 /90135.3 /9083.3 /9000 /90
Caio Henrique349147 min53.1 /9021.2 /9000 /9074.3 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.95/2
0.11/0
K. Ledwidge
Y. Regeer n 866.4
1.56/2
1.45/3
E. Caffrey
Mika Godts n 880.4
0.43/0
2.47/5
—
S. Berghuis n 870.3
0.64/0
1.45/3
—
D. Klaassen n 869
1.35/2
0.73/1
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.75/1
Y. Regeer n 866.4
1.55/2
Mika Godts n 880.4
0.43/0
S. Berghuis n 870.3
1.46/3
D. Klaassen n 869
1.87/3
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts472288 min10.3 /9030.9 /90113.4 /9051.6 /90144.4 /90134.1 /90
S. Berghuis470278 min10.3 /9031 /90113.6 /9051.6 /9082.6 /9010.3 /90
K. Dolberg465261 min10.3 /9000 /90113.8 /9072.4 /9031 /9000 /90
Marcos Leonardo33295 min00 /9000 /9043.8 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
O. Edvardsen23060 min00 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9046 /9000 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.43/0
0.22/0
Y. Regeer n 866.4
0.73/1
0.32/0
Mika Godts n 880.4
2.47/5
15/1
S. Berghuis n 870.3
2.47/4
0.84/1
D. Klaassen n 869
1.15/2
0.73/1
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Y. Regeer n 866.4
00/0
0.21/0
Mika Godts n 880.4
0.32/0
0.75/0
S. Berghuis n 870.3
0.21/0
0.52/1
D. Klaassen n 869
0.53/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ShelbourneAjax
28%Possession72%
12Shots19
5Shots on target7
5Shots off target6
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box9
4Corners11
6Offsides0
10Fouls12
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves3
264Passes695
80%Pass accuracy92%

Shelbourne Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Eddie Beach9000000005.9
O. Casey9000102307.2
K. Ledwidge9000000206.9
E. Caffrey9002202006.9
Kerr McInroy9000423407.2
D. Kelly9000001006.5
M. Mbeng8100110106.5
James Barry Norris8100000106.5
J. Lunney72000000Y6.3
Rodrigo Freitas72101111Y7.3
Sam Bone6000000106.5
Sean Gannon sub30000002Y6.9
James Roche sub18000001Y6.7
Daniel Ring sub1800000106.5
S. Moore sub910110107.6
W. Jarvis sub900000006.9

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Paes9000000007.2
A. Gaaei9010213308.3
A. Bouwman90000005Y6.9
Y. Regeer9000110607.9
J. Mokio9001102106.7
O. Edvardsen9000000306.6
M. Carrizo7000202006.3
O. Wijndal6900221006.2
J. Brandt5710113106.9
Marcos Leonardo57000010Y6.2
D. Blind4500000006.6
Y. Baas sub4500001006.6
A. Ouazane sub3300210006.5
T. Arokodare sub3300212005.9
Caio Henrique sub2100001106.5
D. Janse sub2000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shelbourne v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ShelbourneWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
AjaxDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Shelbourne 0 · 0 draws · Ajax 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-08-06 Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne
League standing · 2026/27
ShelbourneNot in this league table
Ajax#11 pos6 pts3 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Shelbourne scored1.6
Ajax scored3
Shelbourne conceded2
Ajax conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Shelbourne v Ajax?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shelbourne v Ajax was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Shelbourne and Ajax?
In their last 1 meetings, Shelbourne won 0, Ajax won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shelbourne and Ajax?
Recent form — Shelbourne 1W 0D 4L; Ajax 4W 1D 0L.

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