San Marino v Belarus prediction

UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 22:32 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Both teams to score: No the free pick for San Marino v Belarus, UEFA Nations League on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Both teams to score: No

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: 3 of 3 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: No landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

San Marino host Belarus in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Both teams to score: No.

The key numbers

San Marino have lost their last 12 matches in all competitions. Belarus are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of San Marino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in five of San Marino’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, San Marino have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 4.29.

Five of Belarus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Belarus’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Belarus have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75.

Belarus have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. San Marino (fourth) and Belarus (second) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Belarus the stronger side, 446 rating points above San Marino (Belarus 1422, San Marino 976, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Belarus are unbeaten in the last three meetings with San Marino, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 3 October 2026, finished Belarus 4–0 San Marino.

Team news

Predicted San Marino XI (4-3-1-2): E. Colombo, S. Giocondi, M. Cevoli, F. Fabbri, G. Benvenuti, L. Capicchioni, S. Zannoni, C. Meloni, L. Lazzari, N. Giacopetti, N. Nanni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Giocondi (2.7 per match over four appearances) and L. Capicchioni (2.6 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been San Marino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for San Marino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Capicchioni averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 288 minutes.

Predicted Belarus XI (4-2-3-1): F. Lapoukhov, Z. Volkov, K. Pechenin, K. Gomanov, V. Kalinin, M. Ebong, A. Selyava, A. Lukashov, A. Kontsevoy, V. Gromyko, G. Barkovskiy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Pechenin (6.4 per match over four appearances, three assists) and M. Ebong (4.0 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Belarus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Belarus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Pechenin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes. M. Ebong averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 546 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): San Marino 0 · draws 0 · Belarus 3 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: San Marino 0W 0D 5L · Belarus 2W 2D 1L

San Marino v Belarus (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1

Goals

against 5.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2 / 3.25

Corners

against 5.86 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

1.43 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 9.29 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3 / 2.88

Cards

against 1.43 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	San Marino for / against	Line	Belarus for / against
Goals scored	0.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.25 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	5.29 for · 20.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	9.88 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	1.43 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.71 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	15.25 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

San Marino

San Marino Goalkeeper

San Marino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Colombo	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	164 /90	00 /90

San Marino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Marino before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Colombo n 7	90	4.3 6/6

San Marino Defensive

San Marino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Michele Cevoli	4	72288 min	51.6 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	134.1 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
S. Giocondi	4	67267 min	72.4 /90	62 /90	00 /90	186.1 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
F. Fabbri	4	51205 min	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	52.2 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90
M. Pasolini	3	69206 min	52.2 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	93.9 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90
G. Benvenuti	3	65196 min	62.8 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	104.6 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90
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San Marino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Marino before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Colombo n 7	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
L. Capicchioni n 6	73.2	2.1 5/2	1.6 4/3	—
Michele Cevoli n 6	75.8	0.8 3/1	0.6 2/1	—
S. Giocondi n 4	66.8	0.3 1/0	2.4 3/2	—
Samuele Zannoni n 7	73.3	1.6 4/2	0.5 1/1	—
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San Marino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Marino before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Michele Cevoli n 6	75.8	1.6 6/2
L. Capicchioni n 6	73.2	1.6 4/2
S. Giocondi n 4	66.8	2.4 3/2
Samuele Zannoni n 7	73.3	1.9 5/3
F. Fabbri n 5	53.6	1.7 3/1
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San Marino Attacking

San Marino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Pancotti	4	40160 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
N. Nanni	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
N. Giacopetti	3	80239 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	62.3 /90
G. Capicchioni	1	7878 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90
F. Salicioni	1	5858 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90
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San Marino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Marino before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Colombo n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Capicchioni n 6	73.2	1 2/2	0.4 2/0
Michele Cevoli n 6	75.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Giocondi n 4	66.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuele Zannoni n 7	73.3	1.1 5/1	0.4 2/0
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San Marino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Marino before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Colombo n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Capicchioni n 6	73.2	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Michele Cevoli n 6	75.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Giocondi n 4	66.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samuele Zannoni n 7	73.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Belarus

Belarus Goalkeeper

Belarus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Fedor Lapoukhov	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
P. Pavlyuchenko	1	9090 min	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Belarus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belarus before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fedor Lapoukhov n 8	90	3.6 7/5
P. Pavlyuchenko n 4	90	3.2 3/2

Belarus Defensive

Belarus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Pechenin	4	90360 min	123 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90	235.8 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90
Z. Volkov	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	123 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
K. Gomanov	4	79315 min	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	30.9 /90	82.3 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90
V. Kalinin	4	76305 min	103 /90	103 /90	10.3 /90	175 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90
R. Begunov	1	5555 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	813.1 /90	23.3 /90	11.6 /90
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Belarus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belarus before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Z. Volkov n 8	82.9	1.4 6/2	1.2 4/3	—
K. Pechenin n 8	90	1 5/2	0.8 4/2	—
M. Ebong n 8	86	1.6 5/4	1 5/3	—
K. Gomanov n 4	78.8	1.1 3/1	0.6 1/1	—
V. Kalinin n 6	64.3	1.9 5/2	0.7 3/0	—
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Belarus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belarus before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Pechenin n 8	90	3.4 8/7
Z. Volkov n 8	82.9	2.6 6/5
M. Ebong n 8	86	0.9 4/2
K. Gomanov n 4	78.8	0.3 1/0
V. Kalinin n 6	64.3	2.8 6/2
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Belarus Attacking

Belarus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Barkovskiy	4	56224 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90
Vitali Lisakovich	4	44177 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90
Trofim Melnichenko	3	44131 min	00 /90	00 /90	64.1 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
M. Ebong	4	85339 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.1 /90
A. Selyava	3	79236 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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Belarus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belarus before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Pechenin n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Z. Volkov n 8	82.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Ebong n 8	86	0.9 4/3	0.3 2/0
K. Gomanov n 4	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Kalinin n 6	64.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Belarus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Belarus before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Pechenin n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 1/1
Z. Volkov n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Ebong n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Gomanov n 4	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Kalinin n 6	64.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind San Marino v Belarus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

San MarinoLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 4.6 conceded per game

BelarusDLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

San Marino 0 · 0 draws · Belarus 3 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-10-03 Belarus 4–0 San Marino
2018-11-18 San Marino 0–2 Belarus
2018-09-08 Belarus 5–0 San Marino

League standing · 2026/27

San Marino#4 pos0 pts4 pl-15 GD

Belarus#2 pos7 pts4 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

San Marino scored0.25

Belarus scored1.25

San Marino conceded4

Belarus conceded0.5

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win San Marino v Belarus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for San Marino v Belarus is Both teams to score: No.
What is the head-to-head record between San Marino and Belarus?: In their last 3 meetings, San Marino won 0, Belarus won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Marino and Belarus?: Recent form — San Marino 0W 0D 5L; Belarus 2W 2D 1L.

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