Montenegro v Latvia prediction

UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Gradski Stadion

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Montenegro v Latvia, UEFA Nations League on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.33 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Montenegro host Latvia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Montenegro to win.

The key numbers

Montenegro are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Latvia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Montenegro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Montenegro’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Montenegro have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25.

Seven of Latvia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Latvia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Latvia have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.43.

Montenegro (first) and Latvia (fourth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Montenegro the stronger side, 289 rating points above Latvia (Montenegro 1423, Latvia 1134, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Montenegro are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Latvia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Latvia 1–2 Montenegro.

Team news

Predicted Montenegro XI (4-3-3): B. Popović, S. Savić, O. Gašević, M. Roganović, A. Djuric, M. Jankovic, V. Adžić, A. Bulatović, N. Krstović, M. Osmajić, S. Jovetić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nikola Krstović (4.8 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) and Marko Jankovic (4.1 per match over four appearances) have been Montenegro’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Montenegro (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nikola Krstović averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 1187 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Marko Jankovic averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 498 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last six appearances.

Predicted Latvia XI (5-4-1): R. Matrevics, D. Meļņiks, A. Černomordijs, R. Jurkovskis, D. Cirkin, O. Vientiess, D. Zelenkovs, L. Vapne, A. Ciganiks, D. Patijčuks, V. Gutkovskis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Matrevics (3.4 per match over four appearances) and Dennis Cirkin (2.9 per match over three appearances) have been Latvia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Latvia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Matrevics averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Dennis Cirkin averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 695 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League · Gradski Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Montenegro 2 · draws 2 · Latvia 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Montenegro 3W 1D 1L · Latvia 1W 1D 3L

Montenegro v Latvia (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.63

Goals

against 2 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.86 / 4.25

Corners

against 3 / 7 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 2

Shots on target

against 3.71 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 2

Cards

against 1.57 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Montenegro for / against	Line	Latvia for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	9.63 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.43 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Montenegro

Montenegro Goalkeeper

Montenegro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Popović	4	90360 min	82 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Montenegro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montenegro before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Popović n 4	90	2 3/1

Montenegro Defensive

Montenegro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Vesovic	4	46184 min	10.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
S. Savić	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	134.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Roganović	3	74221 min	41.6 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	104.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Ognjen Gašević	3	73218 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	52.1 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
A. Djuric	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Montenegro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montenegro before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Popović n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Krstović n 8	85.1	1.5 6/5	1.1 4/2	—
M. Osmajić n 8	76	1.6 7/3	2.1 7/3	—
M. Jankovic n 8	78.3	1.2 6/2	3.2 7/6	—
Vasilije Adžić n 8	56.6	0.8 2/1	0.4 2/0	—
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Montenegro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montenegro before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Krstović n 8	85.1	0.3 2/0
M. Osmajić n 8	76	0.3 2/0
M. Jankovic n 8	78.3	1.9 7/3
Vasilije Adžić n 8	56.6	1.2 4/2
M. Vesovic n 8	65.8	1.7 5/4
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Montenegro Attacking

Montenegro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Krstović	4	84337 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	154 /90	82.1 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
M. Osmajić	4	80318 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	102.8 /90	20.6 /90
S. Jovetić	3	61182 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
V. Djukanovic	2	3774 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
M. Jankovic	4	76302 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	61.8 /90
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Montenegro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montenegro before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Popović n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Krstović n 8	85.1	4 8/8	1.9 7/6
M. Osmajić n 8	76	1.9 6/3	0.9 4/1
M. Jankovic n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Vasilije Adžić n 8	56.6	1.4 4/2	0.8 3/1
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Montenegro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Montenegro before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Popović n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Krstović n 8	85.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
M. Osmajić n 8	76	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Jankovic n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vasilije Adžić n 8	56.6	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
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Latvia

Latvia Goalkeeper

Latvia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Matrevics	4	90360 min	164 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Latvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Latvia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Matrevics n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Latvia Defensive

Latvia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Ciganiks	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	143.5 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
D. Meļņiks	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	143.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Dennis Cirkin	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	134.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90
A. Černomordijs	3	81242 min	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	41.5 /90	62.2 /90	20.7 /90
R. Jurkovskis	3	70210 min	62.6 /90	41.7 /90	10.4 /90	104.3 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
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Latvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Latvia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Ciganiks n 8	90	1.3 6/4	0.6 3/2	—
D. Meļņiks n 8	70.8	1.3 5/2	0.2 1/0	—
R. Matrevics n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
D. Zelenkovs n 8	88.3	1 5/2	0.9 6/1	—
L. Vapne n 8	81.4	0.8 4/2	0.8 5/1	—
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Latvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Latvia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ciganiks n 8	90	2.4 8/6
D. Meļņiks n 8	70.8	1.3 6/2
D. Zelenkovs n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
L. Vapne n 8	81.4	2.4 6/5
V. Gutkovskis n 8	61.4	0 0/0
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Latvia Attacking

Latvia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Gutkovskis	4	63250 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Roberts Uldriķis	4	52207 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Zelenkovs	4	87346 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90
L. Vapne	4	79315 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
E. Dašķevičs	3	56167 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90
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Latvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Latvia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ciganiks n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
D. Meļņiks n 8	70.8	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
R. Matrevics n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zelenkovs n 8	88.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Vapne n 8	81.4	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1
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Latvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Latvia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Matrevics n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ciganiks n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Meļņiks n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zelenkovs n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Vapne n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Montenegro v Latvia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MontenegroLWWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LatviaWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Montenegro 2 · 2 draws · Latvia 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-10-02 Latvia 1–2 Montenegro
2021-09-07 Montenegro 0–0 Latvia
2021-03-24 Latvia 1–2 Montenegro
2020-10-07 Montenegro 1–1 Latvia

League standing · 2026/27

Montenegro#1 pos10 pts4 pl+3 GD

Latvia#4 pos1 pts4 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Montenegro scored1.75

Latvia scored0.5

Montenegro conceded1

Latvia conceded1.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Montenegro v Latvia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Montenegro v Latvia is Home win (best price 1.33 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Montenegro and Latvia?: In their last 4 meetings, Montenegro won 2, Latvia won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Montenegro and Latvia?: Recent form — Montenegro 3W 1D 1L; Latvia 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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