SC FreiburgSC Braga

SC Freiburg v SC Braga result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga

UEFA Europa League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga — SC Freiburg won this UEFA Europa League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Freiburg beat SC Braga 3–1 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 7 May. SC Braga have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

SC Freiburg led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Freiburg: Lukas Kübler (19’; 72’, assisted by Vincenzo Grifo) and Johan Manzambi (41’, assisted by Philipp Treu); SC Braga: Pau Victor (79’, assisted by Víctor Gómez). M. Dorgeles (6’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lukas Kübler’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SC Freiburg 1.83, SC Braga 1.84, from 19 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Davide Massa, Italy showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — SC Braga: Pau Victor (62’), Jean-Baptiste Gorby (65’), Demir Ege Tıknaz (71’) and Gabri Martínez (90+4’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg have scored 25 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). SC Freiburg have conceded 10 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 77 clubs.

SC Braga have scored 37 goals, the sixth-most of the 77 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game). SC Braga have conceded 16 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 77 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lukas Kübler (SC Freiburg) 11.1, Johan Manzambi (SC Freiburg) 7.5 and Pau Victor (SC Braga) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SC Freiburg or SC Braga (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

SC Freiburg next travel to SV Elversberg on 21 November 2026.

SC Braga next host KuPS on 26 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: SV Elversberg v SC Freiburg, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v KuPS, Thursday 26 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga · UEFA Europa League
  • Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): SC Freiburg 0 · draws 0 · SC Braga 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 1W 1D 3L · SC Braga 2W 2D 1L

SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga (UEFA Europa League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
2.43 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.43 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.14 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.29 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.25our book
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 12.14 against n 7
19.5standard
7.88 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.14 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.43 for · 13.43 against n 7
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.88 for · 3.25 against n 8

Referee: Davide Massa, Italy.

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu46904140 min1312.8 /90621.3 /9020 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
2.55/4

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter46904133 min420.9 /90380.8 /90260.6 /902164.7 /90240.5 /9040.1 /90
P. Treu37792921 min571.8 /90200.6 /90110.3 /901444.4 /90290.9 /9030.1 /90
C. Günter32742382 min281.1 /90110.4 /9080.3 /90532 /90130.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Kübler28732041 min522.3 /90401.8 /90100.4 /901135 /90221 /9040.2 /90
P. Lienhart26782039 min311.4 /90231 /90140.6 /90904 /90160.7 /9080.4 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Eggestein n 890
0.52/1
1.15/2
Víctor Gómez
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Ginter n 889.1
0.85/1
1.16/2
G. Lagerbielke
J. Manzambi n 883.3
0.74/1
3.48/7
—
V. Grifo n 865.4
0.53/0
0.73/1
—
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.16/3
M. Ginter n 889.1
1.34/3
J. Manzambi n 883.3
2.38/6
V. Grifo n 865.4
00/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.1
1.35/3
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Scherhant37421559 min50.3 /9010.1 /90342 /90211.2 /90281.6 /90301.7 /90
I. Matanović35582014 min100.4 /9030.1 /90492.2 /90221 /90271.2 /90130.6 /90
L. Höler33662186 min50.2 /9010 /90291.2 /90180.7 /90241 /90110.5 /90
J. Adamu1563947 min20.2 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9070.7 /90161.5 /90141.3 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié1134376 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9041 /90122.9 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 889.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Manzambi n 883.3
2.38/7
0.96/1
V. Grifo n 865.4
1.55/4
14/2
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 889.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Manzambi n 883.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
V. Grifo n 865.4
0.32/0
0.52/1
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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Horníček44903960 min1032.3 /90410.9 /9030.1 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.14/3

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke39853321 min421.1 /90340.9 /90110.3 /902185.9 /90601.6 /90100.3 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi34832837 min511.6 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90892.8 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
Vitor Carvalho19711358 min191.3 /9080.5 /90100.7 /90724.8 /90201.3 /9060.4 /90
S. Niakaté18831487 min191.1 /90100.6 /9070.4 /90965.8 /90171 /9040.2 /90
Paulo Oliveira1850896 min80.8 /90171.7 /9060.6 /90383.8 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
0.63/1
1.57/4
M. Eggestein
Pau Victor n 876.3
1.26/2
1.66/3
—
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.15/4
0.85/1
M. Ginter
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
0.32/0
0.64/0
—
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
1.16/1
Pau Victor n 876.3
1.25/3
G. Lagerbielke n 890
1.36/2
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
15/1
João Moutinho n 878.5
2.37/6
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pau Victor40682733 min100.3 /9050.2 /90401.3 /90250.8 /90240.8 /90431.4 /90
Ricardo Horta39793081 min180.5 /9080.2 /90591.7 /90381.1 /90712.1 /90110.3 /90
R. Zalazar36712544 min180.6 /9060.2 /90632.2 /90351.2 /90481.7 /90652.3 /90
Fran Navarro31471446 min80.5 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9060.4 /90
A. El Ouazzani15671005 min20.2 /9000 /90211.9 /9090.8 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
0.32/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 876.3
0.96/0
0.64/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
1.57/3
0.95/1
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Horníček n 890
00/0
00/0
Víctor Gómez n 889.5
00/0
0.32/0
Pau Victor n 876.3
0.43/0
00/0
G. Lagerbielke n 890
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Horta n 876.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgSC Braga
66%Possession34%
1.83Expected goals (xG)1.84
19Shots14
8Shots on target5
7Shots off target3
4Blocked shots6
13Shots inside the box7
4Corners8
1Offsides1
16Fouls10
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
3Saves5
500Passes250
85%Pass accuracy68%

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Atubolu9000000007.2
M. Ginter9000212107.3
P. Lienhart9000100106.9
P. Treu9001003107.2
M. Eggestein9000000107
N. Höfler9000100207.2
J. Manzambi9010530207.3
I. Matanović9000111106.3
V. Grifo8901203007.2
J. Beste8100112407.7
L. Kübler8020220109
J. Makengo sub1000000006.7
I. Ogbus sub900000006.9
L. Höler sub10000000–

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Horníček9000000006.9
Paulo Oliveira9000000005.9
G. Lagerbielke9000001106.2
Víctor Gómez9001104007.7
João Moutinho9000101407.2
Jean-Baptiste Gorby90002212Y6.9
Pau Victor90101131Y7.2
Demir Ege Tıknaz77000015Y6.5
Vitor Carvalho6500000206.7
R. Zalazar6500110106.6
M. Dorgeles6000000R3
Gabriel Moscardo sub2500001006.3
Fran Navarro sub2500101005.9
Gabri Martínez sub13001100Y6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
SC BragaDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
SC Freiburg 0 · 0 draws · SC Braga 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-30 SC Braga 2–1 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
SC Freiburg#7 pos17 pts8 pl+6 GD
SC Braga#6 pos17 pts8 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored1.25
SC Braga scored1.38
SC Freiburg conceded0.5
SC Braga conceded0.63

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v SC Braga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v SC Braga was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and SC Braga?
In their last 1 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0, SC Braga won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and SC Braga?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 1W 1D 3L; SC Braga 2W 2D 1L.

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