Faroe Islands v Moldova prediction

UEFA Nations League · Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Faroe Islands · Moldova · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Faroe Islands v Moldova, UEFA Nations League on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Faroe Islands host Moldova in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 16 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Faroe Islands or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Faroe Islands have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Faroe Islands are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Faroe Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Faroe Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Faroe Islands have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.86.

Seven of Moldova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Moldova’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Moldova have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 2.75.

Faroe Islands (second) and Moldova (third) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Faroe Islands the stronger side, 33 rating points above Moldova (Faroe Islands 1371, Moldova 1338, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Moldova are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Faroe Islands. The most recent meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands.

Team news

Predicted Faroe Islands XI (5-4-1): M. Lamhauge, G. Vatnhamar, O. Faero, A. Edmundsson, M. Agnarsson, J. Danielsen, G. Turi, J. Bjartalíð, H. Sørensen, M. Hellisdal, P. Knudsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Áki Samuelsen (4.4 per match over four appearances, one goal) and J. Bjartalíð (4.3 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Faroe Islands’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Faroe Islands (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Áki Samuelsen averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 1612 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Bjartalíð averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 293 minutes.

Predicted Moldova XI (5-3-2): D. Celeadnic, M. Gherasimencov, I. Iovu, V. Baboglo, O. Reabciuk, I. Revenco, V. Fratea, V. Raţă, S. Perciun, P. Popescu, N. Cleșcenco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Perciun (4.8 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) and Petru Popescu (4.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Moldova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moldova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Perciun averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 557 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Petru Popescu averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Faroe Islands 1 · draws 3 · Moldova 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Faroe Islands 0W 4D 1L · Moldova 1W 1D 3L

Faroe Islands v Moldova (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.29

Corners

against 6.25 / 6.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.38 / 3.43

Shots on target

against 3 / 5.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.5 / 1.71

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Faroe Islands for / against	Line	Moldova for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.29 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.29 for · 18.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.43 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.14 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5

Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands Goalkeeper

Faroe Islands — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mattias Lamhauge	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90

Faroe Islands — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Faroe Islands before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mattias Lamhauge n 8	90	1.9 5/3

Faroe Islands Defensive

Faroe Islands — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Vatnhamar	4	90360 min	41 /90	41 /90	51.3 /90	194.8 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
M. Agnarsson	4	65260 min	31 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90
A. Edmundsson	3	90270 min	00 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	217 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
Jóannes Danielsen	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	103.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
O. Faero	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	165.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Faroe Islands — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Faroe Islands before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Vatnhamar n 8	90	0.8 4/2	1.1 7/2	—
Mattias Lamhauge n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
H. Sørensen n 8	73.5	0.2 1/0	0.6 4/0	—
G. Turi n 8	71.3	1.4 6/3	1.4 5/3	—
J. Bjartalíð n 8	62	1.3 4/2	0.9 3/1	—
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Faroe Islands — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Faroe Islands before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Vatnhamar n 8	90	0.8 4/2
H. Sørensen n 8	73.5	0.3 1/1
G. Turi n 8	71.3	1.4 5/3
J. Bjartalíð n 8	62	2.2 6/3
Áki Samuelsen n 4	70.5	2.2 4/3
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Faroe Islands Attacking

Faroe Islands — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Áki Samuelsen	4	71282 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.6 /90	51.6 /90	72.2 /90
P. Knudsen	4	55218 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	93.7 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
A. Justinussen	3	50150 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
H. Sørensen	4	81323 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	82.2 /90	41.1 /90
G. Turi	4	80321 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
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Faroe Islands — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Faroe Islands before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Vatnhamar n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.1 1/0
Mattias Lamhauge n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Sørensen n 8	73.5	1.4 6/3	0.9 5/1
G. Turi n 8	71.3	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
J. Bjartalíð n 8	62	1.3 5/1	0.4 2/0
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Faroe Islands — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Faroe Islands before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Vatnhamar n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mattias Lamhauge n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Sørensen n 8	73.5	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
G. Turi n 8	71.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Bjartalíð n 8	62	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Moldova

Moldova Goalkeeper

Moldova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Celeadnic	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90

Moldova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	1.3 2/0

Moldova Defensive

Moldova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Iurie Iovu	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	194.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
Oleg Reabciuk	4	86345 min	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	195 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
Mihail Gherasimencov	4	82328 min	30.8 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90	133.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
V. Baboglo	4	71282 min	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	72.2 /90	82.6 /90	31 /90	00 /90
M. Stefan	3	1855 min	11.6 /90	46.5 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Moldova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Petru Popescu n 4	90	2 3/2	1.5 3/2	—
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	1.3 2/2	0 0/0	—
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	1.8 5/5	2 8/4	—
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.2 1/0	1.6 4/4	—
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Moldova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	1.8 3/2
Petru Popescu n 4	90	1 4/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	1.5 7/4
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.7 4/0
V. Baboglo n 8	80.3	1.4 6/3
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Moldova Attacking

Moldova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Petru Popescu	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	143.5 /90	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90
N. Cleșcenco	4	56224 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
V. Raţă	4	62248 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
V. Fratea	4	61244 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	31.1 /90	62.2 /90	83 /90
V. Stînă	4	41163 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.3 /90	31.7 /90
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Moldova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Petru Popescu n 4	90	3.5 4/4	1.3 3/1
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Moldova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Petru Popescu n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Faroe Islands v Moldova — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Faroe IslandsLDDDD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

MoldovaLLDWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Faroe Islands 1 · 3 draws · Moldova 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-09-29 Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
2023-09-10 Faroe Islands 0–1 Moldova
2023-03-24 Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
2021-09-07 Faroe Islands 2–1 Moldova
2021-03-25 Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands

League standing · 2026/27

Faroe Islands#2 pos4 pts4 pl0 GD

Moldova#3 pos4 pts4 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Faroe Islands scored1.25

Moldova scored0.75

Faroe Islands conceded1.25

Moldova conceded2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Faroe Islands v Moldova?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Faroe Islands v Moldova is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Faroe Islands and Moldova?: In their last 5 meetings, Faroe Islands won 1, Moldova won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Faroe Islands and Moldova?: Recent form — Faroe Islands 0W 4D 1L; Moldova 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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