Levski Sofia v AC Milan prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thu, 21 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT · National Stadium Vasil Levski

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Levski Sofia v AC Milan, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 21 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Levski Sofia host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 21 January (kick-off 20:00 UK).

Form and the table

Five of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Levski Sofia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Levski Sofia have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.43.

Nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.13.

Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Levski Sofia (10th) and AC Milan (28th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 41 rating points above Levski Sofia (AC Milan 1658, Levski Sofia 1617, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Levski Sofia XI (4-2-3-1): S. Vutsov, K. Dimitrov, Aldair, Maicon, C. Makoun, Serginho, E. El Moubarik, M. Grujić, E. Bala, G. Trdin, Reinaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Svetoslav Vutsov (4.7 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Reinaldo (4.2 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Levski Sofia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Levski Sofia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Svetoslav Vutsov averages 3.4 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last eight appearances. Reinaldo averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 635 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, M. Gila, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, A. Jashari, D. Moreira, C. Pulišić, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Moreira (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and A. Rabiot (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and five assists) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Moreira averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 919 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Rabiot averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1712 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 21 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT · UEFA Europa League · National Stadium Vasil Levski
Recent form: Levski Sofia 2W 1D 2L · AC Milan 3W 0D 2L

Levski Sofia v AC Milan (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 2.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2.13

Cards

against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Levski Sofia for / against	Line	AC Milan for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia Goalkeeper

Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Vutsov	8	90720 min	273.4 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90

Levski Sofia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Vutsov n 8	90	3.4 5/4

Levski Sofia Defensive

Levski Sofia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Dimitrov	8	90720 min	50.6 /90	20.3 /90	50.6 /90	263.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Aldair	8	79632 min	213 /90	60.9 /90	50.7 /90	557.8 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90
Maicon	7	86602 min	182.7 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90	365.4 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Álex Centelles	5	79397 min	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	122.7 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
N. Serafimov	4	90360 min	41 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	133.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Levski Sofia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Dimitrov n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
S. Vutsov n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 5/0	—
Serginho n 8	83	1.1 5/2	2.4 6/5	—
Reinaldo n 8	79.4	0.6 3/1	1 5/2	—
Aldair n 8	79	1.4 5/4	3.1 7/5	—
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Levski Sofia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Dimitrov n 8	90	0.6 4/1
Serginho n 8	83	0.8 5/1
Reinaldo n 8	79.4	0.6 2/2
Aldair n 8	79	3 7/7
A. Oko-Flex n 8	58.6	1.2 4/2
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Levski Sofia Attacking

Levski Sofia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Reinaldo	8	79635 min	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	162.3 /90	40.6 /90	71 /90	50.7 /90
A. Oko-Flex	8	59469 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	71.3 /90	61.2 /90
David Kusso	5	30151 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	63.6 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	42.4 /90
J. Perea	4	2286 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Soula	3	46138 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Levski Sofia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Dimitrov n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
S. Vutsov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	83	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Reinaldo n 8	79.4	2.3 5/5	0.6 4/0
Aldair n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Levski Sofia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Levski Sofia before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Vutsov n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Dimitrov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Serginho n 8	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
Reinaldo n 8	79.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Aldair n 8	79	0 0/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Maignan	14	861197 min	443.3 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90
L. Torriani	2	74148 min	74.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	4 8/5
L. Torriani n 3	62.3	4.8 2/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. De Winter	15	891330 min	241.6 /90	231.6 /90	60.4 /90	664.5 /90	221.5 /90	40.3 /90
S. Pavlović	13	891161 min	292.2 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	866.7 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
Mario Gila	11	80875 min	202.1 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90	464.7 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
S. Bocoum	6	56336 min	82.1 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90	184.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
F. Tomori	4	63251 min	93.2 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. De Winter n 8	90	1.3 7/3	1 5/2	—
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	2.2 6/3	2.1 7/4	—
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/3	—
Y. Musah n 8	70.5	1 4/1	1.1 5/2	—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	90	1.5 7/3
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.7 4/1
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	2 8/6
Y. Musah n 8	70.5	1.4 4/4
A. Rabiot n 8	80.8	1.8 7/3
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos	14	851190 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	292.2 /90	110.8 /90	90.7 /90	70.5 /90
O. Hutchinson	8	57454 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	102 /90	40.8 /90	51 /90	91.8 /90
A. Saelemaekers	5	44218 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	20.8 /90
F. Camarda	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
Y. Musah	13	75969 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	50.5 /90	50.5 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	2.1 6/5	1 4/2
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
Y. Musah n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Musah n 8	70.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Levski Sofia v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Levski SofiaLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

AC MilanWLWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Levski Sofia#10 pos7 pts4 pl+1 GD

AC Milan#28 pos3 pts4 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Levski Sofia scored1

AC Milan scored1

Levski Sofia conceded0.75

AC Milan conceded1.75

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

Levski Sofia: Elo rating 1617, rising over the last five rated matches.
AC Milan: Elo rating 1658, falling over the last five rated matches.

AC Milan are rated 41 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

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