Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty result

Full-time · Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 27 Aug 2026 19:30 BST · Lotto Park

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty — Anderlecht won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.42 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Anderlecht beat Kairat Almaty 3–0 at Lotto Park in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 27 August. Kairat Almaty have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Anderlecht led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Anderlecht: Mihajlo Cvetković (45’ pen), Danylo Sikan (53’, assisted by Marco Kana) and Giulian Biancone (71’, assisted by Marten Winkler).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mihajlo Cvetković’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Anderlecht 0.00, Kairat Almaty 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Espen Eskas, Norway showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Anderlecht: Danylo Sikan (50’) and N. Kalonji Kafumpata (87’); Kairat Almaty: Damir Kasabulat (18’), Jaakko Oksanen (21’), Oiva Jukkola (35’) and Lev Kurgin (86’).

What it changes

Anderlecht have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 52 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Anderlecht have conceded four goals, the 10th-fewest of the 52 clubs.

Kairat Almaty have scored no goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 52 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Kairat Almaty have conceded six goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 52 clubs.

Kairat Almaty have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Anderlecht to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Anderlecht next travel to Club Brugge KV on 8 November 2026.

Kairat Almaty next host Mjallby AIF on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Anderlecht: Club Brugge KV v Anderlecht, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Kairat Almaty: Kairat Almaty v Mjallby AIF, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty · UEFA Europa League
Venue: Lotto Park · Brussels
Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Anderlecht 1 · draws 0 · Kairat Almaty 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Anderlecht 4W 0D 1L · Kairat Almaty 1W 0D 4L

Anderlecht 3–0 Kairat Almaty (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3

Corners

against 2.63 / 7.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 4 matches

4.63 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.75 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 4 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Anderlecht for / against	Line	Kairat Almaty for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	6.25 for · 11.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 5.25 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.33 for · 15 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.5 against n 4 Last 5

Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway.

Anderlecht

Anderlecht Goalkeeper

Anderlecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Coosemans	2	90180 min	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Anderlecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Coosemans n 8	90	2.4 4/2

Anderlecht Defensive

Anderlecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Maamar	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	136.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
G. Biancone	2	90180 min	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	178.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
L. Pétrot	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90	168 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
L. Augustinsson	2	65129 min	10.7 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
M. N'Diaye	2	2651 min	610.6 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	915.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Anderlecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Maamar n 8	80	1.3 7/2	1.3 6/2	Luís Mata
C. Coosemans n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Degreef n 8	88.1	1.5 7/5	1 5/2	—
N. Saliba n 8	78	1.4 6/4	0.9 4/2	—
L. Augustinsson n 8	74.4	0.8 3/1	0.3 2/0	Damir Kasabulat
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Anderlecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Maamar n 8	80	2.5 7/6
T. Degreef n 8	88.1	2 7/3
N. Saliba n 8	78	2.6 7/5
L. Augustinsson n 8	74.4	1.7 4/3
Danylo Sikan n 8	57.5	1.2 4/2
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Anderlecht Attacking

Anderlecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lukas Ambros	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	94.5 /90	73.5 /90
Danylo Sikan	2	61122 min	00 /90	00 /90	53.7 /90	21.5 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Mihajlo Cvetković	2	55110 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
O. Antman	1	7979 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	22.3 /90
T. Degreef	2	83165 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63.3 /90	10.5 /90
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Anderlecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Maamar n 8	80	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0
C. Coosemans n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Degreef n 8	88.1	1 4/3	0.5 3/1
N. Saliba n 8	78	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
L. Augustinsson n 8	74.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Anderlecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Anderlecht before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Maamar n 8	80	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
C. Coosemans n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Degreef n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Saliba n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Augustinsson n 8	74.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty Goalkeeper

Kairat Almaty — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Anarbekov	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Kairat Almaty — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Anarbekov n 8	80.8	5 6/5

Kairat Almaty Defensive

Kairat Almaty — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Shirobokov	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90	11 /90	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Lucas Africo	1	9090 min	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90	55 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Luís Mata	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Damir Kasabulat	1	6464 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90
A. Mrynskiy	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	55 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Kairat Almaty — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Luís Mata n 8	86.3	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	A. Maamar
A. Mrynskiy n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1 5/3	—
A. Shirobokov n 5	90	0.2 1/0	1 3/2	—
T. Anarbekov n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Damir Kasabulat n 7	69	0.6 3/0	0.7 3/1	L. Augustinsson
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Kairat Almaty — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luís Mata n 8	86.3	2.5 7/5
A. Mrynskiy n 8	90	1.8 6/4
A. Shirobokov n 5	90	1.4 4/2
Damir Kasabulat n 7	69	1.3 6/1
O. Baybek n 5	39.6	5 5/3
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Kairat Almaty Attacking

Kairat Almaty — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Marc Gual	1	8484 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.2 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11.1 /90
Edmilson	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	310.4 /90	00 /90
A. Mrynskiy	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90
Gustavo Mendonça	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
J. Oksanen	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	00 /90
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Kairat Almaty — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Mrynskiy n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Luís Mata n 8	86.3	0.4 1/1	0.3 1/1
A. Shirobokov n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Anarbekov n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Damir Kasabulat n 7	69	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Kairat Almaty — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kairat Almaty before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Shirobokov n 5	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. Mrynskiy n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Luís Mata n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Anarbekov n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Damir Kasabulat n 7	69	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Anderlecht		Kairat Almaty
58%	Possession	42%
8	Shots on target	3
5	Shots off target	0
2	Blocked shots	3
7	Corners	3
1	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AnderlechtWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Kairat AlmatyLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Anderlecht 1 · 0 draws · Kairat Almaty 0 · 3 goals/game

2026-08-20 Kairat Almaty 0–3 Anderlecht

League standing · 2026/27

Anderlecht#15 pos6 pts4 pl+3 GD

Kairat AlmatyNot in this league table

Goals per game

Anderlecht scored1.5

Kairat Almaty scored0.2

Anderlecht conceded0.75

Kairat Almaty conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Anderlecht v Kairat Almaty was Home win (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty?: In their last 1 meetings, Anderlecht won 1, Kairat Almaty won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty?: Recent form — Anderlecht 4W 0D 1L; Kairat Almaty 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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