Ararat-Armenia v Celje prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 21 Jan 2027 17:45 GMT · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Ararat-Armenia v Celje, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 21 Jan 2027 17:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ararat-Armenia host Celje in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 21 January (kick-off 17:45 UK).

The key numbers

Ararat-Armenia have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Ararat-Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Ararat-Armenia’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Ararat-Armenia have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57.

Nine of Celje’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Celje’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Celje have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.71.

Ararat-Armenia (36th) and Celje (25th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celje the stronger side, 150 rating points above Ararat-Armenia (Celje 1486, Ararat-Armenia 1337, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 August 2026, finished Celje 2–0 Ararat-Armenia.

Team news

Predicted Ararat-Armenia XI (4-3-3): J. Victor, B. Wilson, A. Malis, E. Grigoryan, H. Oliveira, J. A. Balanta, K. Muradyan, A. Serobyan, S. Lima, F. Carlos, Z. Banjaqui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Maxence Carlier (4.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Artur Serobyan (4.5 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Ararat-Armenia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ararat-Armenia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Artur Serobyan averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 620 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Celje XI (4-3-3): Ž. Leban, A. Tutyškinas, M. Avdyli, P. Širvys, Ł. Bejger, M. Zabukovnik, S. Sešlar, M. Kvesić, A. Kučys, B. Kramer, V. Tusha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Svit Sešlar (6.4 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) and Milot Avdyli (5.1 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Celje’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celje (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svit Sešlar averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 570 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Milot Avdyli averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 657 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 21 Jan 2027 17:45 GMT · UEFA Europa League · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Head-to-head (last 3): Ararat-Armenia 2 · draws 0 · Celje 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Ararat-Armenia 1W 0D 4L · Celje 1W 1D 3L

Ararat-Armenia v Celje (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.57 / 3.5

Corners

against 7.43 / 6.67 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.57 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 7 / 5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.71 / 2.5

Cards

against 3 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Ararat-Armenia for / against	Line	Celje for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.57 for · 7.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 6.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	8.71 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	7 for · 15.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 7 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.86 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 12.67 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia Goalkeeper

Ararat-Armenia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
João Victor	5	85425 min	102.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Ararat-Armenia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
João Victor n 5	85	2.1 3/2

Ararat-Armenia Defensive

Ararat-Armenia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bruno Wilson	5	88439 min	51 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	173.5 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
Hugo Oliveira	5	83416 min	51.1 /90	112.4 /90	10.2 /90	204.3 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
E. Grigoryan	5	78389 min	61.4 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90	102.3 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
A. Malis	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	124 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
Junior Julio	1	9090 min	22 /90	22 /90	00 /90	55 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Ararat-Armenia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Bruno Wilson n 5	87.8	1 4/1	0.8 4/0	—
João Victor n 5	85	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0	—
Hugo Oliveira n 5	83.2	0.4 2/0	1.9 4/3	—
Sandro Lima n 5	79.6	0.9 3/1	1.8 4/2	—
E. Grigoryan n 5	77.8	0.9 3/1	0.7 1/1	—
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Ararat-Armenia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 5	87.8	1 3/2
Hugo Oliveira n 5	83.2	1.1 4/1
Sandro Lima n 5	79.6	0.2 1/0
E. Grigoryan n 5	77.8	1.4 3/3
A. Serobyan n 5	75.6	1.4 2/2
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Ararat-Armenia Attacking

Ararat-Armenia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sandro Lima	5	80398 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	51.1 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
Franca Carlos	4	2289 min	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
A. Serobyan	5	76378 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	133.1 /90	41 /90	71.7 /90	71.7 /90
Karen Muradyan	5	63314 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
Z. Shaghoyan	5	61303 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	92.7 /90	51.5 /90
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Ararat-Armenia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 5	87.8	0.8 4/0	0.4 2/0
João Victor n 5	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hugo Oliveira n 5	83.2	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
Sandro Lima n 5	79.6	1.1 3/2	0.5 1/1
E. Grigoryan n 5	77.8	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Ararat-Armenia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ararat-Armenia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bruno Wilson n 5	87.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
João Victor n 5	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hugo Oliveira n 5	83.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sandro Lima n 5	79.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
E. Grigoryan n 5	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Celje

Celje Goalkeeper

Celje — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Žan-Luk Leban	5	90450 min	183.6 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90

Celje — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celje before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Žan-Luk Leban n 8	90	4 7/6

Celje Defensive

Celje — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Tutyškinas	5	90450 min	102 /90	163.2 /90	40.8 /90	204 /90	91.8 /90	30.6 /90
M. Avdyli	5	87433 min	122.5 /90	142.9 /90	10.2 /90	306.2 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
P. Širvys	4	85338 min	112.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	195.1 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
Ł. Bejger	4	83332 min	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	71.9 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Ž. Žužek	2	61122 min	21.5 /90	32.2 /90	00 /90	96.6 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Celje — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celje before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Sešlar n 8	85.9	1.3 5/4	2 6/5	—
A. Tutyškinas n 8	84.4	1.2 5/3	0.8 4/2	—
Mark Zabukovnik n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.5 4/0	—
Žan-Luk Leban n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
M. Avdyli n 8	67.4	0.8 5/0	1.2 5/2	—
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Celje — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celje before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Tutyškinas n 8	84.4	2 7/4
S. Sešlar n 8	85.9	1.8 7/6
Mark Zabukovnik n 8	90	1.3 5/4
M. Avdyli n 8	67.4	2.7 7/5
B. Verbič n 5	53.8	1.7 3/2
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Celje Attacking

Celje — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Kramer	4	58233 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
Armandas Kučys	4	56225 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
V. Tusha	3	49147 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Mark Zabukovnik	5	90450 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90
S. Sešlar	5	90450 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	61.2 /90	40.8 /90	91.8 /90	71.4 /90
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Celje — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celje before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Sešlar n 8	85.9	1.3 7/3	0.8 4/2
Mark Zabukovnik n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
A. Tutyškinas n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Žan-Luk Leban n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Avdyli n 8	67.4	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Celje — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celje before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Sešlar n 8	85.9	0.5 2/2	0.3 2/0
Mark Zabukovnik n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Žan-Luk Leban n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Tutyškinas n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Avdyli n 8	67.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ararat-Armenia v Celje — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Ararat-ArmeniaWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

CeljeLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Ararat-Armenia 2 · 0 draws · Celje 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-08-11 Celje 2–0 Ararat-Armenia
2026-08-04 Ararat-Armenia 2–1 Celje
2020-09-24 Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Celje

League standing · 2026/27

Ararat-Armenia#36 pos0 pts4 pl-10 GD

Celje#25 pos4 pts4 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Ararat-Armenia scored1

Celje scored1.25

Ararat-Armenia conceded3.5

Celje conceded2.25

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Ararat-Armenia and Celje?: In their last 3 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 2, Celje won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ararat-Armenia and Celje?: Recent form — Ararat-Armenia 1W 0D 4L; Celje 1W 1D 3L.

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