StrasbourgFSV Mainz 05

Strasbourg v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05

UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Strasbourg · FSV Mainz 05

The model’s pre-match pick

Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 — Strasbourg won this UEFA Europa Conference League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Strasbourg beat FSV Mainz 05 4–0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 April.

The goals

Strasbourg led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Strasbourg: Sebastian Nanasi (26’), Abdoul Ouattara (35’, assisted by J. Enciso), J. Enciso (69’, assisted by M. Godo) and Emanuel Emegha (74’, assisted by J. Enciso). Nadiem Amiri (90+6’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sebastian Nanasi’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Strasbourg 2.89, FSV Mainz 05 0.24, from 10 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Pinheiro showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Strasbourg: Valentín Barco (36’), Sebastian Nanasi (45’), Samir El Mourabet (49’), Diego Moreira (90+4’) and M. Godo (90+6’); FSV Mainz 05: Robin Zentner (-5’), Dominik Kohr (19’), Nikolas Veratschnig (90+3’) and A. Sieb (90+3’).

What it changes

Strasbourg have scored 21 goals, the 20th-most of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Strasbourg have conceded 12 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 have scored 16 goals, the 40th-most (shared) of the 90 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 90 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Enciso (Strasbourg) 10.8, Valentín Barco (Strasbourg) 7.7 and Daniel Batz (FSV Mainz 05) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Strasbourg or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Strasbourg next host Stade Brestois 29 on 21 November 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Strasbourg: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 · UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Referee: J. Pinheiro
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Strasbourg 0 · draws 0 · FSV Mainz 05 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 2W 2D 1L · FSV Mainz 05 4W 0D 1L

Strasbourg 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 (UEFA Europa Conference League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: J. Pinheiro.

Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Penders42893739 min1222.9 /90461.1 /9010 /90
K. Johnsson270140 min21.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Penders n 890
3.67/4

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Doukouré34822789 min331.1 /90301 /90200.6 /901113.6 /90260.8 /9060.2 /90
G. Doué30822459 min542 /90341.2 /9080.3 /901646 /90542 /9070.3 /90
L. Høgsberg30812418 min301.1 /90200.7 /90220.8 /90792.9 /90261 /9030.1 /90
B. Chilwell30782325 min371.4 /90301.2 /90100.4 /90963.7 /90230.9 /9030.1 /90
A. Omobamidele26721869 min110.5 /90241.2 /90140.7 /90602.9 /90180.9 /9060.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Penders n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
V. Barco n 874
0.84/1
2.37/3
P. Nebel
J. Panichelli n 874.1
1.76/4
2.35/5
—
S. El Mourabet n 874.6
1.57/3
0.95/1
K. Sano
I. Doukouré n 884.4
0.93/3
0.54/0
D. Kohr
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Barco n 874
2.15/3
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.63/1
S. El Mourabet n 874.6
2.37/5
I. Doukouré n 884.4
1.26/3
Diego Moreira n 878.4
2.25/3
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Panichelli39752938 min200.6 /9040.1 /90822.5 /90471.4 /90351.1 /90170.5 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw24511229 min10.1 /9040.3 /90141 /9050.4 /90161.2 /90352.6 /90
E. Emegha1258691 min70.9 /9020.3 /90212.7 /90131.7 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90
D. Bakwa534169 min10.5 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9073.7 /90105.3 /90
D. Fofana436144 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874
1.16/1
0.63/1
J. Panichelli n 874.1
2.66/4
1.76/4
S. El Mourabet n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
I. Doukouré n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874
0.21/0
00/0
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.95/1
00/0
S. El Mourabet n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
I. Doukouré n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Batz22901980 min723.3 /90221 /9000 /90
R. Zentner17851441 min503.1 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
L. Rieß571357 min153.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Batz n 890
2.36/3
R. Zentner n 881.8
3.26/5

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. da Costa37883249 min581.6 /90361 /90180.5 /901574.3 /90260.7 /9030.1 /90
D. Kohr36843030 min722.1 /90591.8 /90190.6 /901745.2 /90561.7 /90130.4 /90
S. Bell22631392 min161 /90241.6 /90130.8 /901056.8 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90
A. Hanche-Olsen21671403 min151 /90261.7 /90151 /90946 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
N. Veratschnig1942804 min202.2 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90485.4 /90171.9 /9040.4 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
0.32/0
0.95/2
S. El Mourabet
D. da Costa n 888.6
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
D. Kohr n 883.4
1.66/4
1.36/3
I. Doukouré
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.74/1
0.63/1
—
P. Nebel n 887
1.66/4
1.27/2
V. Barco
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
2.57/6
D. da Costa n 888.6
25/4
D. Kohr n 883.4
27/5
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
1.46/3
P. Nebel n 887
2.37/5
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sieb2237822 min20.2 /9000 /90202.2 /9080.9 /90101.1 /9091 /90
B. Hollerbach19611163 min20.2 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90171.3 /90
N. Weiper19541027 min20.2 /9000 /90272.4 /90151.3 /9090.8 /9050.4 /90
P. Tietz17851451 min30.2 /9010.1 /90352.2 /90201.2 /90161 /90100.6 /90
A. Nordin1453742 min00 /9000 /90141.7 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.95/1
0.43/0
D. da Costa n 888.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
D. Kohr n 883.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.94/1
0.43/0
P. Nebel n 887
0.85/1
0.42/1
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. da Costa n 888.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
D. Kohr n 883.4
00/0
00/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 877.8
0.32/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 887
0.42/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StrasbourgFSV Mainz 05
60%Possession40%
2.89Expected goals (xG)0.24
10Shots7
7Shots on target1
2Shots off target3
1Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box4
5Corners4
1Offsides1
11Fouls12
5Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Saves3
463Passes301
86%Pass accuracy76%

Strasbourg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Penders9000000007.3
A. Omobamidele9000000107.3
I. Doukouré9000000206.9
V. Barco90000004Y8.5
S. El Mourabet90000002Y7
Diego Moreira90001102Y6.3
M. Godo90010032Y7.6
J. Enciso8812222109.3
A. Ouattara7910310007.7
B. Chilwell7800000007
Sebastian Nanasi58101100Y7.3
E. Emegha sub3210220106.2
L. Høgsberg sub1200000006.9
Gessime Yassine sub1100000006.3
M. Oyedele sub800000006.7

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Batz9000000006.6
D. da Costa9000000105.5
S. Posch9000301106.2
K. Sano9000000106.7
P. Nebel9000002106.2
P. Tietz9000000206.7
D. Kohr82000011Y5.5
P. Mwene8200000406
S. Widmer7200000206.7
S. Kawasaki7200000006.2
N. Weiper4500001006.7
N. Amiri sub51001101R6.3
A. Caci sub1800000106.3
A. Sieb sub18000010Y6.2
N. Veratschnig sub8000000Y6.7
W. Bøving sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05WWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Strasbourg 0 · 0 draws · FSV Mainz 05 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-09 FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Strasbourg
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Strasbourg#1 pos16 pts6 pl+6 GD
FSV Mainz 05#7 pos13 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.83
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.17
Strasbourg conceded0.83
FSV Mainz 05 conceded0.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Strasbourg v FSV Mainz 05?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v FSV Mainz 05 was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 1 meetings, Strasbourg won 0, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — Strasbourg 2W 2D 1L; FSV Mainz 05 4W 0D 1L.

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