Twente v Kairat Almaty prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · De Grolsch Veste

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Twente v Kairat Almaty, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Twente host Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 17 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

Twente have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Twente have won their last four matches in all competitions. Kairat Almaty are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Twente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Twente’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Twente have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 0.88.

Seven of Kairat Almaty’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Kairat Almaty’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Kairat Almaty have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63.

Twente (third) and Kairat Almaty (27th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Twente the stronger side, 380 rating points above Kairat Almaty (Twente 1849, Kairat Almaty 1469, after at least 13 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Twente XI (4-1-4-1): J. Drommel, A. Adelgaard, R. Pröpper, R. Nijstad, B. van Rooij, R. Zerrouki, Y. Taha, D. Weidmann, D. Rots, S. Ørjasæter, W. Weghorst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daouda Weidmann (6.2 per match over 16 appearances, six goals and six assists) and Sondre Ørjasæter (5.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and 11 assists) have been Twente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Twente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daouda Weidmann averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1219 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Sondre Ørjasæter averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1247 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Kairat Almaty XI (4-2-3-1): T. Anarbekov, L. Mata, A. Martynovich, A. Shirobokov, E. Tapalov, J. Oksanen, G. Mendonça, O. Jukkola, A. Tuyakbaev, A. Mrynskiy, Edmilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marc Gual (3.6 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Temirlan Anarbekov (3.0 per match over five appearances) have been Kairat Almaty’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kairat Almaty (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marc Gual averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 432 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. Temirlan Anarbekov averages 2.7 saves per 90 over 660 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 17 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa Conference League · De Grolsch Veste
Recent form: Twente 4W 0D 1L · Kairat Almaty 0W 2D 3L

Twente v Kairat Almaty (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3 / 0.5

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7 / 3.57

Corners

against 2.5 / 5.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

7.75 / 2.86

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.57 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.13 / 2.57

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Twente for / against	Line	Kairat Almaty for / against
Goals scored	3 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.57 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	22.25 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	7.71 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	7.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.86 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.83 for · 13.67 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Twente

Twente Goalkeeper

Twente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Drommel	9	90810 min	232.6 /90	91 /90	00 /90
L. Unnerstall	9	90810 min	232.6 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90

Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Unnerstall n 8	90	2.9 8/4
J. Drommel n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Twente Defensive

Twente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. van Rooij	18	841505 min	352.1 /90	181.1 /90	40.2 /90	623.7 /90	191.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Pröpper	17	791347 min	201.3 /90	130.9 /90	70.5 /90	765.1 /90	181.2 /90	30.2 /90
R. Nijstad	16	871395 min	181.2 /90	110.7 /90	70.5 /90	392.5 /90	80.5 /90	20.1 /90
A. Adelgaard	14	861200 min	322.4 /90	211.6 /90	20.2 /90	675 /90	231.7 /90	20.2 /90
M. Bruns	8	79630 min	101.4 /90	60.9 /90	71 /90	304.3 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
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Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Zerrouki n 8	88.4	1.5 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
B. van Rooij n 8	82.3	1.1 5/2	0.7 5/0	—
W. Weghorst n 8	84.5	1.3 6/3	1.6 6/3	—
R. Pröpper n 8	81.9	1.1 6/2	1 6/1	—
D. Rots n 8	71.4	1.4 5/1	1.3 4/3	—
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Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 8	88.4	2.4 6/4
B. van Rooij n 8	82.3	2.1 6/4
W. Weghorst n 8	84.5	0.7 5/0
R. Pröpper n 8	81.9	1.8 8/3
D. Rots n 8	71.4	0.9 4/1
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Twente Attacking

Twente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Weghorst	17	831419 min	90.6 /90	40.3 /90	462.9 /90	271.7 /90	291.8 /90	60.4 /90
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink	5	34172 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90
F. Thorvaldsen	5	33167 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.8 /90	42.2 /90	42.2 /90	52.7 /90
Filip Thorvaldsen	1	3030 min	00 /90	00 /90	13 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13 /90
S. Lammers	1	2929 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.1 /90	00 /90	26.2 /90	00 /90
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Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 8	88.4	1.4 5/4	0.5 3/1
B. van Rooij n 8	82.3	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
W. Weghorst n 8	84.5	3.3 8/8	1.7 7/4
R. Pröpper n 8	81.9	1.2 5/3	0.5 3/1
D. Rots n 8	71.4	2 7/3	0.9 3/3
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Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Zerrouki n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. van Rooij n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
W. Weghorst n 8	84.5	0.8 3/1	0.3 2/0
R. Pröpper n 8	81.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Rots n 8	71.4	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
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Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty Goalkeeper

Kairat Almaty — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Anarbekov	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90

Kairat Almaty — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Anarbekov n 8	90	4.8 6/5

Kairat Almaty Defensive

Kairat Almaty — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luís Mata	4	84335 min	30.8 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Shirobokov	4	82328 min	30.8 /90	92.5 /90	20.5 /90	113 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
Aleksandr Martynovich	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	93 /90	10.3 /90	186 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90
E. Tapalov	3	66197 min	62.7 /90	52.3 /90	20.9 /90	104.6 /90	62.7 /90	20.9 /90
Damir Kasabulat	3	57171 min	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63.2 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Kairat Almaty — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Anarbekov n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Mrynskiy n 8	88.6	1 7/1	1.4 5/4	—
Gustavo Mendonça n 4	85.3	0.8 3/0	1.1 1/1	—
J. Oksanen n 4	83.8	1.1 2/2	0.8 2/1	—
Luís Mata n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
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Kairat Almaty — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Mrynskiy n 8	88.6	2.4 7/5
Gustavo Mendonça n 4	85.3	2.6 3/2
J. Oksanen n 4	83.8	2.4 3/2
Luís Mata n 8	84.4	1.9 6/4
A. Shirobokov n 8	86	1.2 5/3
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Kairat Almaty Attacking

Kairat Almaty — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Marc Gual	4	78312 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	113.2 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	41.2 /90
Edmilson	4	52207 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	73 /90	00 /90
Ismail Bekbolat	4	29114 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
A. Mrynskiy	4	87349 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
Gustavo Mendonça	4	85341 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Kairat Almaty — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Anarbekov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mrynskiy n 8	88.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Gustavo Mendonça n 4	85.3	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
J. Oksanen n 4	83.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Luís Mata n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Kairat Almaty — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Anarbekov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mrynskiy n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Gustavo Mendonça n 4	85.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luís Mata n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Oksanen n 4	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Twente v Kairat Almaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TwenteLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Kairat AlmatyLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Twente#3 pos9 pts3 pl+6 GD

Kairat Almaty#27 pos2 pts3 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Twente scored2.67

Kairat Almaty scored1

Twente conceded0.67

Kairat Almaty conceded2.33

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