AC Milan v Sunderland prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 10 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Sunderland, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 10 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AC Milan host Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 10 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AC Milan have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.63.

Five of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sunderland have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.14.

AC Milan (28th) and Sunderland (11th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, M. Gila, Y. Musah, A. Jashari, A. Rabiot, L. Modrić, O. Hutchinson, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and A. Rabiot (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Moreira averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 828 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Rabiot averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sunderland XI (4-2-3-1): R. Roefs, O. Alderete, Reinildo, K. Danso, T. Hume, G. Xhaka, N. Angulo, N. Sadiki, C. Rigg, E. Le Fée, B. Brobbey — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jocelin Ta Bi (4.3 per match over three appearances, two assists) and Enzo Le Fée (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Sunderland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sunderland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Enzo Le Fée averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 972 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 10 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa League
Recent form: AC Milan 2W 0D 3L · Sunderland 1W 2D 2L

AC Milan v Sunderland (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4.63

Corners

against 4.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AC Milan for / against	Line	Sunderland for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Maignan	13	851107 min	393.2 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
L. Torriani	2	74148 min	74.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	3.7 8/5
L. Torriani n 3	62.3	4.8 2/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. De Winter	14	891240 min	231.7 /90	191.4 /90	60.4 /90	594.3 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
S. Pavlović	13	891161 min	292.2 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	866.7 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
Mario Gila	10	78784 min	131.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	364.1 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. Bocoum	5	55275 min	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	175.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
F. Tomori	4	63251 min	93.2 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.5 7/4	0.9 4/2	—
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/3	—
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.5 5/2	1.8 6/3	—
Y. Musah n 8	71	1.1 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.8 7/4
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	2 8/6
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.5 3/1
Y. Musah n 8	71	1.4 4/4
A. Rabiot n 8	71.6	2 7/3
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos	13	851100 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	282.3 /90	110.9 /90	80.7 /90	50.4 /90
A. Cissè	9	64574 min	71.1 /90	00 /90	142.2 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers	5	44218 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	20.8 /90
F. Camarda	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
Y. Musah	12	74883 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	40.4 /90	50.5 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.9 5/5	1 4/2
Y. Musah n 8	71	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Musah n 8	71	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Roefs	13	901170 min	241.8 /90	141.1 /90	00 /90
M. Ellborg	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 8	90	2.1 4/3
M. Ellborg n 6	90	2.5 4/4

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Hume	12	69828 min	222.4 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	535.8 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90
Reinildo	11	79868 min	131.3 /90	131.3 /90	40.4 /90	535.5 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
T. Meunier	11	52572 min	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90	182.8 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
N. Mukiele	10	78776 min	212.4 /90	202.3 /90	80.9 /90	556.4 /90	111.3 /90	30.3 /90
K. Danso	9	81731 min	70.9 /90	81 /90	60.7 /90	273.3 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0.7 4/1	1.6 6/3	—
N. Sadiki n 8	71.8	1.1 7/0	1.6 6/4	—
E. Le Fée n 8	66.6	1 4/2	2.2 7/3	—
T. Hume n 8	67.8	1.3 5/3	1 5/1	—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1.6 6/4
N. Sadiki n 8	71.8	1.4 5/4
E. Le Fée n 8	66.6	1 4/1
T. Hume n 8	67.8	1.2 5/1
N. Angulo n 8	62.9	2.1 6/3
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Isidor	10	45450 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	142.8 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90
B. Brobbey	9	67605 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	142.1 /90	81.2 /90	60.9 /90	30.4 /90
Timur Tuterov	5	64319 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
C. Talbi	4	58230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
G. Xhaka	13	831085 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	292.4 /90	80.7 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1 4/2	0.6 3/1
N. Sadiki n 8	71.8	0.8 3/1	0.2 1/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.6	1.4 5/3	0.5 3/0
T. Hume n 8	67.8	1.2 4/1	0.2 1/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Sadiki n 8	71.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Hume n 8	67.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AC MilanLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

SunderlandDDWLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

AC Milan#28 pos3 pts4 pl-3 GD

Sunderland#11 pos7 pts4 pl0 GD

Goals per game

AC Milan scored1

Sunderland scored1

AC Milan conceded1.75

Sunderland conceded1

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