PlzenFK Crvena Zvezda

Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda result

Full-time · Plzen 5–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Europa League · · Stadion Mesta Plzne

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Plzen 5–1 FK Crvena Zvezda — Plzen won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.55 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Plzen beat FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 at Stadion Mesta Plzne in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 27 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Plzen: Prince Adu (8’, assisted by Cheick Souaré), Denis Višinský (58’ pen), Patrik Hrošovský (63’, assisted by Lukáš Červ), Christophe Kabongo (90’ pen) and Dávid Krčík (96’, assisted by Christophe Kabongo); FK Crvena Zvezda: Mirko Ivanić (11’). Osman Bukari (54’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Denis Višinský’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Plzen 0.00, FK Crvena Zvezda 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Danny Makkelie, Netherlands showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Plzen: Tomáš Ladra (102’); FK Crvena Zvezda: Franklin Tebo Uchenna (50’), Marko Arnautović (65’), Jay Enem (90+2’), Rodrigão (90+4’), Derrick Luckassen (102’), Vasilije Kostov (105+3’) and Rade Krunić (105+3’).

What it changes

Plzen have scored eight goals, the 34th-most of the 76 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Plzen have conceded 11 goals, the 26th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs.

FK Crvena Zvezda have scored four goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs (the most recent table TACTIX holds, after 2 games, ranked per game). FK Crvena Zvezda have conceded five goals, the 15th-most (shared) of the 76 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Plzen next host Benfica on 26 November 2026.

FK Crvena Zvezda next travel to Gent on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Plzen: Plzen v Benfica, Thursday 26 November — the preview. Next for FK Crvena Zvezda: Gent v FK Crvena Zvezda, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Plzen 5–1 FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Europa League
  • Venue: Stadion Mesta Plzne · Plzen
  • Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Plzen 0 · draws 0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Plzen 1W 3D 1L · FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 0D 2L

Plzen 5–1 FK Crvena Zvezda (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.43 / 4.6
Corners
against 4.57 / 2.4 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.57 / 5.8
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
3 / 1.8
Cards
against 3 / 2 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePlzen for / againstLineFK Crvena Zvezda for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.6 for · 2.4 against n 5
Shots
11.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
9 for · 2.6 against n 5
Shots on target
4.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.8 for · 3 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.14 for · 10 against n 7
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11 against n 4
Cards shown
3 for · 3 against n 7
3.5standard
1.8 for · 2 against n 5

Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PlzenFK Crvena Zvezda
55%Possession45%
11Shots on target2
12Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
5Corners3
0Offsides2
20Fouls16
1Yellow cards7
0Red cards1

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlzenDWDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Plzen 0 · 0 draws · FK Crvena Zvezda 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-08-20 FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 Plzen
League standing · 2026/27
Plzen#30 pos3 pts4 pl-4 GD
FK Crvena Zvezda#15 pos14 pts8 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Plzen scored0.75
FK Crvena Zvezda scored0.88
Plzen conceded1.75
FK Crvena Zvezda conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.55 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda?
In their last 1 meetings, Plzen won 0, FK Crvena Zvezda won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda?
Recent form — Plzen 1W 3D 1L; FK Crvena Zvezda 3W 0D 2L.

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