Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 17:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Union St. Gilloise

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1441 landed (95% range 66–70.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Union St. Gilloise, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions. Union St. Gilloise have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00.

11 of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Union St. Gilloise’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Union St. Gilloise have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.00.

Celta Vigo (25th) and Union St. Gilloise (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union St. Gilloise the stronger side, 131 rating points above Celta Vigo (Union St. Gilloise 1836, Celta Vigo 1706, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, J. Rodríguez, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, A. Febas, I. Moriba, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, H. Álvarez, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ionuț Radu (3.6 per match over 14 appearances) and Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ionuț Radu averages 3.4 saves per 90 over 1440 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Union St. Gilloise XI (3-1-4-2): H. Koffi, M. Sylla, N. Havenaar, N. Chibani, L. Patris, B. Zeneli, G. Carvalho, K. Van de Perre, D. Olaru, R. Mofokeng, R. Florucz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Massiré Sylla (5.8 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kevin Mac Allister (5.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Union St. Gilloise’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union St. Gilloise (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Massiré Sylla averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 1098 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Kevin Mac Allister averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 638 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L

Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 3

Goals

against 1 / 0.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 6.29

Corners

against 4 / 2.43 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.38 / 10

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.5 / 1.71

Cards

against 2 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Celta Vigo for / against	Line	Union St. Gilloise for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	3 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	22.43 for · 9 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	10 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.57 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	14	901260 min	493.5 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	4.1 8/6

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	12	861035 min	161.4 /90	171.5 /90	90.8 /90	413.6 /90	191.7 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Alonso	10	86861 min	141.5 /90	151.6 /90	30.3 /90	333.4 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez	9	85765 min	111.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	242.8 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Álvaro Núñez	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
S. Cáceres	5	82408 min	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	235.1 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.9 5/0	1.1 4/2	—
Javi Rueda n 8	74	1.8 7/3	0.8 4/1	—
W. Swedberg n 8	39	2.9 6/3	0.9 2/1	—
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.6 6/3	1.6 7/5	—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.8 2/2
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0.5 3/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	2 3/2
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.6 5/4
I. Moriba n 8	74.5	3 7/4
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Swedberg	13	43558 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.1 /90	40.6 /90	101.6 /90	30.5 /90
Ferran Jutglà	12	69833 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	192.1 /90	50.5 /90	91 /90	50.5 /90
Hugo Álvarez	12	63760 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90
Iago Aspas	10	36363 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	82 /90	30.7 /90	82 /90	41 /90
Pablo Durán	9	55493 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	112 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.8 4/0	0.2 1/0
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	1.2 2/1	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise Goalkeeper

Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
H. Koffi	11	90990 min	252.3 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
V. Chambaere	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union St. Gilloise before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
H. Koffi n 8	90	2.3 4/4
V. Chambaere n 8	84.4	1.7 3/2

Union St. Gilloise Defensive

Union St. Gilloise — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Sylla	11	89978 min	363.3 /90	312.9 /90	50.5 /90	888.1 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
Denzel De Roeve	9	28248 min	62.2 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90	134.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
N. Havenaar	8	82652 min	152.1 /90	60.8 /90	30.4 /90	588 /90	172.3 /90	00 /90
O. Kričfaluši	6	88525 min	223.8 /90	111.9 /90	61 /90	335.7 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90
K. Mac Allister	6	86518 min	223.8 /90	162.8 /90	50.9 /90	437.5 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90
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Union St. Gilloise — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union St. Gilloise before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Patris n 8	84.4	1.6 6/5	1.1 4/2	—
B. Zeneli n 8	85.3	0.9 4/2	0.8 3/2	—
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho n 8	79.6	0.8 6/0	1.8 7/3	—
H. Koffi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Sylla n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1	1.8 7/5	—
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Union St. Gilloise — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union St. Gilloise before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Patris n 8	84.4	3.3 8/8
B. Zeneli n 8	85.3	1.7 5/4
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho n 8	79.6	2.1 6/5
M. Sylla n 8	88.5	3.6 7/6
K. Van de Perre n 8	87.6	2.6 8/6
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Union St. Gilloise Attacking

Union St. Gilloise — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Mofokeng	10	63629 min	50.7 /90	30.4 /90	182.6 /90	121.7 /90	223.1 /90	50.7 /90
Mateo Biondic	9	73661 min	30.4 /90	40.5 /90	192.6 /90	71 /90	131.8 /90	40.5 /90
R. Florucz	7	58406 min	40.9 /90	00 /90	214.7 /90	102.2 /90	40.9 /90	71.6 /90
Dylan Aquino	4	42168 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.7 /90	42.1 /90	42.1 /90	31.6 /90
K. Rodríguez	4	37147 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	95.5 /90	63.7 /90	21.2 /90	31.8 /90
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Union St. Gilloise — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union St. Gilloise before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Patris n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2	0.7 5/0
B. Zeneli n 8	85.3	1.5 6/3	0.7 4/1
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho n 8	79.6	1.8 6/3	0.7 4/1
H. Koffi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Sylla n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
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Union St. Gilloise — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union St. Gilloise before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Patris n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
B. Zeneli n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho n 8	79.6	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
H. Koffi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Sylla n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Celta VigoLWWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Union St. GilloiseDDWWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Celta Vigo#25 pos3 pts3 pl-1 GD

Union St. Gilloise#6 pos7 pts3 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Celta Vigo scored1

Union St. Gilloise scored2.67

Celta Vigo conceded1.33

Union St. Gilloise conceded0.33

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise?: Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Union St. Gilloise 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 17:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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